We 1 (7-07) Weekly Weather And Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released July 17, 2007, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" call King J. Whetstone at (202) 690-3234, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary July 8 - 14, 2007 Highlights: A Western heat wave promoted fieldwork and rapid crop development, but increased stress on rain-fed summer crops and maintained the threat of additional wildfires. Lightning strikes associated with the onset of the Southwestern monsoon (summer rainy season) contributed to an increase in wildfire activity. Weekly temperatures averaged at least 10 degrees F above normal in parts of the Northwest. Farther east, lingering downpours on the southern Plains contrasted with hot, mostly dry weather on the northern Plains. Adverse effects of the Plains' weather extremes included further delays in final winter wheat harvesting in Oklahoma and an increase in stress on heading to filling spring wheat in Montana. Meanwhile in the Corn Belt, gradually expanding dryness curtailed pasture growth and increased stress on reproductive summer crops. However, the seriousness of the Midwestern crop situation was tempered by a lack of sustained heat and, in some cases, the ability of crops to draw upon subsoil moisture reserves. Elsewhere, significant rain in the Southeast provided additional relief to drought-stressed pastures and dryland summer crops, while mostly dry weather allowed drought to expand northward into parts of the Mid-Atlantic States. Early in the week, a brief heat wave ended across the western Corn Belt. On July 8, Rochester, MN, recorded a high of 93 degrees F, while nearby La Crosse, WI, reached 97 degrees F. During the 3-week period from June 24 - July 14, Rochester received just 0.17 inch of rain, compared to a normal of 3.04 inches. Rainfall in Iowa during the same 3-week period totaled just 0.04 inch in Waterloo, 0.02 inch in Sioux City, and 0.01 inch in Marshalltown. Sioux City also notched consecutive highs of 98 degrees F on July 7 and 8. In contrast, Southeastern daily-record rainfall totals included 2.46 inches (on July 10) in Tupelo, MS, and 2.10 inches (on July 8) in Alma, GA. In Arkansas, North Little Rock (3.26 and 1.13 inches) noted consecutive daily rainfall records on July 9-10. In Muscle Shoals, AL, where precipitation during the first half of 2007 totaled just 11.97 inches (40 percent of normal), July 1-14 rainfall reached 6.24 inches (281 percent). Farther north, several rounds of heavy showers swept across the Northeast. Some of the heaviest rain fell on July 9, when daily-record totals topped 2 inches in locations such as Concord, NH (2.16 inches), and Albany, NY (2.07 inches). During a 96-hour period from July 8-12, unofficial totals in Vermont reached 7.96 inches in Waitsfield, 6.41 inches in Randolph, 5.64 inches in Bethel, and 4.11 inches in Montpelier. Another wet spot was the southern Plains, where Oklahoma City, OK, received rainfall totaling 5.72 inches (374 percent of normal) from July 1-14. Oklahoma City's July wetness boosted its year-to-date rainfall through July 14 to a record-setting 37.56 inches (185 percent of normal). The former January-July standard in Oklahoma City was 34.50 inches in 1908, while the January-August mark was 36.09 inches--also in 1908. Wetness across the southern half of the Plains also helped to suppress temperatures. For example, Wichita, KS, typically experiences 30 days of 90-degree heat in June and July. From June 1 - July 14, there were only 10 days (4 in June and 6 in July) in Wichita with highs of 90 degrees F or higher. Farther north and west, however, temperatures again soared to all-time-record levels in several locations, including Hoquiam, WA (99 degrees F on July 10), and