We 1 (10-05) Weekly Weather And Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released October 4, 2005, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin call Brian T. Young at (202) 720-7621, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary Volume 92, No. 40 September 25 - October 1, 2005 For additional information, call (202) 720-2397. Highlights: Early in the week, Hurricane Rita's remnant circulation accelerated northeastward across the Delta and the eastern Corn Belt. Unharvested Delta row crops, including rice and open-boll cotton, were hurt again by heavy rain and gusty winds, just a month after Katrina lashed the region. Farther north, Rita merged with a cold front across the lower Great Lakes region, slowing or halting Midwestern fieldwork but providing drought relief and boosting soil moisture reserves for newly planted winter wheat. A second cold front crossed the Midwest at midweek, causing additional fieldwork delays. Significant rain also dampened the Northeast, but only light showers in the middle and southern Atlantic States capped the driest September on record for many locations. In contrast, persistent showers produced more than 2 inches of rain in parts of southern Florida. Meanwhile on the Plains, where summer crop harvesting and winter wheat planting advanced, a brief cool snap interrupted an otherwise warm, mostly dry weather pattern. A notable exception occurred in northeastern Kansas, where local downpours caused flooding on October 1-2. Elsewhere, stormy weather overspread the Northwest, signaling the onset of the 2005-06 wet season and providing much-needed moisture for recently planted winter grains. Locally heavy, late-week showers also dotted the Four Corners region, especially across northern New Mexico and southwestern Colorado. In southern California, however, a period of hot, windy weather fanned several large blazes, including the 24,000-acre Topanga fire in Chatsworth. Near- to above-normal temperatures prevailed nationwide, but hot weather was especially persistent across the South, where a late-season heat wave boosted Texas' weekly temperatures as much as 10 degrees F above normal. In McAllen, TX, daily-record highs were set or tied on 9 consecutive days to end the month, completing its hottest September on record (86.7 degrees F, or 4.0 degrees F above normal). McAllen's previous September standard of 85.3 degrees F was established in 1985. Similarly, Corpus Christi, TX, experienced its second-hottest September on record (84.5 degrees F, or 3.7 degrees F above normal), behind only 85.4 degrees F in 1977. Corpus Christi posted eight consecutive daily-record highs from September 22-29, its longest such streak on record (previously, 6 days from August 31 - September 5, 2000). In addition, Corpus Christi noted its latest high temperature of 105 degrees F or higher (106 degrees F on September 24; previously, 109 degrees F on September 5, 2000) and latest triple-digit heat (101 degrees F on September 28; previously, 102 degrees F on September 21, 1947). Elsewhere in Texas, Houston (100 degrees F on September 27) also observed its latest triple-digit heat, previously recorded with a high of 101 degrees F on September 19, 1956. Most impressively, however, San Angelo, TX (107 degrees F on September 25), tied its monthly record originally established on September 1, 1952. Heat was more fleeting farther north, although daily records were set in diverse locations such as North Platte, NE (93 degrees F on September 27), Florence, SC (91 degrees F on September 29), and Miles City, MT (94 degrees F on October 1). Meanwhile, a brief surge of chilly air generated scattered daily-record lows, including 21 degrees F (on September 25) in Redmond, OR, and 40 degrees F (on October 1) in Trenton, NJ. Very dry air in California resulted in large temperature variations, including a range of 57 degrees F in Ramona on September 28 (from a daily-record low of 44 degrees F to a daily-record high of 101 degrees F). However, cooler, more humid conditions returned to