We 1 (10-07) Weekly Weather And Crop Bulletin National Agricultural Statistics Service USDA Washington, D.C. Released October 10, 2007, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of Agriculture. For information on "Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin" call Dawn Keen at (202) 720-7621, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. National Weather Summary September 30 - October 6, 2007 Highlights: For the second consecutive week, cool weather in the West contrasted with late-season warmth in most areas from the Plains to the East Coast. Weekly temperatures ranged from as much as 10 degrees F below normal in the Northwest to more than 15 degrees F above normal in parts of the Midwest. Rain and snow showers accompanied the Northwestern chill, boosting topsoil moisture but slowing the planting and emergence of winter grains. Despite the cool weather, summer crop harvesting and other fieldwork advanced in California and the Southwest under mostly dry conditions. Meanwhile across the nation's mid-section, heavy showers and thunderstorms were confined to the east-central Plains (on October 2-3) and the northern Plains (toward week's end). Aside from fieldwork delays associated with those rains, winter wheat planting and summer crop harvesting accelerated on the southern Plains and proceeded quickly elsewhere. On the northern Plains, late week precipitation (rain and wet snow) benefited emerging winter wheat. Farther east, Midwestern warmth remained ideal for summer crop maturation and dry down, although occasionally heavy showers slowed harvesting across the western Corn Belt. Nevertheless, the pace of corn and soybean harvesting remained ahead of schedule in most key Midwestern production areas. Elsewhere, heavy showers continued for a third consecutive week in the southern Atlantic region, but only light rain fell elsewhere in the Southeast. As a result, drought remained deeply entrenched across much of the Southeast, where soaking rains will be needed to revive pastures and promote the establishment of fall-sown crops. West of the Delta, however, some rain fell due to the effects of a slow-moving cold front and a weak low-pressure system arriving from the Gulf of Mexico. Chilly weather in the West was in sharp contrast to record-setting heat from the high Plains to the Corn Belt. On the last day of September, minima of 18 degrees F at Utah's Bryce Canyon Airport, 24 degrees F in Challis, ID, and 41 degrees F in Red Bluff, CA, were among more than a dozen daily-record lows. By mid-week, temperatures briefly moderated in the West but began to soar toward summer-like levels from the Plains eastward. Daily records for October 3 climbed to 88 degrees F in Bristol, TN, and 83 degrees F in Bluefield, WV. A day later, a sampling of record highs for October 4 included 96 degrees F in Borger, TX, 92 degrees F in Tampa, FL, and 86 degrees F in Allentown, PA. Meanwhile, scattered daily-record lows returned to the Northwest, where Goldendale, WA, registered a low of 27 degrees F on October 5. The following day, over a half dozen record lows were reported in California, including Paso Robles (34 degrees F), Sandberg (36 degrees F), and Salinas (38 degrees F). While the west remained cooler-than-normal, late-season heat intensified across the Midwest, South, and East, with over 30 daily record highs reported on October 6. In particular, a pair of 107-year old records fell in Michigan when the thermometer reached 87 degrees F at both Grand Rapids and Traverse City. Temperatures peaked at or above 90 degrees F at numerous locales, setting new daytime high marks for the date including: Roswell, NM (93 degrees F); Pueblo, CO (91 degrees F); Imperial, KS (93 degrees F); Memphis, TN (93 degrees F); and Evansville, IN (90 degrees F). In addition to daily record highs, a 90 degrees F reading at London, KY on October 6 eclipsed the previous all-time October reading (previously 89 degrees F) and was the latest 90-degree occurrence on the books. At the end of September, locally heavy showers dotted the Northwest and erupted across the western Corn Belt. Record rainfall totals for September 30 reached 1.69 inches in Waterloo, IA, and 1.18 inches in Eugene, OR. Two days later, records for October 2 in those two regions included 1.46 inches in Mason City, IA, and 1.06 inches in Olympia, WA. Although much of the