We 1 (10-04) Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released October 13, 2004, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin call Brian T. Young at (202) 720-7621, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary Volume 91, No. 41 October 3-9, 2004 For additional information, call (202) 720-2397. Highlights: Cold air swept into the Midwest from October 2-5, resulting in season-ending freezes across the northern Corn Belt. Although the freezes were roughly on schedule or only a few days earlier than the normal first freeze dates, some late-maturing corn and soybeans were vulnerable. Specifically, the percentage of corn that had not reached the dent stage by October 3, according to USDA/NASS, was 25% in Wisconsin, 20% in North Dakota, 11% in Michigan, and 5% in Minnesota. Similarly, the percentage of fields with soybean leaves still completely green included 12% in Wisconsin, 11% in Michigan, and 5% in North Dakota. Many of the crops susceptible to the early-October freezes were those planted after heavy rains slowed Midwestern fieldwork during the last three weeks of May. Meanwhile, locally heavy rainfall continued for a third consecutive week across the south-central U.S., including the southern High Plains, increasing cotton quality concerns and hampering winter wheat planting and summer crop harvesting. Showers briefly spread as far north as the Midwest after midweek, temporarily slowing fieldwork. Farther south, Tropical Storm Matthew formed on Friday over the western Gulf of Mexico and moved northward, reaching the Louisiana coast on Sunday morning, October 10. Matthew, a minimal tropical storm at landfall, sparked heavy rainfall and local flooding in the central Gulf Coast region. The interaction between Matthew's remnants and a disturbance approaching from the west resulted in heavy showers across the southeastern Plains and the middle Mississippi Valley, slowing harvest activities but aiding pastures stressed by six weeks of dry weather. Elsewhere, significant precipitation was confined to the southern Rockies and the Pacific Northwest. Meanwhile, warm weather and scattered showers across the interior Northwest promoted winter wheat emergence and establishment. In contrast, concerns on the northern High Plains with respect to pastures and winter wheat included long-term drought and subsoil moisture shortages. Early in the week, warm weather prevailed in the Gulf Coast region, while more than a dozen daily-record lows were set or tied across the Midwest. In western Florida, Panama City tallied three consecutive daily-record highs (90, 92, and 91 degrees F) from October 2-4. Farther north, lows dipped to 30 degrees F in Springfield, IL, on October 3 and 5, breaking daily records on both dates. In North Dakota, records for October 4 were established in locations such as Williston (19 degrees F) and Fargo (22 degrees F). A day later, records included 25 degrees F in Flint, MI, and 28 degrees F in Lincoln, IL. However, record warmth returned to parts of the Midwest by October 7, when Alpena, MI (80 degrees F), posted a daily-record high. Warmth also overspread the Northwest, where Pendleton, OR (86 degrees F on October 8), collected a daily-record highs. Minimal Tropical Storm Matthew moved ashore near Houma, LA, on October 10. In southeastern Louisiana, 7-day rainfall totals from October 4-10 included 17.82 inches in Reserve and 14.88 inches in Galliano. Elsewhere in Louisiana, October 8-10 rainfall totaled 7.50 inches in New Orleans and 7.42 inches in Baton Rouge. Farther north, October 7-11 totals reached 6.05 inches in Tulsa, OK, and 5.16 inches in Little Rock, AR. Meanwhile, San Angelo, TX, received