ISSN:1554-9089 WASDE-454 January 11, 2008 WHEAT: Projected U.S. wheat ending stocks for 2007/08 are raised this month 12 million bushels due to lower projected domestic use. At 292 million bushels, this year's ending stocks are forecast to be the lowest in 60 years. Feed and residual use is projected 10 million bushels lower for 2007/08 as December 1 stocks, reported in January Grain Stocks, indicate lower-than- expected feed and residual use during September- November. Seed use is reduced 2 million bushels based on lower-than-expected hard red winter wheat planted area as reported in Winter Wheat Seedings. The season-average farm price is projected at $6.45 to $6.85 per bushel, 25 cents higher on each end of the range, reflecting strong cash and futures prices and lower-than-expected hard red winter wheat seedings. The projected range is well above the record of $4.55 per bushel in 1995/96. Global 2007/08 wheat production is raised 0.7 million tons this month. Production is raised 1.4 million tons for Russia, but lowered 0.7 million tons for EU-27. Lower EU-27 output reflects reductions in several countries in northwestern Europe and Scandinavia. Global imports for 2007/08 are raised slightly with the biggest increase for Pakistan, up 0.5 million tons reflecting shipments to date and recently announced tenders. Exports by Pakistan are raised 0.4 million tons reflecting larger- than-expected shipments of wheat flour to neighboring countries. Due to the implementation of new import taxes and cancellation of value-added tax (VAT) rebates, China's wheat exports are projected 0.5 million tons lower. World wheat feeding for 2007/08 is raised 0.2 million tons with increases for FSU-12 and Australia more than offsetting reductions for EU-27 and the United States. Wheat feeding is increased 0.5 million tons and 0.3 million tons, respectively, for Russia and Ukraine. Wheat feeding is lowered 0.5 million tons for EU-27. More than offsetting the reduction in EU-27 wheat feeding is an expected increase in coarse grain feed use with higher projected corn and sorghum imports and a larger-than-expected mixed grains crop. Global wheat ending stocks for 2007/08 are raised 0.9 million tons to 110.9 million. COARSE GRAINS: U.S. corn ending stocks for 2007/08 are reduced 359 million bushels this month based on lower estimated production and increased feed and residual use. Corn supplies for 2007/08 are lowered 94 million bushels based on lower estimated production. Feed and residual use is raised 300 million bushels based on September-November disappearance as indicated by December 1 stocks. Projected food, seed, and industrial use is reduced 15 million bushels in line with lower-than-expected shipments of sweeteners and starch during September-November. The season- average farm price for corn is projected at $3.70 to $4.30 per bushel, up 35 cents on both ends of the range based on the sharp rise in both cash and futures prices that has been sustained during recent weeks. Sorghum supplies for 2007/08 are lowered 10 million bushels based on lower production. Sorghum exports for 2007/08 are projected 10 million bushels higher based on the strong pace of shipments and strong EU- 27 demand. Feed and residual use is lowered 5 million bushels. With the reduction in supplies, ending stocks are projected 15 million bushels lower. The sorghum season-average price is projected 40 cents higher on each end of the range to $3.60 to $4.20 per bushel. Barley feed and residual is projected 5 million bushels higher based on September-November disappearance as indicated by December 1 stocks. Food, seed, and industrial use is lowered an offsetting 5 million bushels. The barley price projection is raised 10 cents on each end of the range to $3.80 to $4.40 per bushel. The projected oats price range is raised 10 cents on each end of the range to $2.20 to $2.80 per bushel. Farm prices for corn, sorghum, and barley are all projected at record levels. World coarse grain supplies for 2007/08 are projected 1.3 million tons lower this month despite an increase of 1.4 million tons in beginning stocks. Lower estimates for corn production in the United States and barley production in Russia more than offset higher coarse grain production in EU-27. The 2007/08 coarse grain carryin is raised on upward revisions in 2006/07 corn imports for Brazil, Iran, and Peru and barley imports for Jordan. Global 2007/08 corn production is lowered 2.6 million tons mostly reflecting a reduction in the United States. Global barley production is lowered 0.8 million tons mostly on a reduction in Russia output. Partly offsetting are increases for Argentina sorghum and EU- 27 corn, barley, oats, and mixed grains. EU-27 rye production, however, is lowered 0.3 million tons. Global coarse grains imports and exports for 2007/08 are both raised this month. Corn and sorghum imports are raised 0.5 million tons and 0.2 million tons, respectively, for EU-27 reflecting strong feeding demand. Partly offsetting are import reductions of 0.3 million tons in corn for Canada and 0.1 million tons in barley for Israel. Corn exports are raised 0.5 million tons for Brazil and 0.2 million tons for Canada. Partly offsetting is a reduction of 0.5 million tons for China corn exports. World corn feeding is projected 7.7 million tons higher, mostly reflecting higher projected corn feed and residual use in the United States. Corn and sorghum feeding are raised 0.6 million tons and 0.2 million tons, respectively, for EU-27. World coarse grains ending stocks fall with a 7.7-million-ton reduction in world corn ending stocks driven by lower projected carryout in the United States. RICE: The U.S. 2007/08 rice crop is estimated at 197.5 million cwt, down slightly from the previous estimate, but 2 percent above 2006/07. Average yield is estimated at a record 7,185 pounds per acre, down 62 pounds per acre from November but 317 pounds per acre above 2006/07. Planted area is estimated at 2.761 million acres, up slightly from November but a decrease of 3 percent from 2006/07. Imports for 2007/08 are projected at a record 21.5 million cwt, unchanged from last month. Domestic and residual use is projected at 124.7 million cwt, unchanged from last month. The all- rice export projection is unchanged at 109 million cwt. Ending stocks for 2007/08 are projected at 24.6 million cwt, down slightly from last month. The season- average farm price range is unchanged at $10.90 to $11.40 per cwt and compares to $9.74 per cwt in 2006/07. The midpoint of the price range at $11.15 per cwt would be the highest season-average farm price since 1980/81 ($12.80 per cwt). Global production and ending stocks for 2007/08 are raised slightly from a month ago, while trade and consumption are lowered a little. The increase in global rice production is due primarily to an increase in Thailand. Global exports are lowered 0.6 million tons due to reductions for China and Pakistan. Imports are lowered for Cuba, China, and some African markets. Global ending stocks are projected at 72.5 million tons, up 0.4 million from last month, down 3.0 million from 2006/07, and the lowest stocks since 1983/84. The stocks-to-use ratio at 17.1 percent is the lowest since 1976/77. OILSEEDS: U.S. oilseed production for 2007/08 is estimated at 80.0 million tons, down 0.1 million tons from last month, and 16.6 million tons below last year's record. Small reductions for soybean and canola production were offset by increases for sunflowerseed, cottonseed, and peanuts. Soybean production is estimated at 2.585 billion bushels, down 9 million bushels from last month based on a slightly lower yield. The soybean yield is estimated at 41.2 bushels per acre. Soybean exports and crush projections are unchanged from last month. Soybean stocks are projected at 175 million bushels, down 10 million from last month. If realized, stocks would be at the lowest level since 2003/04. Soybean oil stocks are projected higher this month reflecting increased production due to a higher extraction rate. The U.S. season-average soybean price range for 2007/08 is projected at a record-high $9.90 to $10.90 per bushel, up 65 cents on both ends of the range based on the sharp rise in cash and futures prices in recent weeks. Soybean oil prices are forecast at 45.5 to 49.5 cents per pound compared with 41 to 45 cents last month. Soybean meal prices are projected at $305 to $335 per short ton compared with $265 to $295 last month. Global oilseed production for 2007/08 is projected at a record 389.7 million tons, down 1.6 million from last month. Foreign production is projected at 309.7 million tons, down 1.5 million. Global soybean production accounts for most of the change, projected down 1.3 million tons, at 220.3 million tons. Brazil's soybean crop is reduced 1.5 million tons to 60.5 million tons. Harvested area is reduced 0.5 million hectares reflecting recent Brazilian government surveys. Soybean production for Paraguay is raised 0.5 million tons to a record 7 million tons based on an increase in projected area. Foreign sunflowerseed and cottonseed production are reduced this month. Argentina's sunflowerseed crop is reduced 0.2 million tons due to lower projected area. Dry conditions during the planting season prevented plantings from reaching earlier projections. Other changes include lower cottonseed production estimates for China and Pakistan, and increased prospects for