remainder of the country experienced a dry week, the southern Atlantic region was a notable exception. In Florida, Gainesville collected consecutive daily-record totals (2.25 and 1.85 inches) on October 4-5. Farther west, downpours briefly soaked parts of the southeastern Plains and the Mid-South, where Fort Smith, AR, was soaked by 6.48 inches of rain in a 24-hour period on October 2-3; Fort Smith's normal October rainfall is 3.94 inches. Farther north, several daily precipitation records were set at week's end across Idaho, Montana, and the Dakotas, although values were generally less than one inch. An exception was Pierre, SD, where 2.55 inches of rain on October 6 shattered the previous mark for the date (0.99 inches). In addition, cold air filtering into the region from the west allowed snow to fall at locations such as Elko, NV (Trace), Bozeman, MT (8.0 inches), and Pocatello, ID (1.1 inches), setting new daily snowfall records for October 6. Despite a general increase in showers across Hawaii, mainly in windward areas, many areas remained very dry. During the first 6 days of October, rainfall reached 3.36 inches (210 percent of normal) in Hilo, on the Big Island, but totaled one-tenth of an inch or less in locations such as Honolulu, Oahu; Kahului, Maui; and Lihue, Kauai. Farther north, somewhat drier weather prevailed across much of mainland Alaska, accompanied by the arrival of near- to below-normal temperatures. Nome's growing season ended at 124 days (May 30 - September 30), second only to a 126-day freeze-free period in 1989. Some locations, including McGrath (4.7 inches), noted their first measurable snowfall of the season on October 4-5. Persistent showers continued, however, in southeastern Alaska, where Juneau collected measurable rainfall on each of the first 6 days of October (total of 2.36 inches, or 140 percent of normal). National Weather Summary provided by USDA's World Agricultural Outlook Board. For more information, call (202) 720-2397. National Agricultural Summary October 1 - 7, 2007 Highlights: In the west, while cooler than average temperatures slowed emergence of winter wheat, moisture was beneficial for the crop. Along the Pacific Northwest, mild temperatures and precipitation of up to 4 inches or more were evident. Other areas, west of the Rocky Mountains also experienced cool conditions but precipitation was limited to mostly northern areas with some isolated portions of the Rockies receiving between 2 and 4 inches in the form of snowfall at higher elevations. Farther east, warmer than average temperatures aided fall field activities from the Great Plains eastward to the Atlantic with the exception of some areas that were hindered by rain showers. Significant precipitation mainly fell in the Western Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Great Plains as well as parts of the southern Great Plains. Florida also experienced significant levels of precipitation in southern and central areas as well as along the coast. Corn: Ninety-six percent of acreage had matured, 2 and 5 points ahead of last year and normal, respectively. The crop developed near or ahead of last year and the normal pace in all States. Acreage in most States was nearly all at or beyond maturity with the exception of Ohio and Pennsylvania. Harvest, at 42 percent was 15 and 12 points ahead of last year and the normal pace, respectively. In Kentucky, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas producers had reaped 90 percent or more of their acreage, while in North Dakota, and Ohio, harvesting was just getting into full swing. Producers in Illinois were reaping well ahead of schedule with 76 percent harvested, 34 points ahead of last year and 31 points ahead of their normal pace. Soybeans: Acreage at or beyond the leaf-dropping stage was the same as last year, but ahead of normal by 2 points at 94 percent. Harvest was gaining momentum with half of the crop reaped, 7 and 5 points ahead of last year and the normal pace, respectively. Nearly one-fourth or more of the crop was harvested in the Corn Belt and northern Great Plains, although progress in most of the central and northern portions of these regions lagged behind normal. Winter Wheat: Fifty-eight percent of the winter wheat crop had been planted, 7 and 8 points behind last year and the 5-year average pace, respectively. Advancing 16 points during the