measurable precipitation--totaling 3.22 inches--on 9 consecutive days from September 30 - October 8. San Angelo's streak tied its all-time record set from September 12-20, 1991, when 4.77 inches fell. By week's end, San Angelo's year-to-date rainfall reached 22.99 inches, surpassing its normal annual rainfall of 20.91 inches for the first time since 1997. San Angelo's 6-year precipitation deficit from 1998-2003 was 31.07 inches. Elsewhere, scattered daily-record totals included 1.07 inches (on October 6) in Goodland, KS; 2.78 inches (on October 6) in Melbourne, FL; 1.70 inches (on October 8) in Bellingham, WA; and 0.51 inch (on October 9) in Lewiston, ID. Goodland's daily sum exceeded its normal October rainfall of 1.05 inches. Farther east, Louisville, KY, netted rainfall totaling 0.23 inch on October 12, ending its longest dry spell on record. Louisville's spell without measurable precipitation spanned 39 days from September 3 - October 11, surpassing its record of 36 days established from September 20 - October 25, 1953. Meanwhile in the Great Salt Lake Desert of northwestern Utah, Wendover netted than less than half of its normal annual precipitation for the fourth consecutive water year (October 1 - September 30). Wendover received just 2.26 inches (47 percent of normal) from October 2003 - September 2004. Some heavy showers developed across the western Hawaiian islands by midweek, but little or no rain was reported farther east. On Kauai, Lihue measured a daily-record total of 1.16 inches on October 7. Two days later, daily-record highs reached 92 degrees F at both Kahului, Maui, and Honolulu, Oahu. Meanwhile, mild weather returned to Alaska, although heavy rain persisted in the southeastern part of the State. Weekly temperatures averaged at least 5 degrees F above normal across the northern two-thirds of Alaska. From October 1-10, Alaskan precipitation totals ranged from 0.02 inch (4 percent of normal) in McGrath to 11.96 inches (147 percent) in Yakutat. National Agricultural Summary October 4 - 10, 2004 Highlights: Above-normal temperatures prevailed across most of the Nation, benefiting winter wheat emergence and late-season development of summer crops. Conditions were mostly dry east of the Mississippi River, encouraging harvest. Tropical Storm Matthew moved ashore in southeastern Louisiana over the weekend, bringing heavy rainfall to the Delta, where cotton condition improved after several weeks of dry weather. Precipitation was more moderate in the southern Great Plains, but fields remained soggy from heavy rain the preceding 2 weeks, hampering field activities and causing cotton condition to decline further. Brief periods of showers across the western Corn Belt and central Great Plains did not significantly delay fieldwork. Further west, conditions were mostly warm and dry across the Rockies, Southwest, and interior areas of the Pacific Northwest. Corn: Eighty-eight percent of the acreage had reached maturity, 6 percentage points behind last year and 7 points behind normal. Harvest was 34 percent complete, compared with 35 percent last year and 39 percent for the 5-year average. The crop advanced rapidly to maturity in the northern Corn Belt and northern Great Plains under warm, dry conditions, although much of the progress was probably due to the killing effect of widespread freezing temperatures late in the previous week. Harvest progressed steadily in the eastern Corn Belt and Ohio Valley, where cool, dry conditions prevailed. Winter Wheat: Growers had planted 70 percent of their crop, 1 point behind last year but 2 points ahead of normal. Emergence had occurred over 44 percent of the acreage, 1 point ahead of last year and 4 