We 1 (7-07) Weekly Weather And Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 10, 2007, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" call King J. Whetstone at (202) 690-3234, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary July 1 - 7, 2007 Highlights: An early-summer heat wave across the West promoted winter wheat maturation and the rapid development of irrigated summer crops, but boosted irrigation demands and increased stress on Northwestern spring wheat. Heat and drought also contributed to a sharp increase in wildfire activity and increased concerns about Western water supplies. Heat also briefly overspread the northern Plains, favoring winter wheat maturation but increasing stress on heading spring wheat and other summer crops. Temperatures averaged as much as 10 degrees F above normal on the northern High Plains, aided by late-week readings at or above 100 degrees F. Meanwhile, wet weather gradually subsided across the central and southern Plains, permitting a gradual return to fieldwork. However, heavy showers and lowland flooding persisted on the southeastern Plains, causing further degradation in the quality of unharvested winter wheat. Farther east, downpours (locally 10 inches or more) shifted into the western Gulf Coast region, washing out fields and flooding lowlands. As the week progressed, however, heavy rain reached areas from the Delta to the southern Atlantic States, providing much-needed relief to drought-stricken pastures and summer crops. Elsewhere, many Midwestern summer crops continued to avoid the major weather concerns of surrounding regions. Even some of the driest areas of the Corn Belt, including the Ohio Valley and parts of the upper Midwest, received beneficial showers. Midwestern temperature rose toward week's end, but largely remained below critical stress thresholds (approximately 95 degrees F) for silking corn and blooming soybeans. Early in the week, record or near-record flooding persisted in several river basins from eastern Texas into western Missouri. Near Horton, MO, the Little Osage River crested 12.31 feet above flood stage on July 1, second only to the high-water mark (18.40 feet above flood stage) established on October 4, 1986. In the same Osage River watershed, the Marais des Cygnes River achieved its second-highest crest on record near the eastern Kansas towns of Osawatomie (21.19 feet above flood stage on July 1), La Cygne (11.07 feet above flood stage on July 2), and Trading Post (15.26 feet above flood stage on July 2). In all three Kansas locations, the record crest along the Marais des Cygnes River occurred in July 1951. Meanwhile, record flooding was reported along the Verdigris River in or near locations such as Coffeyville, KS (12.17 feet above flood stage on July 1), Independence, KS (22.40 feet above flood stage on July 1), and Lenapah, OK (12.89 feet above flood stage on July 2). For both Independence and Lenapah, the previous flood of record along the Verdigris River occurred in May 1943. Elsewhere, early-week heat in the West was a prelude to a more intense heat wave later in the week. For example, Rapid City, SD, posted a daily-record high of 102 degrees F on July 1, followed by another record (109 degrees F) on July 7. Daily-record highs were set or tied in more than four dozen Western locations on July 4, with readings soaring to 120 degrees F in Needles, CA, 114 degrees F in Cottonwood, AZ, and 106 degrees F in Reno, NV. The following day, Reno posted an all-time, record-tying high of 108 degrees F, equaling the mark set on July 11, 2002. Elsewhere in Nevada, Fallon (108 degrees F) also tied its all-time record, while Lovelock (112 degrees F) edged its July 2002 standard of 110 degrees F. Another notable Nevada temperature was a high of 116 degrees F on July 5 in Las Vegas, where the