southern California toward week's end, allowing containment on the Topanga fire to reach 85 percent by October 2. Farther east, the remnants of Rita produced early-week heavy rain and isolated tornadoes across the South. A preliminary tally from the Storm Prediction Center indicated that there were more than seven dozen tornadoes across Louisiana, Mississippi, Arkansas, and Alabama on September 24-25. Daily-record rainfall totals associated with Rita on September 25 included 3.13 inches in Tupelo, MS, and 3.10 inches in Muscle Shoals, AL. Meanwhile, a cold front produced a daily-record total of 3.17 inches in Rochester, MN, its third-highest September daily sum behind 5.98 inches on September 12, 1978, and 4.04 inches on September 14, 2004. Later in the week, daily-record totals in southern Florida reached 3.07 inches (on September 27) in Miami and 1.88 inches in Fort Myers. Locally heavy showers also developed in the Southwest, where Albuquerque, NM, collected consecutive record totals (0.72 and 0.84 inch on September 28 and 29, respectively). Elsewhere, highly beneficial precipitation arrived in the Northwest, where record amounts for the last day of September included 2.09 inches in Troutdale, OR, and 1.67 inches in Vancouver, WA. Mullan Pass, ID, collected record precipitation on September 30 and October 1, totaling 3.41 inches. More than 1 foot of snow blanketed parts of the northern Rockies on October 1-2. Late-week precipitation also fell in northeastern Kansas, where Topeka's 3.31-inch total on October 1 exceeded its monthly normal of 2.99 inches. Soldier Creek in Topeka crested the following day, 1.61 feet higher than the high-water mark set on June 22, 1951. In contrast, the driest September on record came to a close in locations such as Washington, DC (0.11 inch; previously 0.14 inch in 1884), Richmond, VA (0.08 inch; previously 0.15 inch in 1884), Macon, GA (0.02 inch; previously 0.35 inch in 1984), and Columbia, SC (a trace; previously 0.07 inch in 1985). The remnants of former Hurricane Kenneth reached the Hawaiian Islands at week's end, sparking locally heavy rainfall. On the Big Island, 24-hour rainfall ending the morning of October 1 totaled 5.10 inches in Glenwood and 3.33 inches in Mountain View. During the ensuing 24-hour period (October 1-2), totals included 10.36 inches on Kauai's Mount Waialeale, 9.52 inches near Oahu's Nuuanu Pali State Wayside in the Koolau Range, and 6.28 inches in Mililani, Oahu. Meanwhile, heavy precipitation also soaked southeastern Alaska, while mild (weekly temperatures as much as 5 degrees F above normal), mostly dry weather prevailed on the Alaskan mainland. Juneau noted measurable rainfall on 15 consecutive days from September 16-30, boosting its monthly total to 9.92 inches (132 percent of normal). Elsewhere in southeastern Alaska, Yakutat netted 6.94 inches of rain during the last 7 days of September. Meanwhile on the Alaskan mainland, Bethel's monthly total of 6.28 inches (272 percent of normal) shattered its September 1954 record of 5.21 inches. National Agricultural Summary September 26 - October 2, 2005 Highlights: The remnants of Hurricane Rita caused widespread but moderate rainfall as the system moved through the middle Mississippi Valley and eastern Corn Belt. Meanwhile, arid conditions along the western Gulf Coast helped dry out fields soaked by Rita during the previous week. In the eastern Delta and adjacent areas of the Southeast, moderate to heavy rain was beneficial for cotton and peanuts, while dry weather in the southern and middle Atlantic Coast States continued to stress crops but was favorable for harvesting. Scattered, light-to-moderate precipitation in the Great Plains generally improved crop conditions. Moderate rain across the Pacific Northwest and northern Rocky Mountains replenished soil moisture necessary for winter wheat emergence, but more precipitation was needed. Moderate precipitation fell in the southern Rockies, while dry conditions prevailed across California and the Great Basin. Above-normal temperatures