points ahead of the average. With favorable weather, planting progressed rapidly in the Ohio Valley and eastern Corn Belt, advancing 33 points in Ohio, 22 points in Michigan, and 21 points in Illinois. Oregon growers, with 60 percent of their crop sown, were 24 points ahead of the normal pace. Emergence had begun in all States, but was most advanced in Colorado, where one-fourth of the crop emerged, bringing the total progress to 80 percent. Soybeans: Ninety-four percent of the acreage had reached the leaf dropping stage, 1 point ahead of last year but the same as the 5-year average. Producers had harvested 58 percent of their acreage, 4 points ahead of last year and 5 points ahead of normal. Leaves dropped rapidly in the northern Corn Belt, advancing 30 points in Michigan and 22 points in Wisconsin. Leaf dropping was 98 percent or more complete across the central and western Corn Belt and northern Great Plains. Harvest progressed rapidly in the northern Great Plains, where North and South Dakota growers harvested 39 and 33 percent of their acreage, respectively. Cotton: The open bolls stage advanced to 81 percent complete, the same as last year but 9 points behind normal. Harvest, at 29 percent complete, was 3 points ahead of last year but 4 points behind the average. Bolls continued to open slowly, despite warm weather in most growing areas. In Texas, where cool weather and persistent rainfall have slowed crop progress, bolls opened nearly 3 weeks behind the normal pace. Harvest progressed steadily across the Southeast and Delta, advancing 22 points in Missouri, 20 points in Louisiana, and 19 points in Alabama and Tennessee. Texas growers harvested only 1 percent of their acreage, remaining over 2 weeks behind normal. Sorghum: Ninety-five percent of the crop had turned color, 3 points ahead of last year but 2 points behind normal. Maturation advanced to 74 percent complete, compared with 70 percent last year and 85 percent for the 5-year average. Growers had reaped 44 percent of the crop, 1 point behind last year and 16 points behind normal. Maturation was over 1 week behind normal nationwide and over 2 weeks behind in New Mexico and Texas. Harvest progress was over 2 weeks behind the normal nationwide pace. Kansas growers were over 2 weeks behind the 5-year average, while Texas producers trailed their normal harvest pace by 5 weeks. Rice: Harvest advanced to 91 percent complete, 5 points ahead of last year and 4 points ahead of normal. In California, harvest advanced 15 points to 80 percent complete, 16 points ahead of normal. Arkansas growers harvested just 5 percent of their acreage and slipped slightly behind their normal pace, while all other States remained at or ahead of normal. Small Grains: The spring wheat harvest reached 98 percent complete, 2 points behind last year and 1 point behind normal. Harvest was at or near completion in all States. North Dakota growers, with 96 percent of their acreage harvested, were 3 points behind normal. Other Crops: Forty-five percent of the peanut crop had been harvested, the same as last year but 3 points behind the 5-year average. Oklahoma and Texas growers progressed slowly, harvesting just 8 and 4 percent of their acreage, respectively. However, harvest progressed more rapidly in the Southeast, where mostly warm, dry conditions prevailed. Harvest advanced 25 points in Alabama, 24 points in North Carolina, and 14 or more points elsewhere in the Southeast. Sugarbeet growers had harvested 41 percent of their acreage, 8 points behind last year and 13 points behind normal. Progress was behind normal in the four major producing States, despite advancing 31 points in Minnesota and 30 points in North