all-time-record high of 117 degrees F was most recently attained on July 19, 2005. Las Vegas also reached or exceeded 110 degrees F on each of the first 9 days of the month, matching its July record originally set from July 12-20, 2005. Las Vegas' longest streak of 110-degree heat during any month was 10 days from June 17-26, 1961. Extremely low humidity levels accompanied the Western heat. On July 2, for example, Las Vegas reported a high of 110 degrees F along with a dewpoint of -7 degrees F, which resulted in a relative humidity of 1 percent. By July 6, record-setting heat spread across the northern Rockies and northern High Plains. In western Montana, all-time records were broken at locations such as Missoula (107 degrees F; previously, 105 degrees F on July 10, 1973, and several earlier dates) and Belgrade Field (106 degrees F; previously 103 degrees F on August 5, 1961). Elsewhere in Montana, Cut Bank (106 degrees F on July 6) achieved triple-digit heat for the first time since August 6, 1983, and experienced its hottest day since August 5, 1961, when it was 107 degrees F. Although a few wildfires flared across the West in late June, activity dramatically increased during the first week of July. One of the most damaging fires that started in late June was the Angora fire in South Lake Tahoe, CA, which burned just a little more than 3,000 acres but destroyed more than 250 homes. Another late-June blaze was northern Utah's Neola North fire, first reported on June 29, which claimed three lives and quickly consumed more than 40,000 acres, a dozen homes, and two dozen other structures. Elsewhere in Utah, the Milford Flat complex, just north of Milford, flared toward week's end and rapidly became the largest wildfire in state history, with the amount of vegetation charred surpassing 300,000 acres on July 9. Other fires exhibiting explosive late-week development included the Tungsten fire just north of Imlay, NV, which grew nearly 50,000 acres on July 7, and the Stampede fire, 8 miles west of Pine Ridge, SD, which burned more than 20,000 acres on July 8. Elsewhere in western South Dakota, the Alabaugh fire near Hot Springs grew to nearly 5,000 acres and claimed 77 structures by July 8. Beneficial Southeastern showers resulted in a few daily-record rainfall totals, including 2.89 inches (on July 1) in Macon, GA, and 1.63 inches (on July 5) in Vicksburg, MS. Locally heavy showers also dotted the Midwestern and Northeastern States, where record amounts on July 4 reached 3.56 inches in Moline, IL, and 1.94 inches in Allentown, PA. Rain was much heavier and more widespread in the western Gulf Coast region, where weekly rainfall totaled 13.90 inches in Corpus Christi, TX. Daily-record totals were set in Corpus Christi on July 2 and 4 (9.86 and 3.50 inches, respectively). The 9.86-inch sum was also Corpus Christi's wettest day on record, supplanting the 8.03-inch total observed on June 27, 1931. Farther north, Dallas-Ft. Worth, TX, received measurable rain on 9 consecutive days, totaling 7.99 inches, from June 25 - July 3, narrowly missing its all-time record of 10 days (April 10-19, 1908, and February 13-22, 1932). Similarly, Oklahoma City, OK, noted at least a trace of rain on 20 consecutive days from June 13 - July 2. Oklahoma City's previous record of 14 days was set from May 29 - June 11, 1937. Most of the Alaska experienced unusually warm weather, with temperatures averaging at least 5 degrees F above normal across much of the mainland. Barrow ended the week with consecutive daily-record highs (67 and 73 degrees F) on July 6-7; the latter high was Barrow's highest reading since August 5, 1999, when it was 74 degrees F. Meanwhile, Cold Bay attained the 60-degree mark for the first time this year on July 6, followed the next day by a daily-record high of 66 degrees F. It was also