week, seeding was behind in nearly half of the major producing States. Planting was lagging behind the farthest in Oklahoma, where compared with the 5-year average pace of 70 percent, only half of their acreage was planted. Emergence, at 29 percent, was delayed when compared with the normal pace mostly due to the planting delays. Behind last year's pace by 5 points and behind the 5-year average by 7 points, emergence of the crop was lagging in the central and southern Great Plains. In Oklahoma, emergence 24 points behind normal. Cotton: Development of cotton acreage was nearly complete in all areas except the Great Plains, Georgia, and California. Nationwide, bolls had opened on 85 percent of acreage, the same as last year but ahead of normal by 2 points. At 30 percent harvested, behind last year's pace of 32 percent, but ahead of the 26 percent 5-year average, producers made rapid progress in the Delta. Missouri and Tennessee producers continued to make rapid progress and were 39 and 23 points ahead of the normal pace, respectively. Sorghum: Compared with last year's 67 percent, and 71 percent over the past 5-years, sorghum mature, at 86 percent was ahead considerably. All of Arkansas and Louisiana acreage had reached maturity, with most other States close behind, except for New Mexico with a significant amount of acreage yet to mature. However, on average, the State's acreage was still ahead of normal development. Nearly half of the Nation's sorghum crop had been harvested, 8 and 7 points ahead of last year and normal, respectively. Illinois and Texas producers were harvesting well ahead of schedule, with most other States slightly ahead of normal, except Kansas, Missouri, and Oklahoma where progress was lagging behind the normal pace. Rice: Eighty-four percent of the rice crop was harvested, 1 point behind last year but 1 point ahead of normal. All rice-producing States were at or beyond the normal pace except California. Louisiana and Texas rice harvest was complete and Mississippi was nearly complete. Peanuts: One-fifth of the peanut crop was harvested, 1 and 16 points behind last year and the 5-year average, respectively. Even though harvest gained momentum in all areas during the week, progress in the Southeast was behind the normal pace between 3 and 23 points. In North Carolina, Oklahoma, and Texas, harvest was advancing near the normal pace, while in Virginia, peanut growers were harvesting ahead of last year and normal by 7 and 14 points, respectively. Other Crops: Sugarbeet harvest was gaining momentum, advancing 20 points, nationwide, with Minnesota and North Dakota advancing 26 and 31 points during the week, respectively. Acreage harvested, at 35 percent, was the same as last year and the 5-year average. Producers in all States were reaping the crop at or ahead of normal except Minnesota, where harvest was behind the normal pace by 3 points. Sunflower harvest, at 11 percent, was behind last year and normal by 2 points. Growers in Colorado were significantly ahead of last year and normal by 18 and 23 points, respectively, while producers in Kansas and South Dakota were behind 7 and 9 points, respectively. Soybeans: Percent Dropping Leaves, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Oct 7, :Sep 30,:Oct 7, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 75 65 84 71 IL : 99 97 95 95 IN : 96 90 88 93 IA : 97 93 98 98 KS : 87 74 91 89 KY : 90 78 83 88 LA : 98 92 96 87 MI : 97 76 86 91 MN : 100 99 99 98 MS : 98 93 100 96 MO : 81 68 88 84 NE : 96 84 98 97 NC : 54 42 51 50 ND : 100 98 100 98 OH : 100 92 94 94 SD : 99 93 100 99 TN : 91 88 90 80 WI : 96 92 94 91 : 18 Sts: 94 88 94 92 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Soybeans: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Oct 7, :Sep 30,:Oct 7, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 48 36 54 41 IL : 68 43 42 49 IN : 49 26 16 37 IA : 58 35 62 59 KS : 28 11 29 32 KY : 34 19 18 22 LA : 85 65 82 67 MI : 21 10 17 32 MN : 74 40 56 50 MS : 75 65 95 81 MO : 31 14 33 28 NE : 34 13 44 48 NC : 6 3 5 5 ND : 61 37 72 60 OH : 35 19 14 34 SD : 39 13 46 44 TN : 42 28 36 29 WI : 25 12 20 27 : 18 Sts: 50 29 43 45 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 96% of last year's soybean acreage. Cotton: Percent Bolls Opening, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Oct 7, :Sep 30,:Oct 7, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 