Dakota. Warm weather continued to prevent piling in Michigan, as growers slipped to 25 points behind normal. The sunflower harvest advanced to 7 percent complete, compared with 31 percent last year and 22 percent for the 5-year average. Progress was 2 weeks behind normal in Kansas and South Dakota. Of the four major producing States, only Colorado growers were ahead of the normal pace. Corn: Percent Mature, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Oct 10,:Oct 3, :Oct 10,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 67 40 97 94 IL : 99 97 97 98 IN : 96 91 87 94 IA : 94 85 99 99 KS : 98 95 99 99 KY : 100 95 98 99 MI : 66 45 80 84 MN : 83 36 99 97 MO : 100 99 98 99 NE : 84 71 91 96 NC : 100 100 100 100 ND : 41 17 99 97 OH : 88 75 73 84 PA : 93 80 54 68 SD : 83 52 98 95 TN : 100 100 100 100 TX : 100 99 99 100 WI : 45 28 90 84 : 18 Sts: 88 74 94 95 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Oct 10,:Oct 3, :Oct 10,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 20 12 26 22 IL : 64 44 43 52 IN : 47 29 21 35 IA : 16 8 27 30 KS : 64 51 77 75 KY : 83 69 74 84 MI : 13 5 7 15 MN : 4 0 33 25 MO : 72 64 73 76 NE : 19 13 27 36 NC : 95 83 93 80 ND : 1 0 28 18 OH : 25 11 11 21 PA : 49 33 20 28 SD : 9 3 28 25 TN : 95 91 92 94 TX : 80 74 89 90 WI : 5 2 18 17 : 18 Sts: 34 23 35 39 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 94% of last year's corn acreage. Soybeans: Percent Dropping Leaves, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Oct 10,:Oct 3, :Oct 10,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 82 70 60 70 IL : 98 93 95 97 IN : 98 95 94 98 IA : 98 96 98 97 KS : 90 85 87 94 KY : 87 77 98 91 LA : 90 84 87 90 MI : 91 61 97 92 MN : 99 84 99 99 MS : 100 99 95 95 MO : 90 76 86 87 NE : 98 95 97 98 NC : 51 30 55 51 ND : 98 85 100 100 OH : 94 83 95 97 SD : 100 95 100 100 TN : 83 68 69 79 WI : 84 62 98 93 : 18 Sts: 94 86 93 94 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Soybeans: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Oct 10,:Oct 3, :Oct 10,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 55 43 32 33 IL : 70 50 57 55 IN : 73 55 37 50 IA : 81 49 76 63 KS : 52 35 19 44 KY : 37 22 22 31 LA : 70 66 60 67 MI : 40 16 35 32 MN : 42 20 83 70 MS : 95 91 80 68 MO : 39 25 24 36 NE : 63 37 59 58 NC : 7 3 3 6 ND : 51 12 79 69 OH : 61 37 37 51 SD : 43 10 69 54 TN : 37 27 19 26 WI : 28 10 45 37 : 18 Sts: 58 36 54 53 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Oct 10,:Oct 3, :Oct 10,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 7 5 18 11 CA : 7 5 8 8 CO : 97 91 97 94 ID : 68 54 81 72 IL : 34 13 28 34 IN : 44 25 31 36 KS : 70 52 73 74 MI : 63 41 52 56 MO : 22 10 30 30 MT : 92 86 89 81 NE : 91 85 95 95 NC : 12 10 17 16 OH : 58 25 34 51 OK : 78 66 76 69 OR : 60 44 50 36 SD : 87 68 90 88 TX : 68 62 74 64 WA : 86 73 87 88 : 18 Sts: 70 58 71 68 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 91% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Emerged, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Oct 10,:Oct 3, :Oct 10,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 0 6 3 CA : 2 0 2 2 CO : 80 55 67 69 ID : 24 17 31 27 IL : 6 2 5 7 IN : 9 2 7 9 KS : 43 24 43 42 MI : 12 9 14 19 MO : 6 3 11 10 MT : 63 43 26 39 NE : 71 57 79 76 NC : 4 3 3 5 OH : 9 0 2 10 OK : 49 36 58 41 OR : 14 7 21 16 SD : 55 34 45 55 TX : 44 30 46 36 WA : 66 48 61 66 : 18 Sts: 44 29 43 40 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 91% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Cotton: Percent Bolls Opening, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Oct 10,:Oct 3, :Oct 10,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 94 89 93 94 AZ : 99 99 99 100 AR : 98 94 