We 1 (10-06) Weekly Weather And Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released October 11, 2006, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" call Brian T. Young at (202) 720-7621, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary Volume 93, No. 41 October 1 - 7, 2006 For additional information, call (202) 720-2397. Highlights: A late-season warm spell promoted summer crop maturation and harvesting, particularly across the Plains and the South. Weekly temperatures averaged more than 10 degrees F above normal in numerous locations across the Plains and the western Corn Belt. In these same areas, readings above 90 degrees F established several monthly record highs. In contrast, near- to below-normal temperatures prevailed in the Northeastern and West Coast States. California's Central Valley was especially cool, with weekly readings at least 5 degrees F below normal. Elsewhere in the West, a pair of storms generated scattered rain and snow showers. Late-week precipitation topped 1 inch from the Four Corners region northward into parts of Montana, with 2-inch totals common across Utah and western Colorado. Winter grains in Idaho received beneficial moisture, but more rain was needed for wheat establishment in the Pacific Northwest. Farther east, beneficial showers dotted the northern Plains, but warm, dry weather prevailed from Texas to South Dakota. Toward week's end, showers began to overspread the High Plains in advance of a developing Western storm, slowing fieldwork but providing much-needed moisture for pasture recovery and emerging winter wheat. Meanwhile, summer crop harvesting advanced rapidly across the western Corn Belt, but additional rain perpetuated soggy conditions and fieldwork delays farther east. In particular, winter wheat planting and corn and soybean harvesting continued to languish in many areas from the Ohio Valley northward to the vicinity of Lake Michigan. Wet conditions also developed or worsened in the Mid-Atlantic States due to a slow-moving disturbance. Late-week rainfall topped 4 inches across much of Virginia, including peanut and cotton areas in the southeastern part of the state. The remainder of the South experienced warm, mostly dry weather, allowing autumn fieldwork to proceed with few delays. The first few days of October featured record-setting warmth across the Plains, Midwest, and South. Russell, KS, opened October with a monthly record high of 97 degrees F (previously, 96 degrees F on October 5, 1956, October 8, 1991, and October 2, 1997), then attained 99 degrees F on October 3. Other monthly record highs set or tied on October 3 included 98 degrees F in Dodge City, KS (previously, 96 degrees F on October 14, 1968); 95 degrees F in Burlington, IA (tied 95 degrees F on October 13, 1899); 95 degrees F in Moline, IL (previously, 93 degrees F on October 3, 1997); and 94 degrees F in St. Louis, MO (tied 94 degrees F on October 2, 1953, and October 11, 1963). Kansas City, MO (94, 95, and 95 degrees F from October 1-3), achieved highs of 90 degrees F or greater on 3 consecutive October days for the first time since 1963. Similarly, Rochester, MN (83, 84 and 81 degrees F from October 1-3), experienced its longest October spell with highs of 80 degrees F or greater since October 5-7, 1997. Although cooler weather arrived across the northern and central Plains and the Midwest by October 4, record-setting warmth continued farther south. In Mississippi, Vicksburg posted three consecutive daily-record highs (95 degrees F each day) from October 3-5. Elsewhere, Houston, TX, notched consecutive record highs (94 and 93 degrees F) on October 5 and 6. Meanwhile, warmth returned to the Plains by week's end, when daily-record highs for October 7 included 88 degrees F in both Kearney, NE, and Aberdeen, SD. Although the majority of the Nation experienced dry weather during the first week of October, there were notable exceptions. Early in the week, locally heavy showers dotted the