Bellingham, WA (94 degrees F on July 11). Elsewhere in the Northwest, Tillamook, OR (100 degrees F on July 10), reached or exceeded 100 degrees F for only the third time on record, along with readings of 102 degrees F on July 11, 1961, and August 9, 1981. Meanwhile in western Montana, Missoula tied its all-time record for consecutive days of 100 degrees F or higher (5 days from July 12-16; previously set in 1936) and set a record for days of triple-digit heat in an entire year (7 days; previously, 6 days in 1936). Meanwhile in Tucson, AZ, the monsoon (summer rainy season) officially began--based on dewpoint temperatures--on July 8. A subsequent surge of moisture produced rare July rainfall on the 11th in California locations such as Sacramento (0.01 inch) and Red Bluff (a trace). It was Sacramento's first measurable rainfall in July since 1995. Elsewhere, cooler air settled across the Midwestern and Northeastern States toward week's end, accompanied by gusty winds. A non-thunderstorm wind gust to 72 m.p.h. was clocked in Devils Lake, ND, on July 10. Later, Dubuque, IA (49 degrees F), posted a daily-record low on July 13, followed the next day by an identical reading in Youngstown, OH. By July 15, some of the largest active Western fires included the 101,000-acre Egley complex near Riley, OR, and the 48,000-acre Horse Heaven complex southwest of Prossser, WA. The Milford Flat wildfire, Utah's largest on record, was fully contained by mid-July after burning more than 363,000 acres of grass and brush. During the first 15 days of July, wildfires charred nearly 1.3 million acres (more than 2,000 square miles) of Western vegetation, boosting the nation's year-to-date total to nearly 3.2 million acres (123 percent of the 10-year average). Very warm, mostly dry weather persisted in Hawaii, where drought continued to gradually intensify. On the Big Island, Hilo posted a daily-record high of 87 degrees F on July 10. Meanwhile, Hilo's July 1-14 rainfall totaled just 1.41 inches (30 percent of normal). Elsewhere, year-to-date rainfall totaled just 2.68 inches (28 percent of normal) in Honolulu, Oahu, and 3.92 inches (35 percent) in Kahului, Maui. Farther north, mild, dry weather across northern and western Alaska contrasted with wet conditions across the southeastern part of the State. On July 10, Alaskan daily-record rainfall totals included 4.36 inches in Port Alexander and 2.30 inches in Wrangell. Two days later, daily records were also set in locations such as Pelican (1.95 inches) and Hoonah (1.46 inches). In contrast, July 1-14 rainfall totaled just 0.05 inch (6 percent of normal) in Nome and 0.01 inch (2 percent) in Kotzebue. In addition, Nome's high temperatures reached or exceeded 70 degrees F on 9 of the first 12 days in July. National Weather Summary provided by USDA's World Agricultural Outlook Board. For more information, call (202) 720-2397. National Agricultural Summary July 9 - July 15, 2007 Highlights: In the West, hot, dry weather continued to remain a concern for dryland summer crops and is diminishing soil moisture. Wildfires and heavy irrigation demands continue to cause concerns as well. However, the hot weather is promoting winter wheat maturation and the development of irrigated summer crops. Meanwhile on the Great Plains, mild, dry conditions across most of the northern areas contrast with humid weather and lingering showers and thunderstorms in the central and southern portions. On the central and southern Great Plains, excessive moisture delayed fieldwork and caused flooding and soggy fields. Farther east, conditions were favorable for Midwestern summer crops, however, unfavorable dryness persists in parts of the western and eastern Corn Belt. Elsewhere, most of the drought-stricken Southeast received beneficial