cottonseed production for India. SUGAR: Projected 2007/08 U.S. sugar supply is decreased 44,000 short tons, raw value, from last month, mainly due to lower production. Production is decreased 46,000 tons, based on processors' projections compiled by the Farm Service Agency. A minor decrease in imports nearly offsets higher beginning stocks, which are raised 5,000 tons to reflect revised 2006/07 ending stocks. Demand for 2007/08 is unchanged. LIVESTOCK, POULTRY, AND DAIRY: The forecast for total 2008 U.S. meat production is raised reflecting higher beef and pork production. Broiler and turkey production forecasts are unchanged. Beef production is raised in 2008 as higher cattle on feed inventories on December 1 are expected to result in stronger marketings during the first part of 2008. However, higher feed costs could limit weight gains through much of 2008. The Cattle report, to be released February 1, will provide an indication of the availability of cattle outside feedlots and of producer intentions for herd expansion this year. The Quarterly Hogs and Pigs report, released December 27, resulted in an expanded forecast of 2008 pork production. Increased sows farrowing in late 2007 and stronger growth in pigs per litter resulted in higher pig crops. These large pig crops in second-half 2007 are expected to result in higher slaughter in the first half of 2008. Second-half production in 2008 is also increased based upon expected gains in pigs per litter and producer farrowing intentions. However, increased feed prices are expected to limit weight gains. Meat production forecasts for 2007 are increased slightly to reflect estimated December meat production. Meat trade estimates are adjusted to reflect revisions by USDA's Economic Research Service. See: http://www.ers.usda.gov/data/meattrade/revisions.htm. Pork and broiler export forecasts for 2008 are raised. Beef and turkey export forecasts are unchanged. Forecasts for 2008 cattle prices are raised because fed cattle supplies are expected to remain tight during the year. Hog price forecasts for 2008 are reduced on expanded supplies of hogs. The broiler price forecast for 2008 is fractionally higher as recent price strength carries into first quarter 2008. Forecast egg prices are increased through the first half of the year on strong demand and slow production response to record high prices. Forecasts for 2008 milk production are lowered as higher forecast feed prices are expected to limit growth in cow numbers and gains in milk per cow. The milk production forecast for 2007 is increased slightly as milk per cow in the fourth quarter continues to recover from weakness earlier in the year. Ending stocks for 2007 on a fat basis are unchanged from last month, but skim solids stocks are raised because nonfat dry milk (NDM) stocks have remained higher than expected. For 2008, the Class III price forecast is unchanged from last month. Cheese prices are forecast fractionally higher as demand for cheese is expected to be firm. The Class IV price for 2008 is forecast lower. The price forecasts for butter and NDM are reduced as inventories of those products are large. The all milk price forecast for 2008 is lowered slightly to $17.90 to $18.70 per cwt. The 2007 all milk price is estimated at $19.15. COTTON: This month's U.S. cotton forecasts for 2007/08 include marginally higher production, lower exports, and higher ending stocks. Production is raised 46,000 bales to 19.0 million. Domestic mill use is unchanged. Exports are lowered 200,000 bales to 16.0 million, due to sluggish shipments to date and lower imports by China. Accordingly, ending stocks are raised nearly 3 percent from last month to 7.9 million bales. The 2007/08 world cotton forecasts include lower beginning stocks, production, consumption, trade, and ending stocks compared with last month. Production is reduced in China, Pakistan, the African Franc Zone, and Syria, but raised in India. Slightly lower world consumption reflects reductions for India and Taiwan. World trade is reduced 500,000 bales due to lower forecast imports by China and Taiwan, which are partially offset by an increase for Pakistan. World ending stocks are lowered about 500,000 bales. Approved by the Acting Secretary of Agriculture and the World Agricultural Outlook Board, Gerald A. Bange, Chairperson, (202) 720-6030. This report was prepared by the Interagency Commodity Estimates Committees. APPROVED BY: FLOYD D. GAIBLER ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE INTERAGENCY COMMODITY ESTIMATES COMMITTEES Note: The World Agricultural Outlook Board reviews and approves the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report. The Board's analysts chair the Interagency Commodity Estimates Committees (ICECs) that prepare the monthly report. Wheat: Jerry Norton, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: jnorton@oce.usda.gov Gary Vocke, ERS; Joshua Lagos, FAS; Dennis Shields, FSA. Rice: Andrew C. Aaronson, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E- mail: aaaronson@oce.usda.gov Nathan Childs, ERS; Robert Miller, FAS; William Chambers, FSA. Feed Grains: Jerry Norton, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E- mail: jnorton@oce.usda.gov Allen Baker, ERS; Richard O'Meara, FAS; Pete Riley, FSA. Oilseeds: Keith Menzie, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: kmenzie@oce.usda.gov Mark Ash, ERS; Bill George, FAS; Max Fisher, FSA. Cotton: Carol Skelly, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: cskelly@oce.usda.gov Darryl Earnest, AMS; Leslie Meyer, ERS; James Johnson, FAS; Steven Neff, FSA. Sugar: John Love, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: jlove@oce.usda.gov Stephen Haley, ERS; Ron Lord, FAS; Barbara Fecso, FSA. Meat Animals: Shayle Shagam, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: sshagam@oce.usda.gov Warren Preston, AMS; Mildred M. Haley, ERS; Claire Mezoughem, FAS; Dale Leuck, FSA. Poultry: Shayle Shagam, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E- mail: sshagam@oce.usda.gov Marc Warman, AMS; David Harvey, ERS; Michelle DeGraaf, FAS; Milton Madison, FSA. Dairy: Shayle Shagam, ICEC Chair, WAOB, E-mail: sshagam@oce.usda.gov Jerry Cessna, AMS; Roger Hoskin, ERS; Paul Kiendl, FAS; Milton Madison, FSA. In 2008, the WASDE report will be released on Feb. 8, Mar. 11, Apr. 9, May 9, June 10, July 11, Aug. 12, Sep. 12, Oct. 10, Nov. 10, Dec. 11 T A B L E OF C O N T E N T S Page Highlights . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .1 Interagency Commodity Estimates Committees . . . . . . . . . .6 World & U.S. Supply & Use for Grains . . . . . . . . . . . . .8 World & U.S. Supply & Use for Cotton . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 World & U.S. Supply & Use for Oilseeds . . . . . . . . . . . 10 U.S. Wheat Supply & Use. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 U.S. Wheat Supply & Use by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 U.S. Feed Grain & Corn Supply & Use. . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 U.S. Sorghum, Barley, & Oats Supply & Use. . . . . . . . . . 13 U.S. Rice Supply & Use . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14 U.S. Soybeans & Products Supply & Use. . . . . . . . . . . . 15 U.S. Sugar Supply & Use. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16 U.S. Cotton Supply & Use . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17 World Wheat Supply & Use . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18 World Coarse Grains Supply & Use . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 World Corn Supply & Use. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 World Rice Supply & Use. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 World Cotton Supply & Use . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 World Soybean Supply & Use . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 World Soybean Meal Supply & Use. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 World Soybean Oil Supply & Use . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 U.S. Quarterly Animal Product Production . . . . . . . . . . 31 U.S. Quarterly Prices for Animal Products. . . . . . . . . . 31 U.S. Meats Supply and Use. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 U.S. Egg Supply & Use. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 U.S. Milk Supply and Use . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 U.S. Dairy Prices. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 Reliability Tables . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Related USDA Reports . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 Metric Conversion Factors. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 Electronic Access and Subscriptions. . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 For questions about the WASDE report, call (202) 720-5447. WASDE-454-8 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains 1/ Million Metric Tons =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade 2/ : Use : Stocks =============================================================================== : : World Total grains 3/ : 2005/06 : 2,016.82 2,420.60 253.43 2,031.44 389.16 2006/07 (Est.) : 1,991.93 2,381.09 255.18 2,044.66 336.43 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 2,077.13 2,412.12 253.56 2,096.90 315.22 January : 2,075.21 2,411.63 253.32 2,102.54 309.09 Wheat : 2005/06 : 621.46 772.08 116.16 624.43 147.65 2006/07 (Est.) : 593.66 741.31 110.69 616.93 124.38 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 602.31 726.61 104.78 616.55 110.06 January : 603.00 727.38 104.68 616.45 110.93 Coarse grains 4/ : 2005/06 : 977.76 1,156.19 107.12 991.55 164.64 2006/07 (Est.) : 980.63 1,145.27 115.24 1,008.79 136.48 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 1,054.34 1,189.40 118.92 1,056.42 132.98 January : 1,051.58 1,188.07 119.38 1,062.45 125.62 Rice, milled : 2005/06 : 417.60 492.33 30.16 415.46 76.87 2006/07 (Est.) : 417.64 494.51 29.25 418.95 75.57 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 420.48 496.11 29.86 423.93 72.17 January : 420.62 496.18 29.26 423.65 72.54 : : United States Total grains 3/ : 2005/06 : 363.16 442.68 90.72 280.27 71.68 2006/07 (Est.) : 335.67 413.87 86.12 277.90 49.85 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 416.27 472.10 105.80 309.03 57.27 January : 413.62 469.45 106.06 315.30 48.09 Wheat : 2005/06 : 57.28 74.19 27.29 31.36 15.55 2006/07 (Est.) : 49.32 68.18 24.73 31.04 12.41 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 56.25 71.11 31.98 31.52 7.62 January : 56.25 71.11 31.98 31.19 7.94 Coarse grains 4/ : 2005/06 : 298.76 359.61 59.77 245.07 54.77 2006/07 (Est.) : 280.11 337.43 58.45 242.81 36.17 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 353.69 392.71 70.34 273.52 48.85 January : 351.06 390.07 70.59 280.13 39.36 Rice, milled : 2005/06 : 7.11 8.87 3.66 3.84 1.37 2006/07 (Est.) : 6.24 8.26 2.94 4.05 1.27 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 6.33 8.28 3.49 3.99 0.80 January : 6.31 8.26 3.49 3.99 0.79 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. 3/ Wheat, coarse grains and milled rice. 4/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains). WASDE-454-9 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Grains, Continued 1/ Million Metric Tons =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade 2/ : Use : Stocks =============================================================================== : : Foreign 3/ Total grains 4/ : 2005/06 : 1,653.66 1,977.92 162.71 1,751.17 317.47 2006/07 (Est.) : 1,656.27 1,967.22 169.07 1,766.76 286.57 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 1,660.86 1,940.03 147.76 1,787.88 257.95 January : 1,661.58 1,942.19 147.26 1,787.24 261.00 Wheat : 2005/06 : 564.18 697.89 88.87 593.08 132.10 2006/07 (Est.) : 544.34 673.13 85.96 585.89 111.97 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 546.06 655.50 72.81 585.03 102.45 January : 546.76 656.27 72.71 585.26 102.99 Coarse grains 5/ : 2005/06 : 679.00 796.58 47.34 746.48 109.87 2006/07 (Est.) : 700.52 807.84 56.80 765.98 100.31 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 700.65 796.70 48.58 782.90 84.14 January : 700.52 797.99 48.79 782.32 86.26 Rice, milled : 2005/06 : 410.48 483.46 26.50 411.62 75.50 2006/07 (Est.) : 411.40 486.25 26.31 414.89 74.30 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 414.15 487.83 26.37 419.94 71.37 January : 414.30 487.92 25.77 419.66 71.75 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Based on export estimate. See individual commodity tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. 3/ Total foreign is equal to world minus United States. 4/ Wheat, coarse grains and milled rice. 5/ Corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet and mixed grains. World and U.S. Supply and Use for Cotton 1/ Million 480-lb. bales =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade 2/ : Use : Stocks =============================================================================== : : World 2005/06 : 117.69 175.04 44.53 116.31 60.18 2006/07 (Est.) : 122.07 182.25 37.35 123.58 60.76 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 118.76 179.72 41.38 128.27 55.29 January : 118.25 179.02 40.88 128.02 54.75 : United States 2005/06 : 23.89 29.41 17.55 5.87 6.05 2006/07 (Est.) : 21.59 27.66 13.01 4.95 9.48 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 18.99 28.48 16.20 4.60 7.70 January : 19.03 28.53 16.00 4.60 7.90 : Foreign 3/ 2005/06 : 93.80 145.63 26.98 110.44 54.13 2006/07 (Est.) : 100.48 154.59 24.34 118.64 51.29 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 99.77 151.24 25.18 123.67 47.59 January : 99.22 150.49 24.88 123.42 46.85 =============================================================================== 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Based on export estimate. 3/ Total Foreign is equal to world minus United States. See global cotton tables for treatment of export/import imbalances. WASDE-454-10 World and U.S. Supply and Use for Oilseeds 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : : Total : : Total : Ending Commodity : Output : Supply : Trade : Use 2/ : Stocks =============================================================================== : : World Oilseeds : 2005/06 : 391.63 448.38 76.04 318.27 64.36 2006/07 (Est.) : 406.25 470.61 83.19 331.48 70.76 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 391.32 461.64 87.76 340.77 54.51 January : 389.74 460.50 87.85 340.90 53.24 Oilmeals : 2005/06 : 215.60 223.74 65.30 215.10 7.44 2006/07 (Est.) : 225.24 232.67 68.45 222.49 6.91 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 233.62 240.60 71.86 231.29 6.84 January : 233.90 240.81 72.09 231.10 6.79 Vegetable Oils : 2005/06 : 118.08 128.13 47.06 115.21 10.17 2006/07 (Est.) : 122.25 132.42 48.90 120.93 8.74 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 127.33 136.16 50.12 126.66 8.14 January : 127.46 136.20 50.16 126.53 8.11 : : United States Oilseeds : 2005/06 : 95.53 104.49 26.61 51.90 14.20 2006/07 (Est.) : 96.61 111.84 31.68 53.45 17.02 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 80.14 98.05 28.09 53.93 6.10 January : 80.01 97.90 28.07 54.14 5.92 Oilmeals : 2005/06 : 39.95 41.82 7.61 33.85 0.36 2006/07 (Est.) : 41.53 43.59 8.25 34.95 0.39 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 41.80 44.00 7.88 35.79 0.33 January : 41.90 44.09 7.88 35.88 0.33 Vegetable Oils : 2005/06 : 10.39 13.87 0.90 11.17 1.80 2006/07 (Est.) : 10.44 14.75 1.32 11.78 1.66 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 10.53 14.79 1.16 12.39 1.25 January : 10.60 14.86 1.15 12.42 1.29 : : Foreign 3/ Oilseeds : 2005/06 : 296.09 343.90 49.43 266.37 50.16 2006/07 (Est.) : 309.64 358.77 51.50 278.03 53.74 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 311.18 363.59 59.67 286.84 48.41 January : 309.73 362.59 59.78 286.76 47.32 Oilmeals : 2005/06 : 175.65 181.92 57.69 181.25 7.08 2006/07 (Est.) : 183.71 189.08 60.21 187.54 6.52 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 191.81 196.61 63.99 195.51 6.51 January : 192.00 196.72 64.22 195.21 6.46 Vegetable Oils : 2005/06 : 107.69 114.26 46.16 104.04 8.37 2006/07 (Est.) : 111.82 117.67 47.58 109.15 7.09 2007/08 (Proj.) : December : 116.81 121.37 48.97 114.28 6.89 January : 116.86 121.34 49.00 114.10 6.82 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years with Brazil and Argentina on an Oct.-Sept. year. 2/ Crush only for oilseeds. 3/ Total foreign is equal to world minus United States. WASDE-454-11 U.S. Wheat Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2007/08 Projections Item : 2005/06 : 2006/07 :============================== : : Est. : December January =============================================================================== Area : Million acres Planted : 57.2 57.3 60.4 60.4 Harvested : 50.1 46.8 51.0 51.0 Yield per harvested : Bushels acre : 42.0 38.7 40.5 40.5 : Million bushels Beginning stocks : 540 571 456 456 Production : 2,105 1,812 2,067 2,067 Imports : 81 122 90 90 Supply, total : 2,726 2,505 2,613 2,613 Food : 915 933 945 945 Seed : 78 81 88 86 Feed and residual : 160 125 125 115 Domestic, total : 1,152 1,140 1,158 1,146 Exports : 1,003 909 1,175 1,175 Use, total : 2,155 2,049 2,333 2,321 Ending stocks : 571 456 280 292 CCC inventory : 43 41 35 35 Free stocks : 528 415 245 257 Outstanding loans : 42 14 10 5 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 3.42 4.26 6.20- 6.60 6.45- 6.85 =============================================================================== U.S. Wheat by Class: Supply and Use =============================================================================== Year beginning : Hard : Hard : Soft : : : June 1 : Winter : Spring : Red : White : Durum : Total =============================================================================== 2006/07 (estimated) : Million bushels Beginning stocks : 215 132 106 78 40 571 Production : 682 432 390 254 53 1,812 Supply, total 3/ : 898 614 516 342 135 2,505 Domestic use : 452 247 261 101 79 1,140 Exports : 281 250 146 197 35 909 Use, total : 733 497 407 298 114 2,049 Ending stocks, total : 165 117 109 44 22 456 : 2007/08 (projected) : Beginning stocks : 165 117 109 44 22 456 Production : 962 449 358 227 72 2,067 Supply, total 3/ : 1,127 603 477 278 128 2,613 Domestic use : 496 240 245 91 74 1,146 Exports : 510 275 195 160 35 1,175 Use, total : 1,006 515 440 251 109 2,321 Ending stocks, total : January : 121 88 37 27 19 292 December : 109 87 44 26 14 280 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning June 1. 2/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. 