Great Lakes and Northeastern States. Daily records included 1.57 inches (on October 1) in Hartford, CT, and 2.02 inches (on October 2) in Muskegon, MI. Showers returned to the Nation's northern tier by mid-week, then intensified across the Mid-Atlantic States. Columbus, OH (1.57 inches) netted a record total for October 4, followed the next day by a daily record in Huntington, WV (1.39 inches). Rainfall records for October 6 included 2.72 inches in Salisbury, MD, and 2.16 inches at Wallops Island, VA. Unofficial late-week rainfall reached or exceeded 10 inches in southeastern Virginia locations such as James City (10.53 inches) and Newport News (10.00 inches). In addition, October 6-7 wind gusts were clocked near 50 m.p.h. in the Mid-Atlantic coastal region, where minor to moderate tidal flooding was reported. Farther west, unusually heavy precipitation developed toward week's end across the Intermountain West. On October 5-6, 24-hour rainfall reached record proportions in parts of Utah and Colorado. During that period, 3.00 inches of rain soaked Hanksville, UT, shattering its 24-hour precipitation record of 1.80 inches set on August 13-14, 1952. October 24-hour records were established in locations such as Monticello, UT (2.62 inches; previously, 2.02 inches on October 18-19, 1949), and Altenbern, CO (1.87 inches; previously, 1.48 inches on October 30-31, 1992). Precipitation also overspread the interior Northwest, where rainfall records for October 7 included 1.05 inches in Lewistown, MT, and 1.00 inch in Challis, ID. Mild, wet conditions prevailed across much of Alaska, where mainland temperatures generally ranged from 3 to 9 degrees F above normal. Wetness was most pronounced across southern and western Alaska. Valdez noted consecutive daily-record totals (2.39 and 1.33 inches) on October 3-4, while other records for October 4 included 2.60 inches in Juneau and 2.40 inches in Sitka. During the first 10 days of October, precipitation totals were at least 400 percent of normal in Alaskan locations such as Valdez (13.20 inches, or 422 percent) and Bethel (2.95 inches, or 557 percent). Farther south, mostly tranquil weather prevailed in Hawaii, although heavy rain briefly fell across parts of the Big Island. From October 5-7, 48-hour totals on the Big Island included 7.95 inches at Kapapala Ranch and 5.80 inches at Glenwood. In contrast, October 1-10 rainfall totaled just 0.01 inch (less than 1 percent of normal) in Lihue, Kauai. National Agricultural Summary October 2 - 8, 2006 Highlights: Temperatures averaged above normal across most of the Nation, with only the Pacific Coast and parts of the Northeast experiencing below-normal temperatures. Across most of the Great Plains and western Corn Belt, temperatures exceeded the normal by over 6 degrees Fahrenheit. Meanwhile, showers continued to hinder fieldwork in the eastern Corn Belt and middle Atlantic Coast States. The Rocky Mountains also saw moderate rainfall. Conditions were dry across the Great Plains and western Corn Belt, where soybean harvest progressed rapidly. Mostly dry conditions also prevailed along the Pacific Coast, in the Mississippi Delta, and in the Southeast Corn: Maturation of the crop advanced to 95 percent, the same as last year but 4 percentage points ahead of normal. Progress was behind normal in Indiana, Kansas, and Kentucky but at or ahead of normal elsewhere. Growers had harvested 29 percent of their acreage, compared with 35 percent last year and 32 percent for the 5-year average. Harvest progress was behind normal in most States, trailing about a week behind normal in the Ohio River Valley and eastern Corn Belt, where wet conditions in recent weeks have hampered fieldwork. Though dry conditions prevailed in the western Corn Belt and Great Plains, growers there focused on harvesting soybeans. Soybeans: Ninety-five percent of the acreage was dropping leaves or beyond, 1 point behind last year but 2 points ahead of normal. Development trailed behind