Cold Bay's warmest day since May 29, 2006, when the high reached 67 degrees F. Alaskan precipitation was mostly light, although McGrath netted a weekly total of 1.17 inches. Much of McGrath's rain, 0.72 inch, fell in a thunderstorm on July 3. Farther south, warmer- and drier-than-normal weather prevailed across much of Hawaii. On the Big Island, Hilo netted at least a trace of precipitation on each of the first 7 days of July, but rainfall totaled just 0.93 inch (42 percent of normal). National Weather Summary provided by USDA's World Agricultural Outlook Board. For more information, call (202) 720-2397. National Agricultural Summary July 2 - July 8, 2007 Hot, dry weather continued in the West, adding to the stress of non-irrigated summer crops, while active wild fires threatened areas in Utah, Nevada, and California. Irrigation water supplies remained an issue as demand continued and temperatures soared. Farther east, in the Great Plains, dryness became more of a concern for spring wheat and summer crop development, additional rain fell in the eastern portions of the central and southern Great Plains. The additional rainfall continued to limit winter wheat harvest and caused flooding in some areas. Flooding rains also continued along the western Gulf Coast continuing to stall field activities. Precipitation continued eastward into the lower Mississippi Valley and Southeast benefitting summer crops and pastures. In the Southeast, the showers were more scattered with near normal temperatures. Elsewhere east of the Mississippi River, temperatures averaged near to slightly below normal with significant precipitation mostly confined to the Ohio Valley and southern portions of the Northeast. Corn: Corn at or beyond the silking stage increased 19 percentage points during the week to 32 percent. This is 11 points ahead of last year and 14 points ahead of average. In the Corn Belt, mostly favorable conditions allowed the crop to rapidly develop with 36 percent of Illinois' crop entering the silking stage during the week. Nearly a quarter or more of the crop also entered the silking stage in Indiana, Kansas, Minnesota, and Nebraska. Seventy percent of the crop is rated in good or excellent condition compared with 73 percent last week. Soybeans: Forty percent of the crop was at or beyond the blooming stage, 4 points ahead of last year and 12 points ahead of the 5-year average. Twenty percent or more of the crop entered the blooming stage in the central and western Corn Belt, with progress well ahead of normal. In the Delta, showers received during the week were beneficial to blooming soybeans. Ninety-two percent of the Mississippi soybean acreage was at or beyond the blooming stage, while Louisiana soybeans were trailing just behind with 87 percent bloomed with both States well ahead of normal. Nationwide, 65 percent of the crop is rated in good or excellent condition, down 3 points from last week. Winter Wheat: Producers had harvested 58 percent of the crop, 12 points behind last year and 7 points behind average. Progress in the parts of the central and southern Great Plains continued at a slow pace due to the excessively wet field conditions and additional rain. Progress was the farthest behind in Oklahoma, at 69 percent, 30 points less than the 5-year average. In Kansas and Texas, harvest was 15 and 14 points behind the normal pace, respectively. Elsewhere, harvest was nearly complete in Arkansas, California, Illinois, and North Carolina. Harvest rapidly advanced in Ohio, where producers reaped 70 percent or their acreage during the week under mostly favorable conditions. Cotton: Acreage at or beyond the squaring stage, at 69 percent, is 2 points behind last year but the same as the 5-year average. Squaring was near or ahead of normal in all States except in the Southeast, where