across most of the Nation were generally favorable for summer crop development. Corn: Ninety percent of the crop was mature, 18 percentage points ahead of last year and 6 points ahead of normal. Maturation advanced rapidly in the northwestern Corn Belt, advancing 30 points in Minnesota and North Dakota. However, the most rapid progress was in Colorado, where 32 percent of the crop reached maturity during the week. Progress was behind the normal pace only in Nebraska and Texas. Meanwhile, harvest advanced to 26 percent complete, 3 points ahead of last year but the same as the 5-year average. North Carolina growers had harvested 84 percent of their acreage, while in Texas, 81 percent of the crop had been reaped. Harvest was as much as 11 points behind normal in Kansas and Tennessee but was 21 points ahead of normal in Pennsylvania. Soybeans: Acreage dropping leaves advanced to 93 percent, compared with 84 percent last year and 85 percent for the 5-year average. Leaf dropping was ahead of the normal pace in all States, except Kansas, which was 4 points behind normal, and Kentucky, at the normal pace. Growers had harvested 36 percent of their acreage, 3 points ahead of last year and 6 points ahead of normal. Harvest was most advanced in the Delta, at 78 percent complete in Louisiana and 81 percent complete in Mississippi, but was just getting underway, at 4 percent complete, in North Carolina. Progress was ahead of normal in most areas, with only Indiana, Kansas, Missouri, and Ohio trailing the normal harvest pace. Winter Wheat: Planting advanced to 54 percent complete, 1 point behind last year but 1 point ahead of normal. Planting was well underway in the Great Plains and northern Rockies, with all States at the halfway point or beyond. Planting was most advanced in Colorado, at 87 percent, followed by Nebraska and South Dakota, at 83 percent. Across the Corn Belt, where fieldwork was hampered by rainfall from the remnants of Hurricane Rita, planting was less than 25 percent complete and behind the normal pace in most States. Acreage emerged, at 25 percent, was 2 points behind last year but the same as the 5-year average. Fifty-three percent of Colorado's and Nebraska's crop had emerged, while in California and North Carolina, emergence had not yet begun. Cotton: Seventy-seven percent of the acreage had open bolls, compared with 75 percent last year and 82 percent for the 5-year average. Bolls were open in all Louisiana fields and in over 90 percent of fields elsewhere in the Delta. Warm weather allowed development to progress ahead of normal across most growing areas. However, the crop remained over a week behind normal in Arizona and Texas and more than 2 weeks behind in California. Meanwhile, growers had harvested 20 percent of their acreage, 1 point ahead of last year but 3 points behind normal. In Louisiana, where growers were frantically attempting to harvest the crop ahead of Rita during the previous week, harvest was 53 percent complete, 7 points ahead of normal. With the exception of Virginia, growers in all other States trailed the normal pace by as much as 9 points in Alabama, Mississippi, and Oklahoma. Sorghum: The crop was turning color on 94 percent of the acreage, 3 points ahead of last year but the same as normal. New Mexico's crop, which had previously trailed well behind normal, advanced to 80 percent turning color, slightly ahead of the normal pace. Only Texas' crop trailed behind normal. Maturation advanced to 67 percent, compared with 59 percent last year and 73 percent for the 5-year average. The two largest producing States, Kansas and Texas, trailed the normal pace by 9 and 11 points, respectively. Harvest, at 36 percent complete, was 4 points ahead of last year but 11 points behind normal. Kansas growers trailed the normal harvest pace by nearly 2 weeks, while Texas growers slipped to 3 weeks behind normal. Rice: Harvest advanced to 72 percent complete, 11 points behind last year and 5 points behind normal. Texas producers had reaped 99 percent of their acreage, the same