normal in the eastern Corn Belt and Ohio River Valley but was at or ahead of the normal pace elsewhere. Meanwhile, harvest advanced to 47 percent complete, 9 points behind last year but the same as the 5-year average. Harvest progressed rapidly in the western Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Great Plains under favorably dry conditions. Harvest advanced over 40 points in Iowa, Minnesota, and South Dakota and over 30 points in Illinois, Nebraska, and North Dakota. However, soggy fields continued to hinder harvest in the eastern Corn Belt, with Indiana and Ohio slipping to over a week behind normal. Winter Wheat: Producers had sown 69 percent of their crop, compared with 68 percent last year and 70 percent for the 5-year average. Planting advanced 24 to 26 points in Idaho, Illinois, and Kansas, but progress was limited to 16 points or less elsewhere. Again, progress trailed well behind normal in the eastern Corn Belt due to the delayed harvest of double-cropped soybeans and wet field conditions. Emergence advanced to 37 percent, 1 point behind last year and 4 points behind normal. The most rapid progress was in Nebraska, where 29 percent of the acreage emerged during the week. Cotton: Eighty-six percent of the acreage was at or beyond the boll opening stage, 3 points ahead of last year and 2 points ahead of the 5-year average. All of Louisiana's and Mississippi's acreage had open bolls, while 95 percent or more of the crop had open bolls in Arizona, Arkansas, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia. Meanwhile, harvest advanced to 32 percent complete, compared with 27 percent for last year and the 5-year average. The most rapid progress was in Virginia, where growers harvested 21 percent of their acreage during the week, despite heavy rainfall in some areas. Progress was also rapid in the Delta, advancing 18 points in Arkansas and 19 points in Louisiana and Mississippi. Texas growers, however, advanced just 1 point and slipped behind their normal harvest pace. Sorghum: Acreage turning color or beyond, at 93 percent, was 4 points behind last year and 3 points behind normal. Though progress led the normal pace in most States, Kansas, the leading producing State, was 6 points behind normal. Sixty-nine percent of the acreage was at or beyond maturity, compared with 74 percent last year and 76 percent for the 5-year average. Most States were at or behind normal, with Kansas, New Mexico, and Oklahoma trailing the normal pace by a week. Growers had reaped 42 percent of their acreage, 1 point behind last year and 4 points behind normal. Harvest was complete in Louisiana and nearly complete in Arkansas, but had not yet begun in New Mexico. Rice: Harvest advanced to 88 percent complete, 4 points ahead of last year and 2 points ahead of normal. California growers harvested 17 percent of their acreage during the week but remained behind normal due to delayed planting in the spring. Harvest was complete in Louisiana and nearly complete in Mississippi and Texas. Other Crops: Twenty-three percent of the Nation's peanut acreage had been harvested, compared with 35 percent last year and 41 percent for the 5-year average. Progress was over a week behind normal nationwide, two weeks behind normal in Florida, and nearly 3 weeks behind normal in Alabama. Only Texas and Virginia growers were ahead of the normal harvest pace. Sugarbeet growers had harvested 39 percent of their acreage, 13 points ahead of last year but 1 point behind normal. Harvest advanced 32 points in Minnesota and 29 points in North Dakota under mostly dry conditions. The sunflower harvest advanced to 15 percent complete, 2 points ahead of last year but 1 point behind normal. Colorado growers harvested 18 percent of their acreage during the week, while North Dakota growers harvested 12 percent, both advancing ahead of the normal pace. However, Kansas and South Dakota producers trailed over a week behind their normal harvest pace. Soybeans: Percent