development is well behind normal. Bolls were setting on 22 percent of acreage nationwide, 4 points behind last year and 2 points behind normal. Due to the abundant amount of heat units, more than half of California's acreage was setting bolls, 48 points ahead of last year and 37 points ahead of normal. Sorghum: With nearly all of the acreage planted, 31 percent had reached the heading stage, 5 points ahead of last year and 10 points ahead of normal. The crop was heading rapidly in the Delta and Texas but heading had not yet begun in Kansas, Nebraska, and New Mexico. Twenty-two percent of the crop was at or beyond the coloring stage, 6 points ahead of last year and 8 points ahead of average. Coloring of the crop was limited to the Delta and Texas with progress in Texas 28 points ahead of the normal pace. Rice: Twelve percent of the acreage had reached the heading stage, the same as last year but 1 point behind normal. The Texas rice crop continues to develop behind the normal pace, while Louisiana's crop is 54 percent headed, right on target with the five year average. With heading underway in all States, 72 percent of the crop was rated in good or excellent condition. Small Grains: Eighty-two percent of spring wheat was at or beyond the heading stage, 2 points behind last year but 12 points ahead of normal. Heading gained momentum in the northern Great Plains under warm, dry conditions and was head of average in all States. Barley acreage heading had reached 84 percent, 9 points ahead of last year and 19 points ahead of normal. Meanwhile, heading of the oat crop was 96 percent with heading complete or nearly complete in all States except North Dakota. Nationally, oat harvest was 10 percent complete, 1 point behind both last year and normal. In the northern growing areas, harvest had not yet begun. Other Crops: Peanut pegging advanced 13 points during the week to 31 percent complete, 15 points behind last year and 20 points behind normal. Progress was behind the normal pace in all States except Virginia and Oklahoma, with Florida, Georgia, and Texas 24 points or more behind normal. The amount of the crop rated in good or excellent condition improved by 9 points from last week to 44 percent. Winter Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 8, :Jul 1, :Jul 8, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 99 98 100 99 CA : 98 77 90 88 CO : 48 18 75 52 ID : 0 0 0 0 IL : 96 78 93 91 IN : 87 49 65 71 KS : 81 59 98 96 MI : 14 3 4 2 MO : 83 67 98 96 MT : 0 0 0 0 NE : 41 10 76 49 NC : 97 93 92 93 OH : 81 11 17 34 OK : 69 59 100 99 OR : 4 3 3 4 SD : 13 1 35 10 TX : 81 68 98 95 WA : 3 0 0 1 : 18 Sts: 58 40 70 65 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 92% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Corn: Percent Silking, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 8, :Jul 1, :Jul 8, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 6 1 6 6 IL : 68 32 36 34 IN : 35 10 12 19 IA : 18 1 7 5 KS : 50 22 52 41 KY : 67 50 68 60 MI : 0 0 0 1 MN : 28 2 4 2 MO : 62 44 69 61 NE : 27 3 24 14 NC : 83 74 87 78 ND : 7 2 6 2 OH : 18 1 5 6 PA : 17 1 4 7 SD : 1 0 0 0 TN : 86 75 88 82 TX : 63 61 72 73 WI : 3 1 1 1 : 18 Sts: 32 13 21 18 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 93% of last year's corn acreage. Sorghum: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 8, :Jul 1, :Jul 8, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 71 39 70 60 CO : 12 1 7 1 IL : 10 2 8 7 KS : 0 0 3 3 LA : 90 56 84 68 MO : 19 9 9 10 NE : 0 0 0 0 NM : 0 0 0 0 OK : 6 2 6 8 SD : 8 0 2 3 TX : 86 57 68 55 : 11 Sts: 31 19 26 21 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Coloring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 8, :Jul 1, :Jul 8, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 3 NA 1 2 CO : 0 NA 0 0 IL : 0 NA 0 0 KS : 0 NA 0 