90 97 CA : 95 90 91 93 GA : 94 90 89 90 LA : 96 89 99 99 MS : 97 95 97 99 MO : 97 88 86 96 NC : 99 95 87 91 OK : 87 80 94 92 SC : 91 81 72 83 TN : 98 87 87 96 TX : 61 56 68 85 VA : 95 90 69 81 : 14 Sts: 81 76 81 90 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States planted 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Oct 10,:Oct 3, :Oct 10,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 37 18 20 33 AZ : 20 15 14 22 AR : 43 28 31 44 CA : 15 5 6 11 GA : 21 12 20 23 LA : 45 25 67 71 MS : 62 44 56 56 MO : 40 18 23 51 NC : 25 11 6 11 OK : 20 6 15 23 SC : 23 13 9 20 TN : 35 16 21 44 TX : 21 20 24 31 VA : 17 13 3 14 : 14 Sts: 29 20 26 33 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 14 States harvested 98% of last year's cotton acreage. Spring Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Oct 10,:Oct 3, :Oct 10,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 100 100 100 100 MN : 99 95 99 99 MT : 98 95 100 98 ND : 96 91 100 99 SD : 100 100 100 100 WA : 100 100 100 100 : 6 Sts : 98 94 100 99 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States harvested 99% of last year's spring wheat acreage. Rice: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Oct 10,:Oct 3, :Oct 10,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 90 85 91 91 CA : 80 65 54 64 LA : 100 99 98 99 MS : 97 94 91 89 MO : 83 73 79 79 TX : 100 100 100 100 : 6 Sts : 91 85 86 87 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States harvested 100% of last year's rice acreage. Peanuts: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Oct 10,:Oct 3, :Oct 10,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 69 44 70 60 FL : 65 50 76 72 GA : 44 27 56 56 NC : 52 28 23 28 OK : 23 15 24 34 TX : 23 19 8 20 VA : 55 41 27 54 : 7 Sts : 45 30 45 48 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 7 States harvested 97% of last year's peanut acreage. Sugarbeets: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Oct 10,:Oct 3, :Oct 10,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 18 11 18 20 MI : 5 2 6 30 MN : 55 24 67 66 ND : 56 26 72 75 : 4 Sts : 41 19 49 54 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 4 States harvested 84% of last year's sugarbeets acreage. Sunflowers: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Oct 10,:Oct 3, :Oct 10,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 27 17 23 19 KS : 18 12 33 38 ND : 2 0 26 16 SD : 9 4 45 34 : 4 Sts : 7 3 31 22 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 4 States harvested 87% of last year's sunflowers acreage. Sorghum: Percent Coloring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Oct 10,:Oct 3, :Oct 10,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 100 100 100 CO : 94 81 100 96 IL : 100 100 97 99 KS : 96 93 95 98 LA : 100 100 100 100 MO : 100 99 99 100 NE : 99 97 99 100 NM : 67 65 93 95 OK : 92 86 94 95 SD : 100 98 100 100 TX : 94 89 84 95 : 11 Sts: 95 92 92 97 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Mature, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Oct 10,:Oct 3, :Oct 10,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 100 100 100 CO : 48 32 85 70 IL : 97 91 86 92 KS : 68 54 63 83 LA : 100 100 100 100 MO : 91 81 84 92 NE : 76 58 88 92 NM : 12 9 41 46 OK : 60 50 78 80 SD : 85 55 96 90 TX : 79 75 66 86 : 11 Sts: 74 63 70 85 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 1999- State:Oct 10,:Oct 3, :Oct 10,: 2003 : 2004 : 2004 : 2003 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 95 92 97 97 CO : 12 8 27 24 IL : 67 41 11 43 KS : 27 18 26 47 LA : 100 100 100 99 MO : 56 47 54 64 NE : 14 9 28 38 NM : 1 0 5 8 OK : 43 38 42 48 SD : 23 5 59 41 TX : 61 59 61 77 : 11 Sts: 44 38 45 60 