93 89 92 93 AZ : 97 95 96 98 AR : 99 97 96 95 CA : 89 80 70 81 GA : 77 65 94 90 KS : 60 35 56 55 LA : 99 97 100 98 MS : 99 98 100 97 MO : 100 100 92 92 NC : 100 98 93 93 OK : 81 71 79 86 SC : 92 83 80 79 TN : 100 100 97 94 TX : 73 60 76 71 VA : 100 99 99 89 : 15 Sts: 85 76 85 83 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 15 States planted 99% of last year's cotton acreage. Cotton: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Oct 7, :Sep 30,:Oct 7, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 24 16 36 24 AZ : 20 15 21 19 AR : 49 28 46 34 CA : 9 5 1 6 GA : 7 3 26 19 KS : 0 0 13 3 LA : 42 15 75 57 MS : 58 46 74 50 MO : 65 46 20 26 NC : 21 12 8 12 OK : 4 0 12 13 SC : 20 10 13 14 TN : 46 26 28 23 TX : 23 21 24 24 VA : 27 10 25 18 : 15 Sts: 30 21 32 26 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 15 States harvested 99% of last year's cotton acreage. Corn: Percent Mature, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Oct 7, :Sep 30,:Oct 7, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 92 79 92 84 IL : 100 99 99 97 IN : 94 88 82 87 IA : 99 94 98 97 KS : 99 98 97 97 KY : 100 99 97 98 MI : 92 88 86 79 MN : 99 96 96 89 MO : 99 97 99 99 NE : 91 88 93 88 NC : 100 100 100 100 ND : 94 88 98 82 OH : 86 77 82 78 PA : 83 77 79 78 SD : 92 82 93 89 TN : 100 100 100 100 TX : 100 100 100 98 WI : 88 77 86 76 : 18 Sts: 96 91 94 91 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 93% of last year's corn acreage. Corn: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Oct 7, :Sep 30,:Oct 7, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 29 14 14 15 IL : 76 60 42 45 IN : 44 31 18 25 IA : 22 13 16 16 KS : 69 56 67 68 KY : 90 82 65 73 MI : 21 12 8 12 MN : 25 15 7 10 MO : 81 69 82 76 NE : 28 17 17 21 NC : 94 90 85 83 ND : 13 5 15 11 OH : 16 9 7 12 PA : 30 23 25 36 SD : 22 13 15 16 TN : 99 97 92 91 TX : 91 90 86 84 WI : 21 12 9 11 : 18 Sts: 42 31 27 30 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States harvested 95% of last year's corn acreage. Peanuts: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Oct 7, :Sep 30,:Oct 7, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 22 12 11 44 FL : 40 25 27 51 GA : 15 5 24 38 NC : 27 12 21 26 OK : 14 9 5 11 SC : 34 21 33 37 TX : 13 2 14 13 VA : 40 20 33 26 : 8 Sts : 20 9 21 36 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 8 States harvested 98% of last year's peanut acreage. Rice: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Oct 7, :Sep 30,:Oct 7, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 87 75 90 86 CA : 55 40 56 61 LA : 100 99 100 98 MS : 97 95 95 89 MO : 88 80 79 75 TX : 100 98 99 100 : 6 Sts : 84 74 85 83 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 6 States harvested 100% of last year's rice acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Planted, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Oct 7, :Sep 30,:Oct 7, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 11 3 13 10 CA : 17 16 5 5 CO : 84 68 92 93 ID : 67 53 70 67 IL : 41 15 30 28 IN : 36 12 15 26 KS : 56 35 71 68 MI : 55 44 29 48 MO : 19 9 26 22 MT : 82 69 82 85 NE : 91 78 89 91 NC : 2 1 6 9 OH : 39 14 12 32 OK : 50 41 62 70 OR : 62 55 68 43 SD : 88 78 88 86 TX : 53 30 66 64 WA : 84 69 83 82 : 18 Sts: 58 42 65 66 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Winter Wheat: Percent Emerged, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Oct 7, :Sep 30,:Oct 7, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 2 0 2 2 CA : 0 0 0 1 CO : 59 35 66 64 ID : 26 15 28 24 IL : 6 1 4 5 IN : 7 1 2 5 KS : 23 10 32 35 MI : 24 7 10 14 MO : 6 2 7 6 MT : 39 18 29 39 NE : 66 42 62 68 NC : 0 0 1 2 OH : 8 0 1 5 OK : 20 14 32 44 OR : 35 26 27 13 SD : 55 39 57 47 TX : 25 8 38 36 WA : 55 43 56 54 : 18 Sts: 29 16 34 36 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 18 States planted 92% of last year's winter wheat acreage. Sunflower: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Oct 7, :Sep 30,:Oct 7, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 45 39 27 22 KS : 15 5 15 22 ND : 9 3 13 9 SD : 8 2 8 17 : 4 Sts : 11 5 13 13 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 4 States harvested 87% of last year's sunflower acreage. Sorghum: Percent Mature, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Oct 7, :Sep 30,:Oct 7, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 100 