3/ Includes imports. WASDE-454-12 U.S. Feed Grain and Corn Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2007/08 Projections Item : 2005/06 : 2006/07 :============================== : : Est. : December January =============================================================================== FEED GRAINS : Area : Million acres Planted : 96.4 92.5 109.1 109.1 Harvested : 85.9 80.1 97.8 98.4 Yield per harvested : Metric tons acre : 3.47 3.50 3.62 3.57 : Million metric tons Beginning stocks : 58.8 54.7 36.2 36.2 Production : 298.6 279.9 353.5 350.9 Imports : 1.9 2.4 2.7 2.7 Supply, total : 359.3 337.1 392.4 389.7 Feed and residual : 163.2 148.3 151.4 159.0 Food, seed & industrial : 81.5 94.2 121.8 120.8 Domestic, total : 244.7 242.5 273.2 279.8 Exports : 59.8 58.4 70.3 70.6 Use, total : 304.5 300.9 343.5 350.4 Ending stocks, total : 54.7 36.2 48.8 39.3 CCC inventory : 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Free stocks : 54.7 36.2 48.8 39.3 Outstanding loans : 4.4 3.0 5.9 5.9 : CORN : Area : Million acres Planted : 81.8 78.3 93.6 93.6 Harvested : 75.1 70.6 86.1 86.5 Yield per harvested : Bushels acre : 148.0 149.1 153.0 151.1 : Million bushels Beginning stocks : 2,114 1,967 1,304 1,304 Production : 11,114 10,535 13,168 13,074 Imports : 9 12 15 15 Supply, total : 13,237 12,514 14,487 14,393 Feed and residual : 6,155 5,598 5,650 5,950 Food, seed & industrial : 2,981 3,488 4,590 4,555 Ethanol for fuel 2/ : 1,603 2,117 3,200 3,200 Domestic, total : 9,136 9,086 10,240 10,505 Exports : 2,134 2,125 2,450 2,450 Use, total : 11,270 11,210 12,690 12,955 Ending stocks, total : 1,967 1,304 1,797 1,438 CCC inventory : 0 0 0 0 Free stocks : 1,967 1,304 1,797 1,438 Outstanding loans : 171 116 230 230 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 3/ : 2.00 3.04 3.35- 3.95 3.70- 4.30 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for corn and sorghum; June 1 for barley and oats. 2/ For a further breakout of FSI corn uses including ethanol, see the Feed Outlook table 5 or access the data on the Web through the Feed Grain Data Delivery System (http://www.ers.usda.gov/db/feedgrains/). 3/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. WASDE-454-13 U.S. Sorghum, Barley and Oats Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2007/08 Projections Item : 2005/06 : 2006/07 :============================== : : Est. : December January =============================================================================== : Million bushels SORGHUM : Area planted (mil. acres) : 6.5 6.5 7.7 7.7 Area harv. (mil. acres) : 5.7 4.9 6.7 6.8 Yield (bushels/acre) : 68.5 56.2 76.8 74.2 Beginning stocks : 57 66 32 32 Production : 393 278 515 505 Imports : 0 0 0 0 Supply, total : 450 343 547 537 Feed and residual : 140 109 180 175 Food, seed & industrial : 50 45 35 35 Total domestic : 190 154 215 210 Exports : 194 157 275 285 Use, total : 384 311 490 495 Ending stocks, total : 66 32 57 42 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 1.86 3.29 3.20- 3.80 3.60- 4.20 : BARLEY : Area planted (mil. acres) : 3.9 3.5 4.0 4.0 Area harv. (mil. acres) : 3.3 3.0 3.5 3.5 Yield (bushels/acre) : 64.8 61.1 60.4 60.4 Beginning stocks : 128 108 69 69 Production : 212 180 212 212 Imports : 5 12 20 20 Supply, total : 346 300 301 301 Feed and residual : 52 56 50 55 Food, seed & industrial : 158 156 150 145 Total domestic : 210 211 200 200 Exports : 28 20 50 50 Use, total : 238 231 250 250 Ending stocks, total : 108 69 51 51 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 2.53 2.85 3.70- 4.30 3.80- 4.40 : OATS : Area planted (mil. acres) : 4.2 4.2 3.8 3.8 Area harv. (mil. acres) : 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.5 Yield (bushels/acre) : 63.0 59.8 60.9 60.9 Beginning stocks : 58 53 51 51 Production : 115 94 92 92 Imports : 91 106 110 110 Supply, total : 264 252 252 252 Feed and residual : 136 125 130 130 Food, seed & industrial : 74 74 75 75 Total domestic : 209 199 205 205 Exports : 2 3 2 2 Use, total : 211 202 207 207 Ending stocks, total : 53 51 45 45 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 1.63 1.87 2.10- 2.70 2.20- 2.80 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for sorghum, June 1 for barley and oats. 2/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. WASDE-454-14 U.S. Rice Supply and Use 1/ (Rough Equivalent of Rough and Milled Rice) =============================================================================== : : : 2007/08 Projections Item : 2005/06 : 2006/07 :============================== : : Est. : December January =============================================================================== TOTAL : Area : Million acres Planted : 3.38 2.84 2.75 2.76 Harvested : 3.36 2.82 2.73 2.75 Yield per harvested : Pounds acre : 6,636 6,868 7,247 7,185 : : Million hundredweight : Beginning stocks 2/ : 37.7 43.0 39.3 39.3 Production : 223.2 193.7 197.9 197.5 Imports : 17.1 20.6 21.5 21.5 Supply, total : 278.1 257.3 258.7 258.3 Domestic & residual 3/ : 120.2 126.6 124.7 124.7 Exports, total 4/ : 114.9 91.4 109.0 109.0 Rough : 33.4 32.1 35.0 35.0 Milled (rough equiv.) : 81.4 59.3 74.0 74.0 Use, total : 235.1 218.0 233.7 233.7 Ending stocks : 43.0 39.3 25.1 24.6 Avg. milling yield (%) 5/ : 70.2 71.0 70.5 70.5 Avg. farm price ($/cwt) 6/ : 7.65 9.74 10.90-11.40 10.90-11.40 : LONG GRAIN : Harvested acres (mil.) : 2.73 2.19 2.05 Yield (pounds/acre) : 6,493 6,689 6,929 Beginning stocks : 22.7 32.7 28.5 28.5 Production : 177.5 146.2 142.6 142.2 Supply, total 7/ : 212.5 193.1 186.2 185.7 Domestic & Residual 3/ : 87.9 91.9 89.0 89.0 Exports 8/ : 92.0 72.7 85.0 85.0 Use, total : 179.8 164.6 174.0 174.0 Ending stocks : 32.7 28.5 12.2 11.7 : : MEDIUM & SHORT GRAIN : Harvested acres (mil.) : 0.63 0.64 0.70 Yield (pounds/acre) : 7,255 7,484 7,942 Beginning stocks : 13.8 9.4 10.0 10.0 Production : 45.7 47.5 55.3 55.3 Supply, total 7/ : 64.7 63.4 71.8 71.8 Domestic & Residual 3/ : 32.4 34.7 35.7 35.7 Exports 8/ : 22.9 18.7 24.0 24.0 Use, total : 55.2 53.4 59.7 59.7 Ending stocks : 9.4 10.0 12.2 12.1 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. 2/ Includes the following quantities of broken kernel rice (type undetermined) not included in estimates of beginning stocks by type (in mil. cwt): 2005/06-1.1; 2006/07-0.9; 2007/08-0.8. 3/ Residual includes unreported use, processing losses, and estimating errors. Use by type may not add to total rice use because of the difference in brokens between beginning and ending stocks. 4/ Includes rough rice and milled rice exports. Milled rice exports are converted to an equivalent rough basis. 5/ Expressed as a percent, i.e., the total quantity of whole kernel and broken rice produced divided by the quantity of rough rice milled. 6/ Marketing-year weighted average price received by farmers. 7/ Includes imports. 8/ Exports by type of rice are estimated. WASDE-454-15 U.S. Soybeans and Products Supply and Use (Domestic Measure) 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2007/08 Projections Item : 2005/06 : 2006/07 :=============================== : : Est. : December January =============================================================================== SOYBEANS: : Million acres Area : Planted : 72.0 75.5 63.7 63.6 Harvested : 71.3 74.6 62.8 62.8 : : Bushels Yield per harvested : acre : 43.0 42.7 41.3 41.2 : : Million bushels : Beginning stocks : 256 449 573 574 Production : 3,063 3,188 2,594 2,585 Imports : 3 9 6 6 Supply, total : 3,322 3,647 3,173 3,165 Crushings : 1,739 1,806 1,830 1,830 Exports : 940 1,118 995 995 Seed : 93 78 86 86 Residual : 101 70 77 79 Use, total : 2,873 3,073 2,988 2,990 Ending stocks : 449 574 185 175 Avg. farm price ($/bu) 2/ : 5.66 6.43 9.25-10.25 9.90 -10.90 : : : Million pounds SOYBEAN OIL: : Beginning stocks : 1,699 3,010 2,904 2,904 Production : 20,387 20,487 20,770 20,860 Imports : 35 37 37 37 Supply, total : 22,122 23,535 23,712 23,802 Domestic : 17,959 18,743 19,900 19,900 For methyl ester 4/ : 1,555 2,796 3,800 3,800 Exports : 1,153 1,888 1,650 1,650 Use, total : 19,112 20,630 21,550 21,550 Ending stocks : 3,010 2,904 2,162 2,252 Average price (c/lb) 2/ : 23.41 31.02 41.00- 45.50- : 45.00 49.50 : : Thousand short tons SOYBEAN MEAL: : Beginning stocks : 172 314 351 351 Production : 41,244 43,027 43,484 43,484 Imports : 141 156 165 165 Supply, total : 41,557 43,497 44,000 44,000 Domestic : 33,195 34,360 35,300 35,300 Exports : 8,048 8,786 8,400 8,400 Use, total : 41,243 43,146 43,700 43,700 Ending stocks : 314 351 300 300 Average price ($/s.t.) 2/ : 174.17 205.44 265.00- 305.00- : 295.00 335.00 =============================================================================== Note: Reliability calculations at end of report. 1/ Marketing year beginning September 1 for soybeans; October 1 for soybean oil and meal. 2/ Prices: Soybeans, marketing year weighted average price received by farmers; for Oil, simple average of crude soybean oil, Decatur; for Meal, simple average of 48 percent, Decatur. WASDE-454-16 U.S. Sugar Supply and Use 1/ ===================================================================== : : : 2007/08 Projection Item : 2005/06 : 2006/07 :==================== : : Est. : December January ===================================================================== : 1,000 short tons, raw value : Beginning stocks : 1,332 1,698 1,794 1,799 Production 2/ : 7,399 8,446 8,562 8,516 Beet sugar : 4,444 5,008 4,896 4,819 Cane sugar : 2,955 3,438 3,666 3,697 Florida : 1,367 1,719 1,774 1,771 Hawaii : 223 222 244 238 Louisiana : 1,190 1,320 1,450 1,490 Texas : 175 177 198 198 Imports : 3,443 2,080 2,244 2,241 TRQ 3/ : 2,588 1,624 1,339 1,336 Other program 4/ : 349 390 425 425 Other 5/ : 506 66 480 480 Mexico : 420 60 475 475 Total supply : 12,174 12,224 12,600 12,556 : Exports : 203 422 250 250 Deliveries : 10,341 10,135 10,300 10,300 Food : 10,184 9,913 10,100 10,100 Other 6/ : 157 222 200 200 Miscellaneous 7/ : -68 -132 0 0 Total use : 10,476 10,425 10,550 10,550 Ending stocks : 1,698 1,799 2,050 2,006 : Stocks to use ratio : 16.2 17.3 19.4 19.0 ====================================================================== 1/ Fiscal years beginning Oct 1. Includes Puerto Rico. Historical data are from FSA, "Sweetener Market Data" except imports (U.S. Customs Service, Census Bureau). 