as the 5-year average pace. However, progress trailed behind normal in all other States, despite advancing 32 points in Missouri and 21 points in California. Other Crops: Peanut growers had harvested 23 percent of their acreage, compared with 28 percent last year and 31 percent for the 5-year average. Harvest was most advanced in the Southeast, at 35 percent in Florida, 28 percent in Alabama, and 27 percent complete in Georgia. However, all States trailed behind the normal harvest pace. The sugarbeet harvest reached 10 percent complete, 7 points behind last year and 10 points behind normal. Progress was slightly ahead of normal in Michigan but behind normal elsewhere. Warm weather continued to prevent piling in the Red River Valley, where Minnesota and North Dakota grower's harvesting pace lagged 14 and 18 points behind normal, respectively. Sunflower producers had reaped 6 percent of their crop, 2 points ahead of last year but 5 points behind normal. Progress was behind normal in all States. Corn: Percent Mature, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2000- State:Oct 2, :Sep 25,:Oct 2, : 2004 : 2005 : 2005 : 2004 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 77 45 38 75 IL : 97 91 96 94 IN : 89 74 90 85 IA : 96 81 81 91 KS : 96 89 95 96 KY : 97 95 95 97 MI : 86 77 43 55 MN : 86 56 33 79 MO : 100 96 98 97 NE : 81 72 68 84 NC : 100 100 100 100 ND : 85 55 15 74 OH : 79 65 72 63 PA : 87 73 77 58 SD : 87 74 49 80 TN : 100 97 100 100 TX : 94 90 99 99 WI : 80 57 26 55 : 18 Sts: 90 76 72 84 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2000- State:Oct 2, :Sep 25,:Oct 2, : 2004 : 2005 : 2005 : 2004 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 7 3 11 12 IL : 42 30 42 35 IN : 20 13 27 21 IA : 12 7 8 16 KS : 55 43 49 66 KY : 66 48 67 67 MI : 17 8 4 6 MN : 4 2 0 8 MO : 69 56 62 66 NE : 17 10 12 23 NC : 84 76 82 75 ND : 3 1 0 6 OH : 7 5 10 8 PA : 43 25 31 22 SD : 14 8 3 12 TN : 76 61 89 87 TX : 81 73 74 82 WI : 10 5 2 6 : 18 Sts: 26 18 23 26 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 94% of last year's corn acreage. Cotton: Percent Bolls Opening, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2000- State:Oct 2, :Sep 25,:Oct 2, : 2004 : 2005 : 2005 : 2004 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 94 76 88 90 AZ : 94 89 98 99 AR : 98 95 93 94 CA : 56 46 89 87 GA : 81 71 89 85 KS : 51 39 45 49 LA : 100 98 89 96 MS : 96 94 95 96 MO : 91 85 87 88 NC : 93 86 94 84 OK : 84 67 79 81 SC : 75 66 80 74 TN : 96 90 85 90 TX : 62 51 56 73 VA : 95 93 89 70 : 15 Sts: 77 68 75 82 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 15 States planted 99% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2000- State:Oct 2, :Sep 25,:Oct 2, : 2004 : 2005 : 2005 : 2004 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 7 3 16 16 AZ : 15 11 14 17 AR : 23 15 25 24 CA : 2 1 5 4 GA : 8 3 11 13 KS : 0 0 0 2 LA : 53 39 23 46 MS : 31 19 41 40 MO : 19 9 16 26 NC : 6 1 10 7 OK : 2 0 6 11 SC : 8 2 12 12 TN : 17 9 14 23 TX : 24 23 20 26 VA : 10 5 12 8 : 15 Sts: 20 15 19 23 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 15 States harvested 99% of last year's cotton acreage. Soybeans: Percent Dropping Leaves, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2000- State:Oct 2, :Sep 25,:Oct 2, : 2004 : 2005 : 2005 : 2004 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 73 59 68 61 IL : 94 86 91 89 IN : 95 86 94 90 IA : 97 90 94 90 KS : 83 68 84 87 KY : 78 58 77 78 LA : 91 83 83 80 MI : 97 91 58 73 MN : 97 85 80 94 MS : 97 94 99 91 MO : 82 64 74 72 NE : 98 92 93 92 NC : 57 46 29 33 ND : 98 83 80 95 OH : 97 92 82 88 SD : 100 95 93 96 TN : 88 80 66 62 WI : 93 85 60 77 : 18 Sts: 93 83 84 85 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 95% of last year's soybean acreage. Soybeans: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2000- State:Oct 2, :Sep 25,:Oct 2, : 2004 : 2005 : 2005 : 2004 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 40 32 42 27 IL : 36 19 47 33 IN : 22 13 52 27 IA : 50 27 44 34 KS : 20 8 33 32 KY : 20 6 20 15 LA : 78 73 