rainfall, although moisture shortages still remain. Corn: Silking advanced to 56 percent, 10 percentage points ahead of last year and 20 points ahead of normal. Across the Corn Belt, near-to-below normal temperatures proved beneficial to the corn crop, with progress advancing 25 points or more during the week in Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, and Ohio. Silking was at or ahead of the normal pace in all States, except Pennsylvania and Texas. Meanwhile, 6 percent of the acreage was at or beyond the dough stage, 1 point ahead of last year and the 5-year average. Over half of the crop had entered the dough stage in Texas and North Carolina, but doughing had not yet begun across the northern and western Corn Belt, northern Great Plains, and Colorado. Soybeans: Blooming advanced to 60 percent complete, 2 points ahead of last year and 12 points ahead of normal. Blooming advanced rapidly in the northern Great Plains under favorable conditions. North Dakota's crop advanced 45 points during the week and was 27 points ahead of the normal blooming pace. Progress was ahead of normal in all States, except Arkansas, Kansas, and North Carolina, where blooming was 8 points or less behind normal. Fourteen percent of the crop was setting pods or beyond, the same as last year but 3 points ahead of the 5-year average. Pod setting was underway in all States but was most advanced in Louisiana, at 77 percent, 29 points ahead of the 5-year average. Winter Wheat: Producers had reaped 70 percent of their acreage, compared with 78 percent last year and 73 percent for the normal. Harvest was complete in Arkansas, and nearly complete in California, Illinois, Indiana, North Carolina, and Ohio. Warm, mostly dry conditions promoted field activities in Michigan, where nearly half of their acreage was harvested during the week, advancing to 62 percent complete, 44 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. Elsewhere, lingering showers hampered fieldwork in Oklahoma, where the crop is 24 points behind the normal harvesting pace. Cotton: Seventy-seven percent of the crop was at or beyond the squaring stage, 3 points behind last year and the 5-year average. Despite much needed rainfall squaring remained well behind normal in the drought-stricken Southeast, where Georgia, Alabama, and South Carolina, were 26, 16, and 11 points behind normal, respectively. Excessive moisture in the central and southern Great Plains hampered progress, as Oklahoma and Texas remain behind the normal pace. All of the cotton acreage was at or beyond the squaring stage in Arkansas, Kansas, and North Carolina. Meanwhile, boll setting was active on 33 percent of the acreage, 5 point behind last year and 4 points behind the 5-year average. Hot, dry weather promoted development in California, where the crop was 39 points ahead of normal, however, the lack of moisture in Georgia remains a concern, where the crop was 32 points behind normal. Elsewhere, along the Atlantic Coast cotton setting bolls advanced 27 points or more during the week in North Carolina and Virginia under hot and mostly dry conditions. Sorghum: Heading advanced to 34 percent, 4 points ahead of last year and 9 points ahead of the 5-year average. Heading progressed rapidly in South Dakota, advancing 32 points during the week, while progress was slow in the central and southern Great Plains. Although the crop in Texas advanced just 1 percentage point during the week, it was still 30 points ahead of the normal pace. Meanwhile, coloring was well underway in the Delta and Texas, but limited progress was made in Illinois and Missouri. Elsewhere, however, coloring had not yet begun. Rice: Heading was underway on 18 percent of the acreage, compared with 18 percent last year and 19 percent for