2/ Production projections for 2007/08 are processor projections compiled by the Farm Service Agency. 3/ Actual arrivals under the tariff rate quota (TRQ) with late entries, early entries, and TRQ overfills assigned to the fiscal year in which they actually arrived. For 2007/08, includes shortfall of 100,000 tons. 4/ Includes sugar under the re-export and polyhydric alcohol programs. 5/ Does not include Mexico TRQ imports. For 2005/06, other high-tier (30) and other (56). For 2006/07, other high-tier (6) and other (0). For 2007/08, other high-tier (5) and other (0). 6/ Transfers to sugar-containing products for reexport, and for nonedible alcohol and feed. 7/ Includes SMD miscellaneous uses and the difference between SMD imports and WASDE imports. WASDE-454-17 U. S. Cotton Supply and Use 1/ =============================================================================== : : : 2007/08 Projections Item : 2005/06 : 2006/07 :=============================== : : Est. : December January =============================================================================== : Million acres Area : Planted : 14.25 15.27 10.85 10.83 Harvested : 13.80 12.73 10.54 10.49 : : Pounds Yield per harvested : acre : 831 814 864 871 : : Million 480 pound bales : Beginning stocks 2/ : 5.50 6.05 9.48 9.48 Production : 23.89 21.59 18.99 19.03 Imports : 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 Supply, total : 29.41 27.66 28.48 28.53 Domestic use : 5.87 4.95 4.60 4.60 Exports : 17.55 13.01 16.20 16.00 Use, total : 23.42 17.96 20.80 20.60 Unaccounted 3/ : -0.06 0.22 -0.02 0.03 Ending stocks : 6.05 9.48 7.70 7.90 : Avg. farm price 4/ : 47.7 46.5 51.5 5/ =============================================================================== Note: Reliability calculations at end of report. 1/ Upland and extra-long staple; marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add due to rounding. 2/ Based on Bureau of Census data. 3/ Reflects the difference between the previous season's supply less total use and ending stocks based on Bureau of Census data. 4/ Cents per pound for upland cotton. 5/ Average price for August-November 2007. USDA is prohibited by law from publishing cotton price projections. =============================================================================== Notes: Public Law 106-78, signed October 22, 1999, requires the Secretary of Agriculture to estimate and report the U.S. upland cotton season-ending stocks-to-use ratio, excluding projected raw cotton imports but including the quantity of raw cotton imports that has been imported during the marketing year. Pursuant to this requirement, the estimated ratio for 2007/08 is 39.5 percent. A table including detail for upland and extra long staple (ELS) cotton will be posted by noon on WASDE report release days at: http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/index.htm WASDE-454-18 World Wheat Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2005/06 : World 3/ : 150.62 621.46 110.15 111.30 624.43 116.16 147.65 United States : 14.70 57.28 2.21 4.35 31.36 27.29 15.55 Total foreign : 135.92 564.18 107.93 106.95 593.08 88.87 132.10 Major exporters 4/ : 42.75 197.78 7.13 70.94 147.24 57.27 43.15 Argentina : 0.55 14.50 0.01 0.08 5.00 9.56 0.50 Australia : 6.78 25.17 0.08 3.70 6.40 16.01 9.62 Canada : 7.92 25.75 0.29 4.18 8.32 16.00 9.64 EU-27 5/ : 27.50 132.36 6.76 62.98 127.53 15.69 23.39 Major importers 6/ : 61.99 162.78 58.77 8.40 218.96 4.42 60.16 Brazil : 1.35 4.87 6.72 0.60 10.80 0.81 1.33 China : 38.82 97.45 1.02 3.50 101.00 1.40 34.89 Select. Mideast 7/ : 5.46 19.77 12.18 1.95 30.02 0.60 6.78 N. Africa 8/ : 10.52 15.18 18.56 0.30 33.51 0.23 10.51 Pakistan : 2.25 21.61 0.95 0.40 21.50 0.05 3.26 Southeast Asia 9/ : 2.05 0.00 10.33 1.23 10.00 0.38 2.00 Selected other : India : 4.10 68.64 0.03 0.30 69.97 0.80 2.00 FSU-12 : 13.46 91.92 5.15 23.31 75.74 21.13 13.67 Russia : 3.89 47.70 1.28 14.90 38.40 10.66 3.81 Kazakhstan : 3.19 11.00 0.04 2.70 7.40 3.82 3.01 Ukraine : 2.61 18.70 0.07 2.90 12.50 6.46 2.41 : : 2006/07 (Estimated) : World 3/ : 147.65 593.66 112.37 105.56 616.93 110.69 124.38 United States : 15.55 49.32 3.32 3.42 31.04 24.73 12.41 Total foreign : 132.10 544.34 109.05 102.14 585.89 85.96 111.97 Major exporters 4/ : 43.15 175.17 5.56 69.31 146.54 52.74 24.60 Argentina : 0.50 15.20 0.01 0.08 4.90 10.50 0.31 Australia : 9.62 9.90 0.09 4.70 7.40 8.73 3.48 Canada : 9.64 25.27 0.32 4.33 8.74 19.64 6.85 EU-27 5/ : 23.39 124.81 5.14 60.20 125.50 13.87 13.96 Major importers 6/ : 60.16 171.14 55.01 7.68 219.53 5.21 61.56 Brazil : 1.33 2.23 7.75 0.20 10.50 0.04 0.78 China : 34.89 104.47 0.38 4.00 101.00 2.78 35.96 Select. Mideast 7/ : 6.78 20.13 10.52 1.55 30.08 0.55 6.79 N. Africa 8/ : 10.51 18.53 16.30 0.25 33.90 0.26 11.18 Pakistan : 3.26 21.70 0.06 0.40 21.90 0.20 2.92 Southeast Asia 9/ : 2.00 0.00 10.65 0.88 9.96 0.42 2.28 Selected other : India : 2.00 69.35 6.71 0.30 73.36 0.20 4.50 FSU-12 : 13.67 85.98 5.93 21.45 73.64 22.35 9.60 Russia : 3.81 44.90 0.86 14.10 36.40 10.79 2.38 Kazakhstan : 3.01 13.50 0.03 2.70 7.50 8.00 1.04 Ukraine : 2.41 14.00 0.08 2.10 11.70 3.37 1.43 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and the EU-27. 5/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 6/ Brazil, China, Japan, Mexico, N. Africa, Pakistan, selected Middle East, and Southeast Asia. 7/ Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, and Oman. 8/ Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia. 9/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-454-19 World Wheat Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 (Projected) World 3/ : December : 124.30 602.31 103.37 98.26 616.55 104.78 110.06 January : 124.38 603.00 103.90 98.49 616.45 104.68 110.93 United States : December : 12.41 56.25 2.45 3.40 31.52 31.98 7.62 January : 12.41 56.25 2.45 3.13 31.19 31.98 7.94 Total foreign : December : 111.89 546.06 100.92 94.86 585.03 72.81 102.45 January : 111.97 546.76 101.46 95.36 585.26 72.71 102.99 Major exporters 4/ : December : 24.52 168.55 6.85 62.18 139.60 41.00 19.32 January : 24.60 167.82 6.85 61.88 139.30 41.00 18.97 Argentina Dec : 0.31 15.00 0.00 0.08 4.90 10.00 0.41 Jan : 0.31 15.00 0.00 0.08 4.90 10.00 0.41 Australia Dec : 3.41 13.00 0.08 3.20 5.90 8.00 2.58 Jan : 3.48 13.00 0.08 3.40 6.10 8.00 2.46 Canada Dec : 6.85 20.05 0.28 3.50 8.10 14.00 5.07 Jan : 6.85 20.05 0.28 3.50 8.10 14.00 5.07 EU-27 5/ Dec : 13.96 120.50 6.50 55.40 120.70 9.00 11.26 Jan : 13.96 119.77 6.50 54.90 120.20 9.00 11.03 Major importers 6/ : December : 61.56 170.71 53.30 6.95 219.70 5.72 60.16 January : 61.56 170.71 53.75 6.95 219.70 5.62 60.71 Brazil Dec : 0.78 3.40 7.00 0.20 10.50 0.01 0.67 Jan : 0.78 3.40 7.00 0.20 10.50 0.01 0.67 China Dec : 35.96 106.00 0.20 4.00 100.50 3.00 38.66 Jan : 35.96 106.00 0.15 4.00 100.50 2.50 39.11 Sel. Mideast 7/Dec : 6.79 20.27 8.75 0.90 29.05 0.55 6.21 Jan : 6.79 20.27 8.75 0.90 29.05 0.55 6.21 N. Africa 8/ Dec : 11.18 13.78 17.55 0.15 34.63 0.16 7.73 Jan : 11.18 13.78 17.55 0.15 34.63 0.16 7.73 Pakistan Dec : 2.92 23.00 0.50 0.40 22.40 0.60 3.42 Jan : 2.92 23.00 1.00 0.40 22.40 1.00 3.52 SE Asia 9/ Dec : 2.28 0.00 10.20 0.90 10.28 0.43 1.78 Jan : 2.28 0.00 10.20 0.90 10.28 0.43 1.78 Selected other : India Dec : 4.50 74.89 2.00 0.20 75.85 0.05 5.49 Jan : 4.50 74.89 2.00 0.20 75.85 0.05 5.49 FSU-12 Dec : 9.60 91.15 5.10 22.60 74.80 21.65 9.41 Jan : 9.60 92.57 5.37 23.40 76.14 21.65 9.75 Russia Dec : 2.38 48.00 1.00 14.90 37.20 12.00 2.18 Jan : 2.38 49.40 1.00 15.40 38.20 12.00 2.58 Kazakhstan Dec : 1.04 16.00 0.02 2.70 7.50 8.00 1.56 Jan : 1.04 16.00 0.02 2.70 7.50 8.00 1.56 Ukraine Dec : 1.43 13.80 0.01 2.60 12.20 1.50 1.54 Jan : 1.43 13.80 0.25 2.90 12.50 1.50 1.48 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and the EU-27. 5/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 6/ Brazil, China, Japan, Mexico, N. Africa, Pakistan, selected Middle East, and Southeast Asia. 7/ Lebanon, Iraq, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, United Arab Emirates, and Oman. 8/ Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, and Tunisia. 