0 LA : 17 NA 29 13 MO : 0 NA 0 0 NE : 0 NA 0 0 NM : 0 NA 0 0 OK : 0 NA 1 1 SD : 0 NA 0 0 TX : 70 NA 50 42 : 11 Sts: 22 NA 16 14 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Cotton: Percent Squaring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 8, :Jul 1, :Jul 8, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 50 41 60 74 AZ : 90 75 88 85 AR : 99 96 99 94 CA : 94 77 62 71 GA : 55 39 85 84 KS : 75 10 28 21 LA : 94 82 98 93 MS : 96 90 93 86 MO : 89 78 76 76 NC : 95 77 80 82 OK : 41 28 39 49 SC : 50 39 71 64 TN : 94 88 90 87 TX : 51 30 56 53 VA : 76 27 64 62 : 15 Sts: 69 53 71 69 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 15 States planted 99% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Setting Bolls, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 8, :Jul 1, :Jul 8, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 15 8 16 18 AZ : 45 30 44 44 AR : 48 20 44 35 CA : 55 40 7 18 GA : 11 4 41 37 KS : 0 0 0 1 LA : 43 14 68 50 MS : 32 16 55 43 MO : 30 24 16 16 NC : 8 1 5 16 OK : 0 0 5 5 SC : 1 0 12 11 TN : 20 2 16 18 TX : 17 15 19 19 VA : 3 0 3 11 : 15 Sts: 22 13 26 24 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 15 States planted 99% of last year's cotton acreage. Rice: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 8, :Jul 1, :Jul 8, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 0 2 2 CA : 2 1 0 4 LA : 54 33 47 54 MS : 13 4 10 11 MO : 6 3 4 5 TX : 52 33 73 57 : 6 Sts : 12 6 12 13 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 100% of last year's rice acreage. Peanuts: Percent Pegging, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 8, :Jul 1, :Jul 8, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 27 15 13 32 FL : 40 28 46 64 GA : 29 15 54 56 NC : 42 36 48 57 OK : 75 43 71 65 SC : 51 34 60 52 TX : 11 5 44 39 VA : 40 40 20 29 : 8 Sts : 31 18 46 51 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States planted 98% of last year's peanut acreage. Spring Wheat: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 8, :Jul 1, :Jul 8, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 88 68 63 65 MN : 96 89 93 78 MT : 60 35 71 53 ND : 81 55 85 67 SD : 99 90 99 97 WA : 98 81 85 96 : 6 Sts : 82 61 84 70 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 99% of last year's spring wheat acreage. Barley: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 8, :Jul 1, :Jul 8, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 82 52 55 62 MN : 97 87 93 77 MT : 74 64 71 57 ND : 88 71 83 66 WA : 95 90 85 95 : 5 Sts : 84 67 75 65 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 5 States planted 78% of last year's barley acreage. Soybeans: Percent Blooming, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 8, :Jul 1, :Jul 8, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 36 23 51 36 IL : 51 22 33 31 IN : 36 15 11 21 IA : 52 27 47 39 KS : 23 7 35 27 KY : 23 13 29 22 LA : 87 70 85 62 MI : 31 13 10 9 MN : 45 11 36 24 MS : 92 85 94 79 MO : 16 8 27 20 NE : 36 16 47 31 NC : 5 2 5 6 ND : 27 8 45 19 OH : 42 24 23 23 SD : 31 14 37 24 TN : 36 20 51 28 WI : 24 11 19 15 : 18 Sts: 40 19 36 28 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Oats: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 8, :Jul 1, :Jul 8, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 99 96 98 99 MN : 97 92 96 86 NE : 100 95 99 98 ND : 84 57 80 66 OH : 100 99 99 96 PA : 94 90 90 89 SD : 99 91 97 94 TX : 100 100 100 100 WI : 96 90 96 86 : 9 Sts : 96 89 95 90 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 9 States planted 67% of last year's oat acreage. Oats: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 8, :Jul 1, :Jul 8, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 3 0 2 3 MN : 0 0 3 1 NE : 16 3 33 18 ND : 0 0 0 0 OH : 4 0 0 1 PA : 0 0 0 1 SD : 1 0 3 2 TX : 93 92 92 96 WI : 0 0 0 0 : 9 Sts : 