the 5-year average. The crop was most advanced in Texas and Louisiana, at 68 and 60 percent heading, respectively. All States trailed behind the normal pace, except Arkansas, where the crop was slightly ahead of normal. Seventy-six percent of the crop was rated good or excellent, up 4 percentage points from the previous week. Small Grains: Spring wheat at or beyond the heading stage advanced to 93 percent, 2 points behind last year but 7 points ahead of the normal pace. Heading was complete in Minnesota and South Dakota and nearly complete in Idaho and Washington, with all States ahead of the normal pace. Barley heading, at 95 percent, was 10 points ahead of last year and 11 points ahead of the 5-year average. Similar to spring wheat, all States were ahead of the normal pace with heading complete or nearly complete in Minnesota, North Dakota, and Washington. Oat growers had harvested 15 percent of their acreage, compared with 17 percent last year and 15 percent for the 5-year average. In Texas, where the crop is planted in the fall, harvest was nearly complete. Nebraska growers had harvested nearly half of their acreage, while elsewhere, harvest was less than 16 percent complete. Other Crops: Forty-five percent of the peanut crop was at or beyond the pegging stage, 18 points behind last year and 22 points behind normal. Pegging trailed the normal pace by 16 points or more in the Southeast and 32 points in Texas. All States were behind the normal pace, except North Carolina, where the crop was 3 points ahead of the normal pace. Peanut condition improved slightly from 44 percent good or excellent, to 46 percent good or excellent. Corn: Percent Silking, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 15,:Jul 8, :Jul 15,: 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 18 6 12 11 IL : 88 68 73 60 IN : 66 35 39 39 IA : 47 18 41 27 KS : 69 50 72 62 KY : 81 67 74 71 MI : 28 0 17 11 MN : 61 28 31 17 MO : 77 62 83 77 NE : 57 27 55 39 NC : 93 83 94 89 ND : 25 7 27 11 OH : 46 18 23 23 PA : 19 17 33 24 SD : 17 1 10 4 TN : 93 86 95 92 TX : 75 63 87 83 WI : 20 3 12 8 : 18 Sts: 56 32 46 36 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 93% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Dough, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 15,:Jul 8, :Jul 15,: 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 0 NA 0 0 IL : 10 NA 8 7 IN : 3 NA 2 3 IA : 0 NA 0 1 KS : 10 NA 18 12 KY : 0 NA 6 6 MI : 0 NA 0 0 MN : 0 NA 0 0 MO : 18 NA 20 20 NE : 5 NA 3 2 NC : 52 NA 42 35 ND : 0 NA 0 0 OH : 0 NA 1 1 PA : 5 NA 0 2 SD : 0 NA 0 0 TN : 34 NA 19 28 TX : 53 NA 56 61 WI : 0 NA 0 0 : 18 Sts: 6 NA 5 5 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 93% of last year's corn acreage. Cotton: Percent Squaring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 15,:Jul 8, :Jul 15,: 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 69 50 72 85 AZ : 99 90 97 91 AR : 100 99 100 98 CA : 97 94 74 82 GA : 65 55 94 91 KS : 100 75 42 37 LA : 99 94 99 97 MS : 98 96 97 94 MO : 94 89 88 88 NC : 100 95 91 90 OK : 52 41 56 69 SC : 66 50 85 77 TN : 97 94 98 95 TX : 62 51 66 68 VA : 80 76 95 82 : 15 Sts: 77 69 80 80 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 15 States planted 99% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Setting Bolls, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 15,:Jul 8, :Jul 15,: 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 31 15 43 37 AZ : 62 45 62 61 AR : 69 48 71 62 CA : 65 55 17 26 GA : 22 11 65 54 KS : 5 0 0 2 LA : 74 43 75 69 MS : 54 32 66 62 MO : 50 30 41 35 NC : 41 8 26 35 OK : 4 0 9 13 SC : 10 1 26 22 TN : 38 20 33 34 TX : 18 17 22 25 VA : 30 3 22 29 : 15 Sts: 33 22 38 37 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 15 States planted 99% of last year's