9/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-454-20 World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2005/06 : World 3/ : 178.43 977.76 104.50 635.24 991.55 107.12 164.64 United States : 58.80 298.76 2.05 163.33 245.07 59.77 54.77 Total foreign : 119.63 679.00 102.45 471.91 746.48 47.34 109.87 Major exporters 4/ : 13.61 65.40 3.09 35.55 48.23 20.26 13.62 Argentina : 1.56 19.22 0.06 6.81 9.37 10.02 1.46 Australia : 2.30 13.90 0.00 5.89 7.17 5.59 3.44 Canada : 6.32 24.97 1.99 18.64 22.92 4.08 6.28 Major importers 5/ : 47.55 216.52 77.50 218.30 293.31 5.66 42.60 EU-27 6/ : 25.03 146.74 2.78 109.42 147.54 4.36 22.66 Japan : 1.88 0.19 19.77 15.06 20.09 0.01 1.74 Mexico : 5.40 25.83 9.90 21.19 37.59 0.21 3.34 N. Afr & Mideast 7/: 8.57 26.61 18.84 38.90 45.80 0.89 7.33 Saudi Arabia : 2.71 0.20 8.52 8.00 8.19 0.00 3.25 Southeast Asia 8/ : 1.69 16.55 4.41 14.57 20.33 0.20 2.13 South Korea : 1.40 0.34 8.55 6.56 8.91 0.00 1.38 Selected other : Brazil : 4.38 44.17 1.36 35.01 42.22 4.52 3.17 China : 37.02 147.70 2.31 103.12 147.46 3.76 35.81 FSU-12 : 7.24 55.31 1.16 33.76 49.75 8.47 5.49 Russia : 2.67 27.60 0.54 17.65 27.70 1.78 1.33 Ukraine : 2.67 18.14 0.07 8.45 11.99 6.50 2.40 : : 2006/07 (Estimated) : World 3/ : 164.64 980.63 112.97 629.89 1008.79 115.24 136.48 United States : 54.77 280.11 2.55 148.37 242.81 58.45 36.17 Total foreign : 109.87 700.52 110.42 481.52 765.98 56.80 100.31 Major exporters 4/ : 13.62 64.20 3.79 36.16 49.60 22.95 9.05 Argentina : 1.46 27.54 0.00 7.36 10.02 16.81 2.17 Australia : 3.44 5.76 0.00 4.63 5.87 2.03 1.30 Canada : 6.28 23.15 2.17 19.51 24.51 3.59 3.49 Major importers 5/ : 42.60 211.82 84.78 220.17 295.77 5.53 37.91 EU-27 6/ : 22.66 138.15 7.97 108.01 146.51 4.62 17.65 Japan : 1.74 0.18 19.59 14.81 19.74 0.00 1.76 Mexico : 3.34 28.73 11.02 22.90 39.45 0.20 3.44 N. Afr & Mideast 7/: 7.33 27.29 20.72 39.92 47.13 0.30 7.91 Saudi Arabia : 3.25 0.20 8.10 8.43 8.61 0.00 2.94 Southeast Asia 8/ : 2.13 16.90 4.06 14.86 20.62 0.41 2.06 South Korea : 1.38 0.33 8.81 6.96 9.17 0.00 1.35 Selected other : Brazil : 3.17 53.17 1.76 36.29 43.44 9.82 4.84 China : 35.81 154.04 1.16 104.64 152.76 5.41 32.83 FSU-12 : 5.49 58.70 0.91 35.69 51.29 8.45 5.36 Russia : 1.33 30.20 0.40 18.60 28.60 1.62 1.71 Ukraine : 2.40 19.18 0.03 9.95 13.38 6.13 2.10 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. Coarse grains include corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains). 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and South Africa. 5/ The EU-27, Mexico, Japan, selected North Africa and Middle East, South Korea, Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and Turkey. 8/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-454-21 World Coarse Grain Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 (Projected) World 3/ : December : 135.06 1054.34 116.51 644.94 1056.42 118.92 132.98 January : 136.48 1051.58 117.03 652.57 1062.45 119.38 125.62 United States : December : 36.18 353.69 2.84 151.45 273.52 70.34 48.85 January : 36.17 351.06 2.84 159.05 280.13 70.59 39.36 Total foreign : December : 98.89 700.65 113.67 493.49 782.90 48.58 84.14 January : 100.31 700.52 114.20 493.51 782.32 48.79 86.26 Major exporters 4/ : December : 8.80 75.10 2.75 37.47 52.25 25.37 9.03 January : 9.05 75.30 2.45 37.10 51.47 25.57 9.76 Argentina Dec : 2.17 27.47 0.00 7.51 10.27 17.61 1.77 Jan : 2.17 27.67 0.00 7.51 10.27 17.61 1.97 Australia Dec : 1.04 9.31 0.00 5.47 6.75 2.54 1.06 Jan : 1.30 9.31 0.00 5.49 6.78 2.54 1.29 Canada Dec : 3.49 27.84 2.37 19.49 25.45 4.40 3.85 Jan : 3.49 27.84 2.07 19.09 24.65 4.60 4.15 Major importers 5/ : December : 37.72 208.38 90.72 226.34 302.86 5.45 28.51 January : 37.91 209.31 91.32 227.74 304.06 5.45 29.03 EU-27 6/ Dec : 17.61 135.67 13.76 110.67 149.97 5.11 11.97 Jan : 17.65 136.61 14.46 112.17 151.27 5.11 12.34 Japan Dec : 1.76 0.17 19.14 14.51 19.54 0.00 1.53 Jan : 1.76 0.17 19.14 14.51 19.54 0.00 1.53 Mexico Dec : 3.50 30.18 12.30 25.48 42.18 0.03 3.77 Jan : 3.44 30.18 12.30 25.48 42.18 0.03 3.72 N Afr/M.East 7/Dec : 7.71 24.65 20.60 40.12 47.11 0.05 5.80 Jan : 7.91 24.65 20.50 40.02 47.01 0.05 6.00 Saudi Arabia Dec : 2.94 0.20 7.40 8.63 8.81 0.00 1.73 Jan : 2.94 0.20 7.40 8.63 8.81 0.00 1.73 S.-east Asia 8/Dec : 2.06 17.12 4.21 15.56 21.42 0.26 1.71 Jan : 2.06 17.12 4.21 15.56 21.42 0.26 1.71 South Korea Dec : 1.35 0.32 8.87 7.05 9.23 0.00 1.31 Jan : 1.35 0.32 8.87 7.05 9.23 0.00 1.31 Selected other : Brazil Dec : 4.34 52.86 1.01 38.28 45.51 8.03 4.67 Jan : 4.84 52.86 1.01 38.28 45.51 8.53 4.67 China Dec : 32.83 153.40 1.43 106.60 157.74 1.54 28.38 Jan : 32.83 153.40 1.43 106.60 157.74 1.04 28.88 FSU-12 Dec : 5.36 54.38 0.58 35.79 51.16 4.75 4.42 Jan : 5.36 53.12 0.61 34.64 50.01 4.75 4.33 Russia Dec : 1.69 29.45 0.43 19.25 29.33 1.05 1.19 Jan : 1.71 28.55 0.43 18.35 28.43 1.05 1.21 Ukraine Dec : 2.12 14.95 0.02 9.60 12.65 2.51 1.93 Jan : 2.10 14.95 0.02 9.60 12.65 2.51 1.91 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. Coarse grains include corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grains (for U.S. excludes millet and mixed grains). 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina, Australia, Canada, and South Africa. 5/ The EU-27, Mexico, Japan, selected North Africa and Middle East, South Korea, Southeast Asia, and Taiwan. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Algeria, Egypt, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, and Turkey. 8/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-454-22 World Corn Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2005/06 : World 3/ : 131.36 696.37 79.47 476.31 704.03 80.93 123.70 United States : 53.70 282.31 0.22 156.34 232.06 54.20 49.97 Total foreign : 77.66 414.06 79.24 319.97 471.97 26.73 73.73 Major exporters 4/ : 4.15 22.74 1.00 8.40 14.40 10.01 3.46 Argentina : 0.96 15.80 0.06 4.40 6.20 9.46 1.16 South Africa : 3.19 6.94 0.93 4.00 8.20 0.55 2.31 Major importers 5/ : 18.02 103.16 47.86 105.16 149.70 0.84 18.50 Egypt : 0.42 5.93 4.40 8.30 10.10 0.00 0.65 EU-27 6/ : 8.11 61.16 2.63 47.00 61.50 0.45 9.95 Japan : 1.03 0.00 16.62 12.00 16.70 0.01 0.94 Mexico : 4.53 19.50 6.79 12.40 27.90 0.21 2.71 Southeast Asia 7/ : 1.66 16.46 4.40 14.50 20.25 0.17 2.10 South Korea : 1.40 0.07 8.49 6.51 8.58 0.00 1.38 Selected other : Brazil : 4.19 41.70 1.15 33.00 39.50 4.52 3.02 Canada : 1.80 9.36 1.93 8.55 10.84 0.25 2.00 China : 36.56 139.36 0.06 101.00 137.00 3.73 35.26 FSU-12 : 2.14 13.29 0.71 10.27 11.93 2.55 1.65 Ukraine : 1.32 7.15 0.01 4.40 5.10 2.46 0.92 : : 2006/07 (Estimated) : World 3/ : 123.70 703.85 90.93 472.19 720.22 91.77 107.33 United States : 49.97 267.60 0.30 142.19 230.79 53.97 33.11 Total foreign : 73.73 436.25 90.62 330.00 489.43 37.80 74.22 Major exporters 4/ : 3.46 29.80 1.50 9.20 15.30 15.80 3.66 Argentina : 1.16 22.50 0.00 4.80 6.70 15.30 1.66 South Africa : 2.31 7.30 1.50 4.40 8.60 0.50 2.01 Major importers 5/ : 18.50 99.50 54.71 107.51 152.21 1.25 19.26 Egypt : 0.65 5.94 4.80 8.50 10.50 0.00 0.89 EU-27 6/ : 9.95 54.65 7.06 46.50 61.10 0.66 9.90 Japan : 0.94 0.00 16.71 11.90 16.50 0.00 1.15 Mexico : 2.71 22.00 8.94 14.70 30.30 0.20 3.15 Southeast Asia 7/ : 2.10 16.81 4.06 14.80 20.55 0.38 2.03 South Korea : 1.38 0.07 8.74 6.91 8.83 0.00 1.35 Selected other : Brazil : 3.02 51.00 1.40 34.50 41.00 9.70 4.72 Canada : 2.00 8.99 2.10 8.46 11.44 0.31 1.34 China : 35.26 145.48 0.02 103.00 143.00 5.27 32.48 FSU-12 : 1.65 12.85 0.50 10.49 12.13 1.13 1.74 Ukraine : 0.92 6.40 0.00 4.50 5.25 1.03 1.05 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina and South Africa. 5/ Egypt, the EU-27, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Southeast Asia. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-454-23 World Corn Supply and Use 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : Domestic 2/ : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: :===============: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Feed : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 (Projected) World 3/ : December : 106.17 769.31 91.75 484.17 766.43 94.14 109.06 January : 107.33 766.72 92.15 491.89 772.72 94.34 101.33 United States : December : 33.12 334.48 0.38 143.52 260.11 62.23 45.63 January : 33.11 332.09 0.38 151.14 266.84 62.23 36.52 Total foreign : December : 73.06 434.84 91.37 340.66 506.32 31.91 63.43 January : 74.22 434.62 91.77 340.76 505.88 32.11 64.81 Major exporters 4/ : December : 3.66 32.50 0.25 9.60 15.90 16.80 3.71 January : 3.66 32.50 0.25 9.60 15.90 16.80 3.71 Argentina Dec : 1.66 22.50 0.00 4.80 6.70 16.00 1.46 Jan : 1.66 22.50 0.00 4.80 6.70 16.00 1.46 South Africa Dec : 2.01 10.00 0.25 4.80 9.20 0.80 2.26 Jan : 2.01 10.00 0.25 4.80 9.20 0.80 2.26 Major importers 5/ : December : 19.27 93.56 57.80 110.60 156.18 0.56 13.90 January : 19.26 93.68 58.30 111.20 156.77 0.56 13.90 Egypt Dec : 0.89 5.98 4.50 8.60 10.70 0.00 0.67 Jan : 0.89 5.98 4.50 8.60 10.70 0.00 0.67 EU-27 6/ Dec : 9.85 47.26 9.50 46.00 61.00 0.30 5.31 Jan : 9.90 47.37 10.00 46.60 61.60 0.30 5.36 Japan Dec : 1.15 0.00 16.30 11.80 16.50 0.00 0.95 Jan : 1.15 0.00 16.30 11.80 16.50 0.00 0.95 Mexico Dec : 3.21 23.20 10.20 17.50 33.30 0.03 3.28 Jan : 3.15 23.20 10.20 17.50 33.30 0.03 3.23 S.-east Asia 7/Dec : 2.03 17.03 4.20 15.50 21.35 0.24 1.68 Jan : 2.03 17.03 4.20 15.50 21.35 0.24 1.68 South Korea Dec : 1.35 0.06 8.80 7.00 8.90 0.00 1.31 Jan : 1.35 0.06 8.80 7.00 8.90 0.00 1.31 Selected other : Brazil Dec : 4.22 50.00 0.75 36.00 42.50 8.00 4.47 Jan : 4.72 50.00 0.75 36.00 42.50 8.50 4.47 Canada Dec : 1.34 11.65 2.30 9.60 13.50 0.20 1.59 Jan : 1.34 11.65 2.00 9.20 12.70 0.40 1.89 China Dec : 32.48 145.00 0.10 105.00 148.00 1.50 28.08 Jan : 32.48 145.00 0.10 105.00 148.00 1.00 28.58 FSU-12 Dec : 1.75 13.86 0.28 10.86 12.45 1.58 1.85 Jan : 1.74 13.53 0.28 10.61 12.20 1.58 1.77 Ukraine Dec : 1.07 7.40 0.00 5.00 5.60 1.50 1.37 Jan : 1.05 7.40 0.00 5.00 5.60 1.50 1.35 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in marketing years, grain in transit, and reporting discrepancies in some countries. 4/ Argentina and South Africa. 5/ Egypt, the EU-27, Mexico, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Southeast Asia. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. WASDE-454-24 World Rice Supply and Use (Milled Basis) 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total 2/: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2005/06 World 3/ : 74.73 417.60 26.13 415.46 30.16 76.87 United States : 1.21 7.11 0.54 3.84 3.66 1.37 Total foreign : 73.52 410.48 25.59 411.62 26.50 75.50 Major exporters 4/ : 12.41 138.31 0.36 114.92 20.43 15.73 India : 8.50 91.79 0.01 85.09 4.69 10.52 Pakistan : 0.31 5.55 0.00 1.90 3.66 0.30 Thailand : 2.31 18.20 0.00 9.54 7.38 3.59 Vietnam : 1.29 22.77 0.35 18.39 4.71 1.32 Major importers 5/ : 12.79 59.66 10.79 69.69 0.50 13.04 Brazil : 1.75 7.87 0.75 8.97 0.28 1.11 EU-27 6/ : 1.14 1.73 1.13 2.65 0.16 1.18 Indonesia : 3.45 34.96 0.54 35.74 0.00 3.21 Nigeria : 0.42 2.70 1.78 4.35 0.00 0.55 Philippines : 4.57 9.82 1.62 10.72 0.00 5.29 Sel. Mideast 7/ : 1.27 2.02 3.91 5.61 0.06 1.54 Selected other : Burma : 0.71 10.44 0.00 10.40 0.05 0.70 C. Amer & Carib 8/ : 0.13 0.07 0.48 0.48 0.00 0.20 China : 38.93 126.41 0.65 128.00 1.22 36.78 Egypt : 0.50 4.14 0.03 3.28 0.96 0.43 Japan : 1.92 8.26 0.67 8.25 0.20 2.40 Mexico : 0.17 0.18 0.58 0.78 0.00 0.16 South Korea : 0.82 4.77 0.22 4.77 0.22 0.82 : : 2006/07 (Estimated) World 3/ : 76.87 417.64 28.17 418.95 29.25 75.57 United States : 1.37 6.24 0.65 4.05 2.94 1.27 Total foreign : 75.50 411.40 27.51 414.89 26.31 74.30 Major exporters 4/ : 15.73 139.10 0.46 118.62 20.90 15.76 India : 10.52 92.76 0.00 87.65 4.20 11.43 Pakistan : 0.30 5.20 0.00 2.44 2.60 0.46 Thailand : 3.59 18.25 0.01 9.87 9.50 2.48 Vietnam : 1.32 22.89 0.45 18.67 4.60 1.39 Major importers 5/ : 13.04 58.49 11.56 70.11 0.35 12.63 Brazil : 1.11 7.70 0.85 8.95 0.15 0.56 EU-27 6/ : 1.18 1.69 1.10 2.70 0.15 1.12 Indonesia : 3.21 33.30 1.90 35.55 0.00 2.86 Nigeria : 0.55 2.90 1.60 4.45 0.00 0.60 Philippines : 5.29 10.09 1.80 11.55 0.00 5.63 Sel. Mideast 7/ : 1.54 2.22 3.20 5.20 0.05 1.71 Selected other : Burma : 0.70 10.60 0.00 10.56 0.04 0.70 C. Amer & Carib 8/ : 0.20 0.07 0.45 0.50 0.00 0.22 China : 36.78 127.80 0.60 127.80 1.30 36.08 Egypt : 0.43 4.38 0.10 3.30 1.00 0.62 Japan : 2.40 7.79 0.65 8.25 0.20 2.38 Mexico : 0.16 0.23 0.60 0.80 0.00 0.18 South Korea : 0.82 4.68 0.27 4.78 0.16 0.82 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in some countries. 4/ India, Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam. 5/ Brazil, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Philippines, selected Middle East, and the EU-27. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Selected Middle East includes Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. 8/ Central American and Caribbean countries. WASDE-454-25 World Rice Supply and Use (Milled Basis) 1/ (Cont'd.) (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total 2/: : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 (Projected) World 3/ : December : 75.63 420.48 27.94 423.93 29.86 72.17 January : 75.57 420.62 27.51 423.65 29.26 72.54 United States : December : 1.27 6.33 0.68 3.99 3.49 0.80 January : 1.27 6.31 0.68 3.99 3.49 0.79 Total foreign : December : 74.36 414.15 27.25 419.94 26.37 71.37 January : 74.30 414.30 26.83 419.66 25.77 71.75 Major exporters 4/ : December : 15.96 139.06 0.46 119.43 20.60 15.45 January : 15.76 139.26 0.46 119.56 20.30 15.62 India Dec : 11.43 92.00 0.00 88.80 3.40 11.23 Jan : 11.43 92.00 0.00 88.80 3.40 11.23 Pakistan Dec : 0.56 5.40 0.00 2.31 3.20 0.45 Jan : 0.46 5.40 0.00 2.44 2.90 0.52 Thailand Dec : 2.58 18.40 0.01 9.60 9.00 2.39 Jan : 2.48 18.60 0.01 9.60 9.00 2.49 Vietnam Dec : 1.39 23.26 0.45 18.72 5.00 1.39 Jan : 1.39 23.26 0.45 18.72 5.00 1.39 Major importers 5/ : December : 12.63 59.69 11.08 71.74 0.32 11.34 January : 12.63 59.69 10.98 71.68 0.32 11.29 Brazil Dec : 0.56 7.99 0.85 8.90 0.15 0.35 Jan : 0.56 7.99 0.85 8.90 0.15 0.35 EU-27 6/ Dec : 1.12 1.67 1.10 2.75 0.15 0.99 Jan : 1.12 1.67 1.10 2.75 0.15 0.99 Indonesia Dec : 2.86 34.00 1.60 36.15 0.00 2.31 Jan : 2.86 34.00 1.60 36.15 0.00 2.31 Nigeria Dec : 0.60 3.00 1.70 4.70 0.00 0.60 Jan : 0.60 3.00 1.70 4.70 0.00 0.60 Philippines Dec : 5.63 10.01 1.80 12.06 0.00 5.38 Jan : 5.63 10.01 1.80 12.06 0.00 5.38 Sel. Mideast 7/Dec : 1.71 2.42 2.96 5.51 0.02 1.55 Jan : 1.71 2.42 2.96 5.51 0.02 1.55 Selected other : Burma Dec : 0.70 10.66 0.00 10.70 0.10 0.56 Jan : 0.70 10.66 0.00 10.70 0.10 0.56 C. Am & Car. 8/Dec : 0.22 0.07 0.40 0.49 0.00 0.19 Jan : 0.22 0.07 0.40 0.49 0.00 0.19 China Dec : 36.08 129.50 0.70 129.10 1.60 35.58 Jan : 36.08 129.50 0.60 129.10 1.30 35.78 Egypt Dec : 0.62 4.41 0.00 3.47 1.10 0.45 Jan : 0.62 4.41 0.00 3.47 1.10 0.45 Japan Dec : 2.38 7.94 0.70 8.15 0.20 2.67 Jan : 2.38 7.94 0.70 8.15 0.20 2.67 Mexico Dec : 0.18 0.20 0.63 0.80 0.00 0.20 Jan : 0.18 0.20 0.63 0.80 0.00 0.20 South Korea Dec : 0.72 4.50 0.27 4.75 0.15 0.58 Jan : 0.82 4.41 0.27 4.76 0.15 0.58 =============================================================================== 1/ Aggregate of local marketing years. 2/ Total foreign and world use adjusted to reflect the differences in world imports and exports. 3/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in some countries. 4/ India, Pakistan, Thailand, and Vietnam. 5/ Brazil, Indonesia, Hong Kong, Cote d'Ivoire, Nigeria, Philippines, selected Middle East, the EU-27. 6/ Trade excludes intra-trade. 7/ Selected Middle East includes Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. 8/ Central American and Caribbean countries. WASDE-454-26 World Cotton Supply and Use 1/ (Million 480-pound bales) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : : Region :=========================:================: Loss :Ending :Beginning:Produc-:Imports:Domestic:Exports: 2/ :stocks : stocks : tion : : : : : =============================================================================== : : 2005/06 : World : 57.35 117.69 44.37 116.31 44.53 -1.60 60.18 United States : 5.50 23.89 0.03 5.87 17.55 -0.06 6.05 Total foreign : 51.86 93.80 44.34 110.44 26.98 -1.54 54.13 Major exporters 4/ : 22.38 43.71 1.74 25.66 22.40 -0.24 20.01 Central Asia 5/ : 2.33 8.37 0.20 1.48 7.24 0.00 2.19 Afr. Fr. Zone 6/ : 1.87 4.24 3/ 0.19 4.44 0.00 1.48 S. Hemis. 7/ : 7.99 8.94 0.61 5.51 5.55 -0.25 6.75 Australia : 1.96 2.80 3/ 0.06 2.88 -0.12 1.94 Brazil : 5.03 4.70 0.31 4.40 1.97 -0.15 3.82 India : 8.76 19.05 0.40 16.70 3.45 0.00 8.06 Major importers 8/ : 27.04 46.53 40.08 80.15 2.89 -1.31 31.91 Mexico : 1.32 0.64 1.74 2.10 0.25 0.03 1.32 China : 15.06 29.50 19.28 45.00 0.04 -1.50 20.31 EU-27 9/ : 1.15 2.51 2.31 2.72 2.01 0.06 1.18 Russia : 0.22 3/ 1.43 1.43 0.00 0.00 0.22 Turkey : 1.79 3.55 3.40 6.90 0.18 0.00 1.67 Pakistan : 4.95 10.17 1.62 11.50 0.29 0.03 4.91 Indonesia : 0.38 0.03 2.20 2.18 0.02 0.05 0.37 Thailand : 0.57 0.02 1.89 2.05 0.01 0.03 0.41 Bangladesh : 0.38 0.07 2.21 2.20 0.00 0.01 0.46 : : 2006/07 (Estimated) : World : 60.18 122.07 37.28 123.58 37.35 -2.17 60.76 United States : 6.05 21.59 0.02 4.95 13.01 0.22 9.48 Total foreign : 54.13 100.48 37.26 118.64 24.34 -2.39 51.29 Major exporters 4/ : 20.01 45.68 2.21 27.68 20.55 -0.19 19.85 Central Asia 5/ : 2.19 8.18 0.31 1.59 6.88 0.00 2.21 Afr. Fr. Zone 6/ : 1.48 3.64 3/ 0.19 3.81 0.00 1.13 S. Hemis. 7/ : 6.75 9.87 0.95 5.71 4.09 -0.20 7.97 Australia : 1.94 1.35 3/ 0.06 2.13 -0.07 1.18 Brazil : 3.82 7.00 0.52 4.50 1.30 -0.15 5.68 India : 8.06 21.80 0.40 18.40 4.80 0.00 7.06 Major importers 8/ : 31.91 51.73 32.37 86.36 2.42 -2.21 29.44 Mexico : 1.32 0.65 1.35 2.10 0.18 0.03 1.03 China : 20.31 35.50 10.59 50.00 0.09 -2.40 18.71 EU-27 9/ : 1.18 1.61 2.02 2.36 1.58 0.06 0.83 Russia : 0.22 3/ 1.43 1.43 0.00 0.00 0.22 Turkey : 1.67 3.90 4.00 7.30 0.21 0.00 2.06 Pakistan : 4.91 9.90 2.30 12.50 0.26 0.03 4.33 Indonesia : 0.37 0.03 2.20 2.18 0.02 0.05 0.35 Thailand : 0.41 0.02 1.95 1.95 0.00 0.03 0.40 Bangladesh : 0.46 0.07 2.40 2.40 0.00 0.01 0.52 =============================================================================== 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add exactly and trade may not balance due to rounding and other factors. 2/ Generally reflects cotton lost or destroyed in the marketing channel; for Australia, Brazil, China, and the United States, reflects the difference between implicit stocks based on supply less total use and indicated ending stocks. 3/ Less than 5,000 bales. 4/ Includes Egypt and Syria in addition to the countries and regions listed. 5/ Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. 6/ Benin, Burkino Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Senegal, and Togo. 7/ Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Paraguay, South Africa, and Zimbabwe. 8/ In addition to the countries and regions listed, includes Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Vietnam. 