Dropping Leaves, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2001- State:Oct 8, :Oct 1, :Oct 8, : 2005 : 2006 : 2006 : 2005 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 86 73 80 72 IL : 96 89 98 96 IN : 90 76 98 96 IA : 99 95 100 96 KS : 93 78 91 90 KY : 85 73 92 90 LA : 96 93 94 87 MI : 87 78 100 92 MN : 99 97 100 98 MS : 100 98 99 96 MO : 91 73 91 83 NE : 99 93 100 97 NC : 53 37 67 51 ND : 100 100 99 99 OH : 95 87 100 96 SD : 100 97 100 99 TN : 92 80 93 78 WI : 96 81 97 88 : 18 Sts: 95 87 96 93 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 95% of last year's soybean acreage. Soybeans: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2001- State:Oct 8, :Oct 1, :Oct 8, : 2005 : 2006 : 2006 : 2005 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 56 40 49 39 IL : 47 15 59 54 IN : 18 6 48 46 IA : 68 26 74 58 KS : 32 11 40 37 KY : 20 5 29 25 LA : 82 79 81 64 MI : 19 7 63 35 MN : 62 19 58 53 MS : 96 91 90 76 MO : 37 11 27 27 NE : 49 17 71 51 NC : 6 2 7 5 ND : 77 43 70 63 OH : 15 8 49 44 SD : 52 8 55 47 TN : 38 24 42 26 WI : 22 9 44 29 : 18 Sts: 47 19 56 47 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Cotton: Percent Bolls Opening, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2001- State:Oct 8, :Oct 1, :Oct 8, : 2005 : 2006 : 2006 : 2005 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 93 89 95 93 AZ : 96 93 96 99 AR : 97 91 98 96 CA : 71 66 64 86 GA : 94 91 85 89 KS : 60 35 66 55 LA : 100 100 100 98 MS : 100 99 98 97 MO : 92 90 93 93 NC : 95 84 96 93 OK : 81 66 93 87 SC : 80 78 82 82 TN : 98 93 99 94 TX : 77 73 71 73 VA : 99 96 98 86 : 15 Sts: 86 82 83 84 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 15 States planted 99% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2001- State:Oct 8, :Oct 1, :Oct 8, : 2005 : 2006 : 2006 : 2005 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 38 27 17 22 AZ : 21 19 18 20 AR : 49 31 46 35 CA : 1 0 4 8 GA : 27 17 13 19 KS : 15 1 0 1 LA : 78 59 70 56 MS : 77 58 49 46 MO : 22 9 36 33 NC : 9 3 16 14 OK : 13 3 6 14 SC : 14 6 15 17 TN : 30 15 28 29 TX : 24 23 25 26 VA : 28 7 19 17 : 15 Sts: 32 24 27 27 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 15 States harvested 99% of last year's cotton acreage. Corn: Percent Mature, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2001- State:Oct 8, :Oct 1, :Oct 8, : 2005 : 2006 : 2006 : 2005 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 95 71 88 85 IL : 99 96 99 98 IN : 83 73 94 91 IA : 99 94 99 96 KS : 97 96 97 98 KY : 97 96 99 99 MI : 88 77 94 78 MN : 97 88 95 90 MO : 99 97 100 99 NE : 94 88 91 89 NC : 100 100 100 100 ND : 99 95 94 83 OH : 84 73 86 78 PA : 79 77 93 78 SD : 95 82 94 90 TN : 100 100 100 100 TX : 100 99 96 98 WI : 89 69 89 71 : 18 Sts: 95 88 95 91 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 93% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2001- State:Oct 8, :Oct 1, :Oct 8, : 2005 : 2006 : 2006 : 2005 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 15 7 16 17 IL : 44 28 56 48 IN : 19 10 29 29 IA : 17 8 19 16 KS : 69 58 69 70 KY : 67 52 78 79 MI : 8 5 25 14 MN : 8 4 7 11 MO : 84 71 76 73 NE : 18 10 26 22 NC : 87 72 90 85 ND : 17 6 6 11 OH : 8 4 13 15 PA : 25 23 55 39 SD : 16 9 20 18 TN : 94 83 86 90 TX : 88 73 85 85 WI : 10 6 19 11 : 18 Sts: 29 20 35 32 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 95% of last year's corn acreage. Peanuts: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2001- State:Oct 8, :Oct 1, :Oct 8, : 2005 : 2006 : 2006 : 2005 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 12 6 42 54 FL : 29 15 45 61 GA : 26 12 40 46 NC : 23 12 26 30 OK : 5 3 13 14 SC : 34 24 39 41 TX : 16 5 14 15 VA : 35 18 30 30 : 8 Sts : 23 11 35 41 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States harvested 98% of last year's peanut acreage. Rice: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2001- State:Oct 8, :Oct 1, :Oct 8, : 2005 : 2006 : 2006 : 2005 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 