cotton acreage. Soybeans: Percent Blooming, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 15,:Jul 8, :Jul 15,: 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 50 36 69 52 IL : 71 51 60 53 IN : 53 36 30 39 IA : 69 52 67 62 KS : 38 23 63 46 KY : 46 23 40 32 LA : 90 87 89 72 MI : 47 31 22 32 MN : 65 45 61 50 MS : 97 92 97 84 MO : 35 16 43 34 NE : 60 36 65 52 NC : 13 5 17 14 ND : 72 27 85 45 OH : 64 42 48 44 SD : 60 31 62 46 TN : 55 36 68 43 WI : 51 24 34 30 : 18 Sts: 60 40 58 48 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Soybeans: Percent Setting Pods, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 15,:Jul 8, :Jul 15,: 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 25 NA 39 25 IL : 15 NA 10 10 IN : 6 NA 4 7 IA : 17 NA 15 12 KS : 7 NA 8 8 KY : 10 NA 15 9 LA : 77 NA 71 48 MI : 9 NA 6 4 MN : 10 NA 5 3 MS : 69 NA 84 69 MO : 7 NA 8 7 NE : 13 NA 16 10 NC : 3 NA 3 1 ND : 11 NA 35 11 OH : 9 NA 4 5 SD : 5 NA 5 4 TN : 24 NA 36 20 WI : 6 NA 4 3 : 18 Sts: 14 NA 14 11 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Sorghum: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 15,:Jul 8, :Jul 15,: 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 90 71 86 77 CO : 17 12 25 7 IL : 33 10 13 14 KS : 1 0 7 8 LA : 92 90 89 81 MO : 29 19 22 20 NE : 1 0 3 2 NM : 0 0 2 2 OK : 10 6 14 17 SD : 40 8 13 8 TX : 87 86 70 57 : 11 Sts: 34 31 30 25 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Coloring, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 15,:Jul 8, :Jul 15,: 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 13 3 17 13 CO : 0 0 0 0 IL : 5 0 0 0 KS : 0 0 0 0 LA : 25 17 34 25 MO : 1 0 1 1 NE : 0 0 0 0 NM : 0 0 0 0 OK : 0 0 4 3 SD : 0 0 0 1 TX : 71 70 54 46 : 11 Sts: 23 22 18 15 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 15,:Jul 8, :Jul 15,: 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 99 100 100 CA : 99 98 98 94 CO : 78 48 90 77 ID : 1 0 2 1 IL : 99 96 96 95 IN : 97 87 91 89 KS : 91 81 100 99 MI : 62 14 20 18 MO : 92 83 100 99 MT : 3 0 14 3 NE : 68 41 89 71 NC : 99 97 96 96 OH : 99 81 71 74 OK : 76 69 100 100 OR : 22 4 6 13 SD : 50 13 70 33 TX : 87 81 100 98 WA : 6 3 3 4 : 18 Sts: 70 58 78 73 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 92% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Oats: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 15,:Jul 8, :Jul 15,: 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 12 3 13 16 MN : 4 0 7 2 NE : 44 16 49 38 ND : 0 0 4 1 OH : 15 4 3 6 PA : 0 0 4 4 SD : 10 1 16 9 TX : 94 93 98 98 WI : 3 0 2 2 : 9 Sts : 15 10 17 15 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 9 States harvested 68% of last year's oat acreage. Spring Wheat: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 15,:Jul 8, :Jul 15,: 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 96 88 82 87 MN : 100 96 98 93 MT : 79 60 91 78 ND : 94 81 96 84 SD : 100 99 100 99 WA : 99 98 96 99 : 6 Sts : 93 82 95 86 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 99% of last year's spring wheat acreage. Barley: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 15,:Jul 8, :Jul 15,: 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 95 82 68 81 MN : 100 97 98 94 MT : 88 74 76 77 ND : 98 88 96 86 WA : 100 95 95 99 : 5 Sts : 95 84 85 84 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 5 States planted 78% of last year's barley acreage. Rice: Percent Headed, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 15,:Jul 8, :Jul 15,: 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 8 1 5 7 CA : 3 2 2 5 LA : 60 54 69 68 MS : 20 13 29 24 MO : 9 6 7 11 TX : 68 52 83 69 : 6 Sts : 18 12 18 19 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States planted 100% of last year's rice acreage. Peanuts: Percent