100 100 CO : 76 68 54 56 IL : 97 95 95 91 KS : 81 64 57 65 LA : 100 100 100 100 MO : 82 67 94 90 NE : 93 76 85 82 NM : 37 22 15 23 OK : 65 58 52 67 SD : 97 87 90 84 TX : 96 90 78 77 : 11 Sts: 86 74 67 71 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States planted 97% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sorghum: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Oct 7, :Sep 30,:Oct 7, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 100 98 98 94 CO : 22 12 9 15 IL : 79 63 38 40 KS : 27 14 24 28 LA : 99 98 100 98 MO : 46 33 61 59 NE : 11 6 14 20 NM : 4 2 0 2 OK : 37 21 24 39 SD : 42 23 27 29 TX : 90 87 71 65 : 11 Sts: 47 37 39 40 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 11 States harvested 98% of last year's sorghum acreage. Sugarbeets: Percent Harvested, Selected States 1/ -------------------------------------- : Week Ending : :-----------------------: 2002- State:Oct 7, :Sep 30,:Oct 7, : 2006 : 2007 : 2007 : 2006 : Avg. -------------------------------------- : Percent : ID : 18 11 21 15 MI : 17 15 9 7 MN : 42 16 45 45 ND : 47 16 43 47 : 4 Sts : 35 15 35 35 -------------------------------------- 1/ These 4 States harvested 81% of last year's sugarbeets acreage. Corn: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 7, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : CO : 2 4 17 55 22 IL : 2 4 16 53 25 IN : 6 12 32 39 11 IA : 2 6 19 49 24 KS : 1 6 27 48 18 KY : 6 13 22 34 25 MI : 11 21 34 28 6 MN : 10 12 32 37 9 MO : 6 13 28 39 14 NE : 1 4 16 49 30 NC : 20 26 25 22 7 ND : 2 6 18 54 20 OH : 7 13 31 36 13 PA : 19 14 22 33 12 SD : 3 7 23 50 17 TN : 26 32 30 12 0 TX : 3 6 20 44 27 WI : 7 14 33 33 13 : 18 Sts : 5 9 23 44 19 : Prev Wk : 5 9 23 44 19 Prev Yr : 6 9 24 43 18 -------------------------------------- Soybeans: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 7, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 7 19 24 35 15 IL : 6 11 28 45 10 IN : 8 14 34 37 7 IA : 1 4 19 52 24 KS : 1 8 31 46 14 KY : 23 24 25 22 6 LA : 1 7 30 56 6 MI : 5 19 38 33 5 MN : 5 9 29 42 15 MS : 2 6 15 43 34 MO : 10 19 34 30 7 NE : 1 3 16 53 27 NC : 31 26 27 14 2 ND : 3 3 15 55 24 OH : 5 12 29 39 15 SD : 1 3 23 51 22 TN : 32 31 27 10 0 WI : 5 9 25 43 18 : 18 Sts : 6 10 26 43 15 : Prev Wk : 6 11 26 43 14 Prev Yr : 4 9 25 44 18 -------------------------------------- Cotton: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 7, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 39 29 23 8 1 AZ : 0 1 39 49 11 AR : 0 10 25 44 21 CA : 0 0 0 62 38 GA : 6 15 34 37 8 KS : 0 15 45 35 5 LA : 0 8 25 65 2 MS : 2 6 24 48 20 MO : 9 24 24 32 11 NC : 19 27 31 20 3 OK : 0 4 19 76 1 SC : 24 36 28 12 0 TN : 9 39 38 14 0 TX : 2 12 23 45 18 VA : 5 30 46 19 0 : 15 Sts : 5 14 25 42 14 : Prev Wk : 5 14 29 38 14 Prev Yr : 13 18 29 32 8 -------------------------------------- Sorghum: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 7, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AR : 1 7 28 47 17 CO : 0 0 21 66 13 IL : 6 13 40 41 0 KS : 1 5 24 52 18 LA : 0 8 23 53 16 MO : 3 9 46 38 4 NE : 0 2 14 47 37 NM : 0 8 35 50 7 OK : 0 8 22 65 5 SD : 3 7 31 55 4 TX : 3 12 32 42 11 : 11 Sts : 2 7 27 49 15 : Prev Wk : 2 8 26 49 15 Prev Yr : 19 21 31 25 4 -------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2006 planted acres. Peanuts: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 7, 2007 -------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX -------------------------------------- : Percent : AL : 16 25 35 22 2 FL : 10 20 40 20 10 GA : 3 9 30 43 15 NC : 10 18 45 27 0 OK : 1 5 26 68 0 SC : 7 17 50 24 2 TX : 0 0 22 52 26 VA : 12 31 42 15 0 : 8 Sts : 6 12 33 37 12 : Prev Wk : 6 13 33 35 13 Prev Yr : 6 20 37 31 6 -------------------------------------- Pasture and Range: Crop Condition by Percent, Selected States, Week Ending Oct 7, 2007 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- State : VP : P : F : G : EX :: State : VP : P : F : G : EX ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : Percent :: : Percent : :: : AL : 41 34 21 4 0 :: NJ : 5 20 70 5 0 AZ : 11 22 35 27 5 :: NM : 6 18 34 32 10 AR : 2 15 39 41 3 :: NY : 12 26 39 21 2 CA : 78 20 2 0 0 :: NC : 65 20 13 2 0 CO : 4 13 35 44 4 :: ND : 5 15 35 39 6 CT : 20 43 35 2 0 :: OH : 18 20 29 28 5 DE : 32 32 27 8 1 :: OK : 1 3 24 56 16 FL : 0 15 30 45 10 :: OR : 23 31 28 18 0 GA : 22 25 32 18 3 :: PA : 39 28 25 8 0 ID : 21 43 27 9 