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States harvested 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 10, 2004 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 2 3 10 47 38 IL : 1 2 13 57 27 IN : 2 3 11 43 41 IA : 2 5 18 49 26 KS : 4 7 16 47 26 KY : 1 3 14 40 42 MI : 3 10 32 42 13 MN : 3 5 27 49 16 MO : 1 4 14 53 28 NE : 4 5 17 52 22 NC : 1 3 26 59 11 ND : 9 18 31 35 7 OH : 3 7 19 46 25 PA : 2 3 8 39 48 SD : 4 6 27 48 15 TN : 0 2 9 47 42 TX : 0 2 13 49 36 WI : 4 13 23 41 19 : 18 Sts : 3 5 18 49 25 : Prev Wk : 2 6 19 49 24 Prev Yr : 7 13 29 39 12 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 10, 2004 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 7 24 41 27 IL : 1 4 18 54 23 IN : 2 4 16 49 29 IA : 2 6 20 52 20 KS : 1 9 20 52 18 KY : 2 10 24 41 23 LA : 3 17 41 34 5 MI : 3 10 33 41 13 MN : 4 11 38 41 6 MS : 0 5 15 45 35 MO : 2 6 21 50 21 NE : 4 9 25 48 14 NC : 1 3 17 68 11 ND : 6 17 38 34 5 OH : 4 8 20 43 25 SD : 2 9 25 52 12 TN : 3 4 16 51 26 WI : 2 14 26 41 17 : 18 Sts : 2 8 24 47 19 : Prev Wk : 3 8 23 47 19 Prev Yr : 9 18 35 31 7 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 10, 2004 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 10 23 17 32 18 AZ : 0 3 25 42 30 AR : 0 1 16 43 40 CA : 0 0 0 30 70 GA : 9 20 39 28 4 LA : 2 14 36 44 4 MS : 1 6 17 49 27 MO : 0 1 21 53 25 NC : 0 2 16 71 11 OK : 2 1 42 47 8 SC : 0 4 36 55 5 TN : 0 1 10 53 36 TX : 5 10 21 47 17 VA : 0 0 27 57 16 : 14 Sts : 4 9 21 45 21 : Prev Wk : 3 6 21 47 23 Prev Yr : 8 12 31 36 13 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 10, 2004 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 2 35 51 11 CO : 1 10 40 39 10 IL : 0 1 9 68 22 KS : 3 10 25 44 18 LA : 0 6 52 42 0 MO : 0 4 25 55 16 NE : 4 10 42 38 6 NM : 0 2 52 38 8 OK : 1 1 35 52 11 SD : 8 18 42 29 3 TX : 1 7 24 49 19 : 11 Sts : 2 8 28 46 16 : Prev Wk : 3 8 28 45 16 Prev Yr : 16 29 32 20 3 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 10, 2004 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 3 6 34 50 7 FL : 0 1 19 80 0 GA : 3 12 35 43 7 NC : 0 1 10 77 12 OK : 0 4 20 67 9 TX : 5 11 19 46 19 VA : 0 0 14 70 16 : 8 Sts : 3 8 27 52 10 : Prev Wk : 2 6 26 54 12 Prev Yr : 1 3 25 52 19 -------------------------------------- Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 10, 2004 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 3 16 44 35 2 :: NJ : 0 0 65 35 0 AZ : 22 38 17 16 7 :: NM : 3 10 38 37 12 AR : 14 29 38 15 4 :: NY : 0 6 29 48 17 CA : 65 35 0 0 0 :: NC : 0 2 10 67 21 CO : 5 20 39 32 4 :: ND : 24 20 32 21 3 CT : 0 10 33 57 0 :: OH : 2 8 29 48 13 DE : 0 2 11 77 10 :: OK : 3 11 33 44 9 FL : 1 2 66 25 6 :: OR : 4 18 36 40 2 GA : 0 5 35 55 5 :: PA : 7 5 22 48 18 ID : 1 15 41 43 0 :: RI : 0 10 20 70 0 IL : 10 21 38 28 3 :: SC : 0 2 24 67 7 IN : 12 27 35 23 3 :: SD : 13 23 34 26 4 IA : 6 15 34 37 8 :: TN : 2 9 30 52 7 KS : 6 20 37 34 3 :: TX : 3 9 33 42 13 KY : 12 14 28 35 11 :: UT : 6 11 39 42 2 LA : 8 26 40 25 1 :: VT : 3 31 26 34 6 ME : 0 1 17 58 24 :: VA : 0 3 16 56 25 MD : 0 7 26 40 27 :: WA : 5 14 40 41 0 MA : 0 0 11 83 6 :: WV : 0 8 27 56 9 MI : 10 27 37 20 6 :: WI : 6 19 41 32 2 MN : 2 9 33 48 8 :: WY : 38 23 17 18 4 MS : 17 11 32 37 3 :: : MO : 10 18 29 35 8 :: 48 Sts : 11 16 32 34 7 MT : 17 24 37 18 4 :: : NE : 19 23 32 25 1 :: Prev Wk: 11 17 31 34 7 NV : 23 26 41 10 0 :: Prev Yr: 14 22 30 29 5 NH : 0 3 25 44 28 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2003 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the Agricultural Statistics Service's office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Statistical Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. 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