10 9 11 11 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 9 States harvested 68% of last year's oat acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 8, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 0 2 13 60 25 IL : 1 4 14 53 28 IN : 4 13 32 43 8 IA : 2 5 21 53 19 KS : 2 4 28 50 16 KY : 6 11 24 43 16 MI : 4 15 35 39 7 MN : 6 7 20 48 19 MO : 3 5 26 51 15 NE : 1 2 17 55 25 NC : 10 21 39 30 0 ND : 1 4 14 63 18 OH : 6 13 31 41 9 PA : 4 8 30 42 16 SD : 1 2 15 56 26 TN : 21 27 35 14 3 TX : 1 4 22 53 20 WI : 3 5 18 52 22 : 18 Sts : 3 6 21 51 19 : Prev Wk : 2 5 20 53 20 Prev Yr : 3 8 26 47 16 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 8, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 2 3 34 44 17 IL : 1 5 18 55 21 IN : 6 13 36 40 5 IA : 1 5 22 57 15 KS : 1 4 30 53 12 KY : 5 10 25 43 17 LA : 2 4 25 58 11 MI : 4 17 31 42 6 MN : 2 7 26 52 13 MS : 1 5 23 56 15 MO : 3 5 33 52 7 NE : 0 2 22 60 16 NC : 2 17 39 40 2 ND : 2 3 15 62 18 OH : 7 16 32 36 9 SD : 1 3 18 58 20 TN : 8 18 37 30 7 WI : 2 5 22 49 22 : 18 Sts : 2 7 26 51 14 : Prev Wk : 2 6 24 53 15 Prev Yr : 3 9 30 47 11 -------------------------------------- Spring Wheat: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 8, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 0 1 19 76 4 MN : 2 6 24 45 23 MT : 5 10 19 56 10 ND : 1 2 9 70 18 SD : 1 4 21 51 23 WA : 3 24 40 31 2 : 6 Sts : 2 5 15 61 17 : Prev Wk : 1 4 16 62 17 Prev Yr : 9 18 31 36 6 -------------------------------------- Rice: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 8, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 0 4 25 46 25 CA : 0 3 17 66 14 LA : 0 2 37 55 6 MS : 0 0 10 67 23 MO : 0 2 15 54 29 TX : 0 3 53 37 7 : 6 Sts : 0 3 25 52 20 : Prev Wk : 0 3 23 55 19 Prev Yr : 1 5 39 44 11 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2006 planted acres. Winter Wheat: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States Week Ending Jul 8, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 20 28 31 20 1 CA : 1 2 11 62 24 CO : 0 3 20 52 25 ID : 0 1 16 73 10 IL : 12 15 34 35 4 IN : 3 18 46 30 3 KS : 17 20 26 27 10 MI : 1 11 40 41 7 MO : 17 30 38 14 1 MT : 2 10 27 47 14 NE : 4 13 27 44 12 NC : 12 23 31 33 1 OH : 6 16 48 27 3 OK : 13 25 33 23 6 OR : 0 13 45 39 3 SD : 2 6 20 48 24 TX : 9 8 20 37 26 WA : 1 12 36 47 4 : 18 Sts : 10 15 28 35 12 : Prev Wk : 10 15 27 35 13 Prev Yr : NA NA NA NA NA -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 8, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 37 31 21 10 1 AZ : 0 5 48 38 9 AR : 0 5 21 51 23 CA : 0 0 11 65 24 GA : 6 16 42 32 4 KS : 0 5 20 60 15 LA : 0 2 21 71 6 MS : 1 3 23 57 16 MO : 7 11 25 55 2 NC : 5 18 27 50 0 OK : 1 10 30 59 0 SC : 1 8 36 50 5 TN : 2 13 35 42 8 TX : 3 12 33 38 14 VA : 0 3 58 38 1 : 15 Sts : 4 11 30 44 11 : Prev Wk : 5 11 30 43 11 Prev Yr : 11 18 30 33 8 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 8, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 3 31 52 13 CO : 0 0 8 80 12 IL : 5 3 25 56 11 KS : 1 3 23 63 10 LA : 0 4 9 48 39 MO : 1 4 35 54 6 NE : 1 2 20 66 11 NM : 0 0 10 90 0 OK : 0 2 24 58 16 SD : 1 2 20 72 5 TX : 0 2 21 58 19 : 11 Sts : 1 2 21 63 13 : Prev Wk : 1 2 21 60 16 Prev Yr : 9 13 30 44 4 -------------------------------------- Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 8, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 31 24 21 21 3 FL : 5 20 35 20 20 GA : 3 16 39 40 2 NC : 2 4 31 62 1 OK : 0 4 25 69 2 SC : 0 7 33 55 5 TX : 0 2 49 41 8 VA : 0 0 26 70 4 : 8 Sts : 6 14 36 39 5 : Prev Wk : 10 18 37 33 2 Prev Yr : 6 12 37 40 5 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2006 planted acres. Oats: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 8, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 0 4 22 60 14 MN : 6 8 25 50 11 NE : 0 3 27 64 6 ND : 0 1 7 82 10 OH : 3 25 33 33 6 PA : 3 19 36 41 1 SD : 0 3 17 58 22 TX : 2 15 25 35 23 WI : 1 5 25 56 13 : 9 Sts : 2 8 22 53 15 : Prev Wk : 1 8 20 55 16 Prev Yr : 18 20 27 29 6 -------------------------------------- Barley: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 8, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 2 6 24 65 3 MN : 5 5 20 50 20 MT : 9 14 19 49 9 ND : 1 1 9 69 20 WA : 3 17 45 35 0 : 5 Sts : 4 7 18 59 12 : Prev Wk : 2 5 16 62 15 Prev Yr : 3 10 28 47 12 -------------------------------------- Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 8, 2007 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 48 32 17 3 0 :: NJ : 0 0 10 90 0 AZ : 25 27 35 12 1 :: NM : 6 12 30 42 10 AR : 0 3 32 56 9 :: NY : 10 22 33 30 5 CA : 69 27 4 0 0 :: NC : 20 28 35 17 0 CO : 1 6 31 50 12 :: ND : 1 3 19 63 14 CT : 0 10 22 68 0 :: OH : 26 30 27 16 1 DE : 8 34 28 29 1 :: OK : 0 4 14 52 30 FL : 10 20 40 25 5 :: OR : 7 22 52 19 0 GA : 30 30 27 12 1 :: PA : 27 26 28 18 1 ID : 2 16 52 29 1 :: RI : 0 0 50 50 0 IL : 1 10 40 43 6 :: SC : 7 23 45 24 1 IN : 20 34 33 13 0 :: SD : 2 5 22 55 16 IA : 2 11 37 41 9 :: TN : 41 30 23 6 0 KS : 2 8 26 51 13 :: TX : 1 3 15 43 38 KY : 21 34 32 12 1 :: UT : 12 28 40 20 0 LA : 4 7 20 61 8 :: VT : 0 24 29 28 19 ME : 0 9 25 45 21 :: VA : 17 37 32 14 0 MD : 12 26 31 29 2 :: WA : 2 11 23 64 0 MA : 0 0 6 94 0 :: WV : 8 31 46 15 0 MI : 13 27 46 13 1 :: WI : 8 24 36 27 5 MN : 9 17 36 32 6 :: WY : 3 14 44 32 7 MS : 12 17 37 30 4 :: : MO : 3 12 42 37 6 :: 48 Sts : 12 15 27 34 12 MT : 5 8 26 46 15 :: : NE : 5 6 24 54 11 :: Prev Wk: 11 14 25 37 13 NV : 19 32 41 8 0 :: Prev Yr: 16 22 31 27 4 NH : 1 3 25 62 9 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2006 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data collected each week from early April through the end of November. The non-probability crop progress and condition surveys include input from more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through various stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaires on Friday or early Monday morning and submit them to the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) Field Offices in their States by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of when questionnaires are completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced by projections for weekend changes in progress and condition. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, significantly reducing projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories used as reporting guidelines are available on the NASS website at: www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/National_Crop_Progress/terms_definit ions.asp. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Field Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the Crop Progress report are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are preliminary and subject to corrections or updates in the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin that is released after 12:00 pm ET on the second business day of the week. These estimates are subject to revision the following week. Crop Progress and Condition tables expected next week: Barley - Headed, Condition Corn - Dough, Silked, Condition Cotton - Setting Bolls, Squaring, Condition Oats - Harvested, Condition Peanuts - Pegging, Condition Rice - Headed, Condition Sorghum - Coloring, Headed, Condition Soybeans - Blooming, Setting Pods, Condition Spring Wheat - Headed, Condition Winter Wheat - Harvested, Condition Pasture & Range - Condition ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov. E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. Starting with the NASS Home Page at www.nass.usda.gov, under the right navigation, Receive reports by Email, click on National or State. 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