92 81 85 88 CA : 58 41 60 64 LA : 100 99 97 98 MS : 96 91 91 89 MO : 81 70 79 75 TX : 99 99 100 100 : 6 Sts : 88 79 84 86 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States harvested 100% of last year's rice acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2001- State:Oct 8, :Oct 1, :Oct 8, : 2005 : 2006 : 2006 : 2005 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 15 3 11 10 CA : 5 4 4 6 CO : 93 84 93 94 ID : 73 49 66 67 IL : 34 8 35 30 IN : 17 5 31 31 KS : 75 50 72 72 MI : 31 15 64 53 MO : 28 12 27 24 MT : 84 68 89 87 NE : 91 80 91 92 NC : 6 4 3 11 OH : 13 6 43 43 OK : 64 51 69 75 OR : 70 57 27 39 SD : 90 78 91 87 TX : 67 57 58 66 WA : 85 73 78 83 : 18 Sts: 69 54 68 70 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Emerged, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2001- State:Oct 8, :Oct 1, :Oct 8, : 2005 : 2006 : 2006 : 2005 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 2 1 2 2 CA : 0 0 0 1 CO : 69 46 74 65 ID : 30 14 22 24 IL : 4 1 6 6 IN : 2 1 4 6 KS : 34 21 37 40 MI : 11 2 24 16 MO : 7 4 6 7 MT : 32 14 46 43 NE : 66 37 68 71 NC : 1 0 0 3 OH : 1 0 4 6 OK : 34 22 46 50 OR : 27 25 6 14 SD : 60 40 48 49 TX : 40 27 28 38 WA : 58 44 43 58 : 18 Sts: 37 24 38 41 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Sunflower: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2001- State:Oct 8, :Oct 1, :Oct 8, : 2005 : 2006 : 2006 : 2005 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 30 12 25 21 KS : 16 9 28 27 ND : 15 3 6 10 SD : 8 5 14 22 : 4 Sts : 15 5 13 16 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 4 States harvested 82% of last year's sunflower acreage. Sugarbeets: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2001- State:Oct 8, :Oct 1, :Oct 8, : 2005 : 2006 : 2006 : 2005 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 22 12 14 16 MI : 10 5 10 10 MN : 50 18 33 50 ND : 47 18 31 54 : 4 Sts : 39 15 26 40 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 4 States harvested 82% of last year's sugarbeets acreage. Sorghum: Percent Coloring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2001- State:Oct 8, :Oct 1, :Oct 8, : 2005 : 2006 : 2006 : 2005 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 100 100 100 CO : 94 86 97 94 IL : 99 99 99 98 KS : 91 89 98 97 LA : 100 100 100 100 MO : 100 98 100 100 NE : 100 100 100 99 NM : 64 59 84 87 OK : 91 89 96 93 SD : 100 100 100 100 TX : 94 87 95 93 : 11 Sts: 93 89 97 96 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Mature, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2001- State:Oct 8, :Oct 1, :Oct 8, : 2005 : 2006 : 2006 : 2005 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 100 100 100 CO : 55 48 57 60 IL : 96 88 95 90 KS : 58 48 69 72 LA : 100 100 100 100 MO : 95 85 94 90 NE : 87 72 91 85 NM : 16 12 19 31 OK : 54 39 72 72 SD : 93 75 89 85 TX : 79 74 78 80 : 11 Sts: 69 60 74 76 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2001- State:Oct 8, :Oct 1, :Oct 8, : 2005 : 2006 : 2006 : 2005 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 99 93 92 95 CO : 10 3 14 19 IL : 42 12 59 46 KS : 25 20 30 34 LA : 100 100 100 98 MO : 63 50 63 60 NE : 16 5 22 22 NM : 0 0 4 4 OK : 25 19 29 44 SD : 30 7 39 35 TX : 71 70 64 67 : 11 Sts: 42 38 43 46 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States harvested 98% of last year's sorghum acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 8, 2006 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 6 12 22 44 16 IL : 2 5 20 51 22 IN : 2 6 20 53 19 IA : 3 6 21 47 23 KS : 8 19 41 27 5 KY : 0 3 12 35 50 MI : 0 4 18 54 24 MN : 6 8 21 48 17 MO : 6 12 32 43 7 NE : 6 11 29 39 15 NC : 0 1 20 43 36 ND : 8 20 39 32 1 OH : 1 7 21 47 24 PA : 3 4 21 54 18 SD : 21 23 23 28 5 TN : 5 10 23 45 17 TX : 34 18 28 17 3 WI : 7 7 24 40 22 : 18 Sts : 6 9 24 43 18 : Prev Wk : 5 10 24 43 18 Prev Yr : 7 12 25 41 15 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 8, 2006 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 11 15 31 31 12 IL : 