0 :: RI : 0 30 40 30 0 IL : 32 29 23 15 1 :: SC : 40 37 16 7 0 IN : 51 23 19 7 0 :: SD : 6 12 37 40 5 IA : 2 8 26 46 18 :: TN : 45 34 18 3 0 KS : 5 16 35 39 5 :: TX : 2 6 23 55 14 KY : 50 32 15 3 0 :: UT : 18 38 31 13 0 LA : 0 13 43 40 4 :: VT : 0 24 52 24 0 ME : 3 25 26 31 15 :: VA : 44 37 17 2 0 MD : 26 39 27 8 0 :: WA : 16 19 29 31 5 MA : 0 0 20 80 0 :: WV : 36 34 23 7 0 MI : 8 30 31 24 7 :: WI : 2 7 26 55 10 MN : 8 15 32 38 7 :: WY : 8 30 34 26 2 MS : 15 23 24 27 11 :: : MO : 28 22 32 17 1 :: 48 Sts : 18 18 27 31 6 MT : 17 22 35 23 3 :: : NE : 4 12 27 44 13 :: Prev Wk: 17 18 28 31 6 NV : 50 47 3 0 0 :: Prev Yr: 20 23 29 24 4 NH : 0 7 25 67 1 :: : ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- VP-Very Poor, P-Poor, F-Fair, G-Good, EX-Excellent. National crop conditions for selected States are weighted based on 2006 planted acres. Crop Progress and Condition Survey and Estimating Procedures Survey Procedures: Crop progress and condition estimates are based on survey data collected each week from early April through the end of November. The non-probability crop progress and condition surveys include input from more than 5,000 reporters whose occupations provide them opportunities to make visual observations and frequently bring them in contact with farmers in their counties. Based on standard definitions, these reporters subjectively estimate progress of farmers' activities and progress of crops through various stages of development. They also provide subjective evaluations of crop conditions. Most reporters complete their questionnaires on Friday or early Monday morning and submit them to the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) Field Offices in their States by mail, telephone, fax, e-mail, or through a secured internet website. A small number of reports are completed on Thursday, Saturday, and Sunday. Regardless of when questionnaires are completed, reporters are asked to report for the week ending on Sunday. For reports submitted prior to the Sunday reference date, a degree of uncertainty is introduced by projections for weekend changes in progress and condition. By the end of the 2001 season, nearly two-thirds of the data were being submitted through the internet website. As a result, about one-half of all data are submitted on Monday morning, significantly reducing projection uncertainty. Reporters are sent written reporting instructions at the beginning of each season and are contacted periodically to ensure proper reporting. Terms and definitions of crop stages and condition categories used as reporting guidelines are available on the NASS website at: www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/National_Crop_Progress/terms_definit ions.asp. Estimating Procedures: Reported data are reviewed for reasonableness and consistency by comparing with data reported the previous week and data reported in surrounding counties for the current week. Each State Field Office summarizes the reported data to district and State levels, weighting each county's reported data by NASS county acreage estimates. Summarized indications are compared with previous week estimates, and progress items are compared with earlier stages of development and historical averages to ensure reasonableness. Weather events and reporter comments are also taken into consideration. State estimates are submitted to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB) along with supporting comments, where they are compared with surrounding States and compiled into a National level summary by weighting each State by its acreage estimates. Revision Policy: Progress and condition estimates in the Crop Progress report are released after 4:00 pm ET on the first business day of the week. These estimates are preliminary and subject to corrections or updates in the Weekly Weather and Crop Bulletin that is released after 12:00 pm ET on the second business day of the week. These estimates are subject to revision the following week. Crop Progress and Condition tables expected next week: Corn - Harvested, Condition Cotton - Bolls Opening, Harvested, Condition Pasture & Range - Condition Peanuts - Harvested, Condition Rice - Harvested Sorghum - Harvested, Mature Soybeans - Harvested Sugarbeets - Harvested Sunflowers - Harvested Winter Wheat - Emerged, Planted ACCESS TO REPORTS!! 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