Pegging, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Jul 15,:Jul 8, :Jul 15,: 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 29 27 27 45 FL : 55 40 62 77 GA : 43 29 72 72 NC : 80 42 67 77 OK : 80 75 87 81 SC : 64 51 72 66 TX : 29 11 58 61 VA : 43 40 63 48 : 8 Sts : 45 31 63 67 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States planted 98% of last year's peanut acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 15, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 1 1 7 62 29 IL : 1 4 16 51 28 IN : 7 15 35 37 6 IA : 3 7 27 48 15 KS : 2 7 20 53 18 KY : 9 10 25 36 20 MI : 8 20 26 39 7 MN : 7 12 31 39 11 MO : 2 6 26 49 17 NE : 1 3 22 48 26 NC : 10 18 33 33 6 ND : 2 3 14 63 18 OH : 8 19 34 32 7 PA : 12 8 24 42 14 SD : 1 4 17 58 20 TN : 17 26 37 20 0 TX : 2 6 18 48 26 WI : 2 8 22 48 20 : 18 Sts : 4 8 24 46 18 : Prev Wk : 3 6 21 51 19 Prev Yr : 4 8 26 46 16 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 15, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 2 6 32 43 17 IL : 1 5 18 55 21 IN : 5 17 38 35 5 IA : 2 6 27 54 11 KS : 2 4 28 56 10 KY : 7 12 22 35 24 LA : 0 1 18 68 13 MI : 8 15 34 35 8 MN : 4 9 34 43 10 MS : 2 4 21 54 19 MO : 3 6 34 49 8 NE : 1 4 28 53 14 NC : 2 17 33 45 3 ND : 2 3 14 62 19 OH : 7 18 37 32 6 SD : 1 3 14 65 17 TN : 6 18 34 36 6 WI : 2 5 23 49 21 : 18 Sts : 3 8 27 49 13 : Prev Wk : 2 7 26 51 14 Prev Yr : 3 10 30 47 10 -------------------------------------- Spring Wheat: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 15, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 0 2 25 69 4 MN : 2 5 27 47 19 MT : 9 9 17 55 10 ND : 1 3 12 68 16 SD : 1 4 16 50 29 WA : 7 27 37 27 2 : 6 Sts : 3 5 16 60 16 : Prev Wk : 2 5 15 61 17 Prev Yr : 12 20 34 31 3 -------------------------------------- Rice: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 15, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 3 24 48 24 CA : 0 2 15 67 16 LA : 0 0 22 70 8 MS : 0 0 9 65 26 MO : 0 2 13 61 24 TX : 0 8 62 28 2 : 6 Sts : 0 2 22 56 20 : Prev Wk : 0 3 25 52 20 Prev Yr : 1 4 40 43 12 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2006 planted acres. Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 15, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 25 30 28 16 1 AZ : 0 5 46 38 11 AR : 0 5 23 49 23 CA : 0 0 13 62 25 GA : 5 15 42 33 5 KS : 0 0 20 65 15 LA : 0 0 15 79 6 MS : 2 4 19 61 14 MO : 4 9 28 54 5 NC : 3 20 34 41 2 OK : 1 8 25 61 5 SC : 0 8 29 57 6 TN : 1 9 26 48 16 TX : 5 13 33 36 13 VA : 0 15 56 29 0 : 15 Sts : 4 11 30 43 12 : Prev Wk : 4 11 30 44 11 Prev Yr : 14 17 29 33 7 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 15, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 0 4 29 51 16 CO : 0 0 8 82 10 IL : 6 4 30 51 9 KS : 1 4 16 67 12 LA : 0 0 8 70 22 MO : 1 5 31 58 5 NE : 0 1 17 65 17 NM : 0 0 35 57 8 OK : 0 1 17 59 23 SD : 1 3 27 62 7 TX : 0 2 18 59 21 : 11 Sts : 1 3 18 63 15 : Prev Wk : 1 2 21 63 13 Prev Yr : 10 16 32 38 4 -------------------------------------- Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 15, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 16 22 35 23 4 FL : 5 15 33 32 15 GA : 3 13 44 38 2 NC : 1 6 30 61 2 OK : 0 6 25 64 5 SC : 0 2 31 60 7 TX : 0 1 31 65 3 VA : 1 3 35 61 0 : 8 Sts : 4 12 38 42 4 : Prev Wk : 6 14 36 39 5 Prev Yr : 7 16 37 35 5 -------------------------------------- Oats: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 15, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : IA : 1 4 32 53 10 MN : 6 11 27 43 13 NE : 0 4 29 58 9 ND : 0 1 9 78 12 OH : 3 19 35 38 5 PA : 1 23 39 37 0 SD : 0 4 16 61 19 TX : 2 15 25 35 23 WI : 1 5 24 57 13 : 9 Sts : 1 9 23 52 15 : Prev Wk : 2 8 22 53 15 Prev Yr : 21 20 26 29 4 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2006 planted acres. Barley: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 15, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 0 3 28 62 7 MN : 5 9 25 40 21 MT : 15 11 15 48 11 ND : 1 2 11 66 20 WA : 6 18 35 41 0 : 5 Sts : 5 6 18 58 13 : Prev Wk : 4 7 18 59 12 Prev Yr : 4 12 32 44 8 -------------------------------------- Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Jul 15, 2007 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 36 32 23 9 0 :: NJ : 0 10 30 60 0 AZ : 27 30 33 9 1 :: NM : 7 6 28 51 8 AR : 0 3 22 61 14 :: NY : 5 12 29 51 3 CA : 71 25 4 0 0 :: NC : 25 28 31 16 0 CO : 2 5 31 51 11 :: ND : 1 4 18 63 14 CT : 0 0 15 85 0 :: OH : 28 30 26 15 1 DE : 15 38 25 21 1 :: OK : 0 4 14 49 33 FL : 5 15 55 20 5 :: OR : 13 27 40 19 1 GA : 27 25 30 17 1 :: PA : 24 38 20 15 3 ID : 2 22 53 22 1 :: RI : 0 10 50 40 0 IL : 5 10 37 41 7 :: SC : 7 21 38 33 1 IN : 27 36 28 9 0 :: SD : 4 7 30 47 12 IA : 4 19 40 33 4 :: TN : 35 31 28 6 0 KS : 3 8 24 49 16 :: TX : 1 2 14 46 37 KY : 21 34 33 12 0 :: UT : 15 31 38 16 0 LA : 0 2 19 70 9 :: VT : 0 19 20 46 15 ME : 1 10 26 45 18 :: VA : 25 42 24 9 0 MD : 16 36 31 16 1 :: WA : 3 11 23 63 0 MA : 0 0 4 92 4 :: WV : 9 37 42 12 0 MI : 15 34 42 8 1 :: WI : 15 25 35 23 2 MN : 15 33 30 20 2 :: WY : 5 16 45 29 5 MS : 3 8 34 36 19 :: : MO : 5 12 41 37 5 :: 48 Sts : 12 15 27 34 12 MT : 6 7 25 47 15 :: : NE : 5 8 26 47 14 :: Prev Wk: 12 15 27 34 12 NV : 24 40 33 3 0 :: Prev Yr: 18 23 31 24 4 NH : 1 5 21 58 15 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2006 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data collected each week from early April through the end of November. The non-probability crop progress and condition surveys include input from more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through various stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaires on Friday or early Monday morning and submit them to the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) Field Offices in their States by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of when questionnaires are completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced by projections for weekend changes in progress and condition. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, significantly reducing projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories used as reporting guidelines are available on the NASS website at: www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/National_Crop_Progress/terms_definit ions.asp. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Field Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the Crop Progress report are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are preliminary and subject to corrections or updates in the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin that is released after 12:00 pm ET on the second business day of the week. These estimates are subject to revision the following week. Crop Progress and Condition tables expected next week: Barley - Harvested, Condition Corn - Dough, Silked, Condition Cotton - Setting Bolls, Squaring, Condition Oats - Harvested, Condition Peanuts - Pegging, Condition Rice - Headed, Condition Sorghum - Coloring, Headed, Condition Soybeans - Blooming, Setting Pods, Condition Spring Wheat - Harvested, Headed, Condition Winter Wheat - Harvested Pasture & Range - Condition ACCESS TO REPORTS!! For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services: INTERNET ACCESS All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go to the NASS Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov. E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. Starting with the NASS Home Page at www.nass.usda.gov, under the right navigation, Receive reports by Email, click on National or State. 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