2 5 17 53 23 IN : 1 5 19 55 20 IA : 1 5 19 50 25 KS : 7 17 43 27 6 KY : 0 3 20 45 32 LA : 5 18 31 40 6 MI : 0 5 22 48 25 MN : 4 6 23 45 22 MS : 13 23 32 28 4 MO : 5 15 31 43 6 NE : 3 8 27 43 19 NC : 0 3 30 58 9 ND : 4 13 37 42 4 OH : 2 7 23 47 21 SD : 9 14 27 41 9 TN : 3 8 19 42 28 WI : 2 6 27 42 23 : 18 Sts : 4 9 25 44 18 : Prev Wk : 4 9 25 45 17 Prev Yr : 5 10 28 42 15 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 8, 2006 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 38 33 20 8 1 AZ : 0 10 32 48 10 AR : 1 7 25 48 19 CA : 0 0 20 63 17 GA : 14 23 31 27 5 KS : 5 15 25 50 5 LA : 4 11 34 46 5 MS : 11 17 27 32 13 MO : 0 5 21 69 5 NC : 1 8 36 52 3 OK : 23 29 32 15 1 SC : 1 8 49 34 8 TN : 2 4 19 48 27 TX : 19 25 30 21 5 VA : 0 12 23 33 32 : 15 Sts : 13 18 29 32 8 : Prev Wk : 12 18 29 33 8 Prev Yr : 5 10 25 48 12 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 8, 2006 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 3 11 39 38 9 CO : 1 14 32 51 2 IL : 4 12 28 51 5 KS : 12 24 36 23 5 LA : 1 5 26 58 10 MO : 2 11 39 43 5 NE : 5 8 31 42 14 NM : 28 15 23 26 8 OK : 18 20 25 26 11 SD : 23 28 35 13 1 TX : 34 21 24 20 1 : 11 Sts : 19 21 31 25 4 : Prev Wk : 17 19 32 27 5 Prev Yr : 4 10 37 41 8 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2005 planted acres. Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 8, 2006 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 7 34 37 20 2 FL : 4 36 29 30 1 GA : 8 21 37 29 5 NC : 0 0 21 74 5 OK : 1 11 43 40 5 SC : 1 3 38 47 11 TX : 3 9 49 28 11 VA : 0 8 30 30 32 : 8 Sts : 6 20 37 31 6 : Prev Wk : 5 19 37 34 5 Prev Yr : 2 9 35 45 9 -------------------------------------- Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 8, 2006 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 31 31 27 9 2 :: NJ : 0 0 10 90 0 AZ : 36 17 29 15 3 :: NM : 2 6 14 64 14 AR : 15 28 36 18 3 :: NY : 6 18 27 37 12 CA : 41 41 13 5 0 :: NC : 1 3 25 63 8 CO : 13 25 39 21 2 :: ND : 32 28 26 14 0 CT : 0 0 12 78 10 :: OH : 1 4 24 51 20 DE : 6 7 25 56 6 :: OK : 32 35 25 7 1 FL : 10 25 35 30 0 :: OR : 25 32 29 10 4 GA : 13 31 36 19 1 :: PA : 7 8 31 49 5 ID : 1 7 52 36 4 :: RI : 0 0 0 50 50 IL : 4 15 38 40 3 :: SC : 1 14 39 45 1 IN : 1 6 29 55 9 :: SD : 18 26 30 23 3 IA : 2 11 32 43 12 :: TN : 13 12 32 38 5 KS : 20 29 36 13 2 :: TX : 37 31 22 9 1 KY : 0 4 21 58 17 :: UT : 7 13 35 41 4 LA : 17 24 41 16 2 :: VT : 0 0 44 56 0 ME : 0 0 16 38 46 :: VA : 1 8 34 44 13 MD : 2 9 39 42 8 :: WA : 15 10 28 47 0 MA : 0 0 1 59 40 :: WV : 1 7 29 52 11 MI : 1 6 34 47 12 :: WI : 3 8 35 45 9 MN : 10 13 37 37 3 :: WY : 39 23 29 9 0 MS : 23 24 22 31 0 :: : MO : 37 27 23 11 2 :: 48 Sts : 20 23 29 24 4 MT : 17 24 41 17 1 :: : NE : 23 28 33 14 2 :: Prev Wk: 18 22 30 25 5 NV : 46 16 28 10 0 :: Prev Yr: 15 21 34 26 4 NH : 0 1 23 64 12 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2005 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data that are collected each week from early April to the end of November. The Crop progress and condition surveys are non-probability surveys that include a sample of more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through their stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaire on Friday or early Monday morning and submit it to the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) Field Office in their State by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of the time that the questionnaire is completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced into the projections for weekend progress and crop condition changes. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, which has significantly reduced this projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories that are used as reporting guidelines are available on the NASS website at: www.usda.gov/nass/pubs/cwterms.htm. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Field Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. 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