64 56 MI : 38 19 14 12 MN : 39 16 17 39 MS : 81 78 90 66 MO : 12 5 23 19 NE : 45 19 34 29 NC : 4 0 3 2 ND : 55 17 10 40 OH : 19 12 35 21 SD : 34 15 9 29 TN : 30 20 25 16 WI : 23 11 9 13 : 18 Sts: 36 19 33 30 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 95% of last year's soybean acreage. Rice: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2000- State:Oct 2, :Sep 25,:Oct 2, : 2004 : 2005 : 2005 : 2004 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 74 64 83 80 CA : 41 20 63 47 LA : 94 92 99 97 MS : 77 60 93 81 MO : 58 26 71 63 TX : 99 98 100 99 : 6 Sts : 72 60 83 77 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States harvested 100% of last year's rice acreage. Peanuts: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2000- State:Oct 2, :Sep 25,:Oct 2, : 2004 : 2005 : 2005 : 2004 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 28 22 40 42 FL : 35 25 47 49 GA : 27 14 25 32 NC : 9 6 26 15 OK : 14 6 14 17 TX : 8 4 18 15 VA : 22 9 39 34 : 7 Sts : 23 14 28 31 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 7 States harvested 96% of last year's peanut acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2000- State:Oct 2, :Sep 25,:Oct 2, : 2004 : 2005 : 2005 : 2004 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 6 5 5 5 CA : 3 2 5 6 CO : 87 72 90 84 ID : 53 35 52 50 IL : 11 5 12 11 IN : 11 6 22 15 KS : 55 30 49 50 MI : 24 19 39 32 MO : 12 8 9 12 MT : 74 71 83 67 NE : 83 69 83 85 NC : 2 2 10 9 OH : 10 7 22 16 OK : 60 41 63 56 OR : 16 12 38 30 SD : 83 65 65 72 TX : 50 41 62 56 WA : 74 52 70 75 : 18 Sts: 54 39 55 53 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 91% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Emerged, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2000- State:Oct 2, :Sep 25,:Oct 2, : 2004 : 2005 : 2005 : 2004 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 0 0 1 CA : 0 0 0 0 CO : 53 30 53 47 ID : 15 5 16 15 IL : 2 1 2 1 IN : 1 0 2 2 KS : 25 9 22 21 MI : 5 1 8 8 MO : 3 2 3 2 MT : 17 10 39 23 NE : 53 34 54 55 NC : 0 0 3 2 OH : 1 0 0 1 OK : 31 13 33 29 OR : 5 2 6 7 SD : 33 13 32 31 TX : 20 11 29 26 WA : 40 25 46 50 : 18 Sts: 25 12 27 25 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 91% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Sugarbeets: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2000- State:Oct 2, :Sep 25,:Oct 2, : 2004 : 2005 : 2005 : 2004 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 10 6 10 12 MI : 6 3 2 4 MN : 11 8 21 25 ND : 9 6 23 27 : 4 Sts : 10 6 17 20 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 4 States harvested 82% of last year's sugarbeets acreage. Sunflowers: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2000- State:Oct 2, :Sep 25,:Oct 2, : 2004 : 2005 : 2005 : 2004 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 10 NA 16 16 KS : 15 NA 11 27 ND : 2 NA 0 4 SD : 8 NA 4 18 : 4 Sts : 6 NA 4 11 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 4 States harvested 87% of last year's sunflowers acreage. Sorghum: Percent Coloring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2000- State:Oct 2, :Sep 25,:Oct 2, : 2004 : 2005 : 2005 : 2004 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 100 100 100 CO : 86 71 78 84 IL : 97 94 100 97 KS : 97 92 92 96 LA : 100 100 100 100 MO : 100 96 99 99 NE : 100 99 96 98 NM : 80 52 64 78 OK : 93 88 85 89 SD : 100 97 97 98 TX : 90 86 89 92 : 11 Sts: 94 89 91 94 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Mature, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2000- State:Oct 2, :Sep 25,:Oct 2, : 2004 : 2005 : 2005 : 2004 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 99 97 100 100 CO : 40 35 30 46 IL : 94 86 90 81 KS : 62 42 52 71 LA : 100 100 100 100 MO : 90 81 80 84 NE : 86 65 55 75 NM : 15 11 9 25 OK : 62 48 49 65 SD : 82 61 52 71 TX : 70 66 75 81 : 11 Sts: 67 53 59 73 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2000- State:Oct 2, :Sep 25,:Oct 2, : 2004 : 2005 : 2005 : 2004 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 89 82 92 92 CO : 10 4 7 14 IL : 36 25 38 26 KS : 22 13 17 38 LA : 100 99 100 97 MO : 56 41 45 52 NE : 13 5 8 25 NM : 1 0 0 2 OK : 27 22 37 43 SD : 26 12 5 21 TX : 61 59 59 70 : 11 Sts: 36 30 32 47 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States harvested 98% of last year's sorghum acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 2, 2005 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 3 7 22 47 21 IL : 21 27 31 18 3 IN : 5 13 35 39 8 IA : 2 6 19 50 23 KS : 4 11 32 48 5 KY : 4 13 26 39 18 MI : 2 7 28 48 15 MN : 1 5 19 49 26 MO : 22 21 26 26 5 NE : 4 8 23 45 20 NC : 2 10 27 41 20 ND : 1 5 22 50 22 OH : 5 13 35 36 11 PA : 4 10 29 42 15 SD : 5 11 26 47 11 TN : 2 9 31 46 12 TX : 12 16 31 30 11 WI : 6 12 25 38 19 : 18 Sts : 7 12 26 40 15 : Prev Wk : 8 13 27 38 14 Prev Yr : 2 6 19 49 24 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 2, 2005 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 11 20 34 29 6 IL : 11 18 38 29 4 IN : 4 10 31 47 8 IA : 2 4 17 47 30 KS : 2 9 33 49 7 KY : 4 9 26 42 19 LA : 7 14 41 35 3 MI : 4 12 31 41 12 MN : 1 4 19 49 27 MS : 4 9 23 52 12 MO : 11 20 34 27 8 NE : 3 8 28 43 18 NC : 5 23 35 34 3 ND : 2 5 19 54 20 OH : 2 10 32 43 13 SD : 4 11 28 45 12 TN : 2 8 27 49 14 WI : 4 9 27 42 18 : 18 Sts : 5 11 28 41 15 : Prev Wk : 5 11 29 42 13 Prev Yr : 3 8 23 47 19 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 2, 2005 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 2 6 30 54 8 AZ : 1 6 30 54 9 AR : 2 10 26 44 18 CA : 0 0 15 60 25 GA : 2 8 34 46 10 KS : 1 3 40 47 9 LA : 7 14 35 41 3 MS : 11 17 34 36 2 MO : 6 13 23 52 6 NC : 5 11 38 45 1 OK : 4 8 21 59 8 SC : 0 7 31 60 2 TN : 0 3 23 58 16 TX : 6 13 23 46 12 VA : 0 10 30 55 5 : 15 Sts : 5 11 27 46 11 : Prev Wk : 5 10 27 46 12 Prev Yr : 3 6 21 47 23 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 2, 2005 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 4 16 38 35 7 CO : 3 20 41 34 2 IL : 2 15 26 55 2 KS : 3 12 40 39 6 LA : 1 10 31 48 10 MO : 11 20 44 23 2 NE : 4 10 25 48 13 NM : 0 16 38 45 1 OK : 0 4 29 47 20 SD : 10 11 37 40 2 TX : 7 9 33 42 9 : 11 Sts : 4 11 36 42 7 : Prev Wk : 5 11 36 40 8 Prev Yr : 3 8 28 45 16 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2004 planted acres. Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 2, 2005 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 3 6 32 53 6 FL : 0 3 32 40 25 GA : 3 11 40 41 5 NC : 4 9 40 43 4 OK : 0 2 21 69 8 TX : 0 3 21 53 23 VA : 1 6 29 64 0 : 8 Sts : 2 8 34 46 10 : Prev Wk : 2 7 34 46 11 Prev Yr : 2 6 26 54 12 -------------------------------------- Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 2, 2005 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 2 10 32 52 4 :: NJ : 0 90 10 0 0 AZ : 9 34 31 20 6 :: NM : 5 23 36 33 3 AR : 27 33 30 10 0 :: NY : 7 24 34 32 3 CA : 60 26 14 0 0 :: NC : 15 25 35 19 6 CO : 8 28 38 23 3 :: ND : 4 16 34 41 5 CT : 30 27 27 12 4 :: OH : 7 16 39 32 6 DE : 24 14 45 17 0 :: OK : 9 12 36 39 4 FL : 0 15 40 40 5 :: OR : 25 28 33 14 0 GA : 10 32 35 22 1 :: PA : 38 34 22 6 0 ID : 1 17 39 33 10 :: RI : 0 50 50 0 0 IL : 16 22 37 24 1 :: SC : 8 33 44 15 0 IN : 6 16 44 31 3 :: SD : 9 16 30 39 6 IA : 17 27 30 23 3 :: TN : 7 16 43 32 2 KS : 8 18 38 33 3 :: TX : 18 34 32 14 2 KY : 17 27 31 23 2 :: UT : *1 *3 *18 *61 17 LA : 16 31 34 14 5 :: VT : 8 12 68 8 4 ME : 0 1 19 64 16 :: VA : 29 33 27 11 0 MD : 8 28 45 18 1 :: WA : 11 12 27 50 0 MA : 0 15 47 38 0 :: WV : 15 35 38 11 1 MI : 9 25 40 22 4 :: WI : 6 23 36 30 5 MN : 3 9 32 47 9 :: WY : 5 16 28 47 4 MS : 18 28 27 17 10 :: : MO : 17 22 37 22 2 :: 48 Sts : 15 23 33 26 3 MT : 10 16 42 30 2 :: : NE : 9 22 37 29 3 :: Prev Wk: 14 24 33 26 3 NV : 2 3 20 40 35 :: Prev Yr: 11 17 31 34 7 NH : 2 7 35 48 8 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Revised. VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2004 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the Agricultural Statistics Service's office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Statistical Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. 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