9/ Includes intra-EU trade. WASDE-454-27 World Cotton Supply and Use 1/ (Million 480-pound bales) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : : Region :=========================:================: Loss :Ending :Beginning:Produc-:Imports:Domestic:Exports: 2/ :stocks : stocks : tion : : : : : =============================================================================== : : 2007/08 (Projected) World : December : 60.96 118.76 41.70 128.27 41.38 -3.52 55.29 January : 60.76 118.25 41.16 128.02 40.88 -3.47 54.75 United States : December : 9.48 18.99 0.02 4.60 16.20 -0.02 7.70 January : 9.48 19.03 0.02 4.60 16.00 0.03 7.90 Total foreign : December : 51.49 99.77 41.68 123.67 25.18 -3.50 47.59 January : 51.29 99.22 41.14 123.42 24.88 -3.50 46.85 Major exporters 4/ : December : 20.05 47.03 2.07 28.71 21.75 -0.19 18.88 January : 19.85 47.78 2.00 28.61 21.46 -0.19 19.75 Central Asia 5/Dec : 2.21 8.35 0.30 1.70 7.02 0.00 2.14 Jan : 2.21 8.35 0.30 1.70 6.94 0.00 2.22 Afr. Fr. Zn. 6/Dec : 1.13 2.93 3/ 0.19 3.06 0.00 0.80 Jan : 1.13 2.78 3/ 0.19 2.94 0.00 0.77 S. Hemis 7/ Dec : 7.97 9.08 0.82 5.72 4.88 -0.20 7.47 Jan : 7.97 9.08 0.75 5.72 4.50 -0.20 7.77 Australia Dec : 1.18 0.60 3/ 0.05 1.40 -0.07 0.40 Jan : 1.18 0.60 3/ 0.05 1.40 -0.07 0.40 Brazil Dec : 5.68 7.00 0.40 4.50 2.80 -0.15 5.93 Jan : 5.68 7.00 0.35 4.50 2.50 -0.15 6.18 India Dec : 7.26 24.00 0.40 19.30 5.30 0.00 7.06 Jan : 7.06 25.00 0.40 19.20 5.80 0.00 7.46 Major importers 8/ : December : 29.44 49.70 36.99 90.43 2.15 -3.32 26.87 January : 29.44 48.41 36.57 90.31 2.16 -3.32 25.27 Mexico Dec : 1.03 0.65 1.50 2.00 0.18 0.03 0.98 Jan : 1.03 0.65 1.50 2.00 0.18 0.03 0.98 China Dec : 18.71 35.50 14.50 55.00 0.08 -3.50 17.14 Jan : 18.71 34.50 14.00 55.00 0.08 -3.50 15.64 EU-27 9/ Dec : 0.83 1.58 1.87 2.15 1.42 0.05 0.65 Jan : 0.83 1.59 1.85 2.14 1.43 0.05 0.65 Russia Dec : 0.22 3/ 1.43 1.43 0.00 0.00 0.22 Jan : 0.22 3/ 1.43 1.43 0.00 0.00 0.22 Turkey Dec : 2.06 3.30 3.75 7.20 0.20 0.00 1.71 Jan : 2.06 3.30 3.75 7.20 0.20 0.00 1.71 Pakistan Dec : 4.33 8.50 3.25 12.00 0.15 0.03 3.90 Jan : 4.33 8.20 3.50 12.00 0.15 0.03 3.85 Indonesia Dec : 0.35 0.03 2.25 2.20 0.02 0.05 0.36 Jan : 0.35 0.03 2.25 2.20 0.02 0.05 0.36 Thailand Dec : 0.40 0.02 1.90 1.90 0.00 0.03 0.39 Jan : 0.40 0.02 1.90 1.90 0.00 0.03 0.39 Bangladesh Dec : 0.52 0.07 2.45 2.50 0.00 0.01 0.54 Jan : 0.52 0.07 2.45 2.50 0.00 0.01 0.54 =============================================================================== 1/ Marketing year beginning August 1. Totals may not add exactly and trade may not balance due to rounding and other factors. 2/ Generally reflects cotton lost or destroyed in the marketing channel; for Australia, Brazil, and the United States, reflects the difference between implicit stocks based on supply less total use and indicated ending stocks. 3/ Less than 5,000 bales. 4/ Includes Egypt and Syria in addition to the countries and regions listed. 5/ Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. 6/ Benin, Burkino Faso, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Cote d'Ivoire, Mali, Niger, Senegal, and Togo. 7/ Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Paraguay, South Africa, and Zimbabwe. 8/ In addition to the countries and regions listed, includes Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Vietnam. 9/ Includes intra-EU trade. WASDE-454-28 World Soybean Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:=======================:Ending Region : : : : : :stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Domestic : : : stocks : tion :Imports: Crush : Total :Exports: =============================================================================== : : 2005/06 World 2/ : 47.41 220.44 64.15 185.03 215.17 63.99 52.83 United States : 6.96 83.37 0.09 47.32 52.61 25.58 12.23 Total foreign : 40.45 137.07 64.06 137.70 162.56 38.41 40.60 Major exporters 3/ : 32.91 101.14 0.66 61.39 65.87 35.63 33.21 Argentina : 15.98 40.50 0.58 31.89 33.34 7.25 16.47 Brazil : 16.75 57.00 0.06 28.29 31.17 25.91 16.73 Major importers 4/ : 6.40 18.99 53.17 56.66 72.18 0.42 5.97 China : 4.70 16.35 28.32 34.50 44.54 0.35 4.47 EU-27 : 0.88 1.17 13.95 13.53 14.97 0.05 0.99 Japan : 0.26 0.23 3.96 2.82 4.19 0.00 0.26 Mexico : 0.05 0.19 3.67 3.82 3.86 0.00 0.04 : : 2006/07 (Estimated) World 2/ : 52.83 235.57 68.79 195.25 224.66 70.96 61.58 United States : 12.23 86.77 0.25 49.16 53.20 30.43 15.62 Total foreign : 40.60 148.80 68.55 146.09 171.46 40.53 45.96 Major exporters 3/ : 33.21 112.40 2.05 66.32 70.90 37.00 39.77 Argentina : 16.47 47.20 1.99 33.59 35.09 9.51 21.05 Brazil : 16.73 59.00 0.05 30.68 33.63 23.49 18.67 Major importers 4/ : 5.97 18.57 55.66 58.82 74.60 0.52 5.09 China : 4.47 16.00 28.73 35.50 45.63 0.45 3.12 EU-27 : 0.99 1.24 15.29 14.56 16.00 0.05 1.47 Japan : 0.26 0.23 4.09 2.93 4.31 0.00 0.27 Mexico : 0.04 0.08 3.91 3.96 3.99 0.00 0.04 : : 2007/08 (Projected) World 2/ : December : 61.11 221.59 75.26 204.74 235.20 75.44 47.32 January : 61.58 220.34 75.11 204.91 235.26 75.54 46.24 United States : December : 15.59 70.61 0.16 49.80 54.25 27.08 5.03 January : 15.62 70.36 0.16 49.80 54.30 27.08 4.76 Total foreign : December : 45.52 150.99 75.09 154.94 180.95 48.36 42.29 January : 45.96 149.99 74.95 155.11 180.95 48.46 41.48 Major exporters 3/ : December : 39.74 115.50 2.21 70.25 74.93 45.49 37.03 January : 39.77 114.50 2.22 70.53 75.16 45.49 35.84 Argentina Dec : 21.06 47.00 2.10 38.50 40.06 10.50 19.60 Jan : 21.05 47.00 2.10 38.50 40.04 11.20 18.92 Brazil Dec : 18.67 62.00 0.10 29.70 32.68 30.69 17.41 Jan : 18.67 60.50 0.10 29.70 32.68 29.69 16.91 Major importers 4/ : December : 4.64 16.47 61.36 61.92 77.89 0.37 4.20 January : 5.09 16.47 61.39 61.97 77.94 0.37 4.62 China Dec : 3.12 14.30 34.00 38.10 48.35 0.30 2.77 Jan : 3.12 14.30 34.00 38.10 48.35 0.30 2.77 EU-27 Dec : 1.03 0.84 15.25 14.80 16.22 0.05 0.85 Jan : 1.47 0.84 15.45 15.00 16.42 0.05 1.30 Japan Dec : 0.27 0.23 4.15 2.93 4.33 0.00 0.32 Jan : 0.27 0.23 4.15 2.93 4.33 0.00 0.32 Mexico Dec : 0.04 0.10 3.95 4.01 4.05 0.00 0.04 Jan : 0.04 0.10 3.95 4.01 4.05 0.00 0.04 =============================================================================== 1/ Data based on local marketing years except Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay. 4/ Japan, China, and EU, Mexico, and Southeast Asia (includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand). WASDE-454-29 World Soybean Meal Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total : : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2005/06 World 2/ : 6.44 145.55 50.71 145.78 51.42 5.50 United States : 0.16 37.42 0.13 30.11 7.30 0.29 Total foreign : 6.29 108.13 50.58 115.66 44.12 5.21 Major exporters 3/ : 3.88 51.63 0.20 11.83 40.77 3.11 Argentina : 1.42 25.01 0.00 0.57 24.20 1.67 Brazil : 1.58 21.84 0.20 9.60 12.90 1.12 India : 0.88 4.77 0.00 1.66 3.68 0.31 Major importers 4/ : 1.23 39.27 29.45 67.76 1.09 1.10 EU-27 : 0.86 10.64 22.82 32.76 0.70 0.87 China : 0.00 27.30 0.84 27.78 0.36 0.00 : : 2006/07 (Estimated) World 2/ : 5.50 153.48 51.59 151.08 54.08 5.40 United States : 0.29 39.03 0.14 31.17 7.97 0.32 Total foreign : 5.21 114.44 51.45 119.91 46.11 5.08 Major exporters 3/ : 3.11 55.01 0.17 13.37 41.77 3.14 Argentina : 1.67 26.06 0.00 0.56 25.59 1.59 Brazil : 1.12 23.68 0.17 10.87 12.72 1.38 India : 0.31 5.27 0.00 1.95 3.46 0.18 Major importers 4/ : 1.10 40.88 28.43 67.90 1.46 1.06 EU-27 : 0.87 11.45 22.13 33.04 0.55 0.86 China : 0.00 28.10 0.03 27.27 0.87 0.00 : : 2007/08 (Projected) World 2/ : December : 5.41 161.31 55.46 159.51 57.29 5.38 January : 5.40 161.45 55.22 159.24 57.40 5.42 United States : December : 0.32 39.45 0.15 32.02 7.62 0.27 January : 0.32 39.45 0.15 32.02 7.62 0.27 Total foreign : December : 5.09 121.86 55.31 127.49 49.67 5.10 January : 5.08 122.00 55.07 127.21 49.78 5.15 Major exporters 3/ : December : 3.14 59.47 0.22 14.15 45.49 3.20 January : 3.14 59.47 0.22 14.11 45.49 3.24 Argentina Dec : 1.59 30.23 0.00 0.64 29.49 1.68 Jan : 1.59 30.23 0.00 0.64 29.49 1.68 Brazil Dec : 1.38 23.00 0.22 11.24 12.00 1.36 Jan : 1.38 23.00 0.22 11.24 12.00 1.36 India Dec : 0.18 6.25 0.00 2.27 4.00 0.15 Jan : 0.18 6.25 0.00 2.23 4.00 0.19 Major importers 4/ : December : 1.07 43.19 31.00 72.98 1.24 1.04 January : 1.06 43.28 30.55 72.71 1.14 1.05 EU-27 Dec : 0.87 11.66 23.40 34.51 0.55 0.86 Jan : 0.86 11.80 23.40 34.64 0.55 0.86 China Dec : 0.00 30.15 0.85 30.35 0.65 0.00 Jan : 0.00 30.15 0.40 30.00 0.55 0.00 =============================================================================== 1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil, and India. 4/ Eastern Europe, China, EU, and Southeast Asia (includes Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand). WASDE-454-30 World Soybean Oil Supply and Use 1/ (Million Metric Tons) =============================================================================== : Supply : Use : :=========================:===================: Ending Region : : : : : : stocks :Beginning:Produc-: : Total : : : stocks : tion :Imports: Domestic: Exports : =============================================================================== : : 2005/06 World 2/ : 3.02 34.50 8.95 33.46 9.82 3.19 United States : 0.77 9.25 0.02 8.15 0.52 1.37 Total foreign : 2.25 25.25 8.93 25.31 9.30 1.82 Major exporters 3/ : 1.14 13.85 0.74 6.40 8.33 1.00 Argentina : 0.49 6.00 0.00 0.40 5.60 0.49 Brazil : 0.45 5.43 0.03 3.13 2.47 0.31 EU-27 : 0.20 2.42 0.71 2.87 0.27 0.19 Major importers 4/ : 0.64 7.20 3.26 10.55 0.12 0.43 China : 0.25 6.15 1.52 7.61 0.11 0.20 India : 0.39 1.05 1.73 2.92 0.01 0.23 Pakistan : 0.01 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 : : 2006/07 (Estimated) World 2/ : 3.19 36.24 9.83 35.58 10.65 3.02 United States : 1.37 9.29 0.02 8.50 0.86 1.32 Total foreign : 1.82 26.94 9.81 27.08 9.79 1.70 Major exporters 3/ : 1.00 14.91 0.97 7.26 8.67 0.95 Argentina : 0.49 6.42 0.00 0.58 5.95 0.39 Brazil : 0.31 5.89 0.01 3.38 2.46 0.36 EU-27 : 0.19 2.60 0.96 3.30 0.25 0.20 Major importers 4/ : 0.43 7.53 3.84 11.24 0.10 0.46 China : 0.20 6.34 2.40 8.60 0.09 0.25 India : 0.23 1.18 1.40 2.60 0.01 0.21 Pakistan : 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.04 0.00 0.00 : : 2007/08 (Projected) World 2/ : December : 3.04 37.97 10.35 38.05 10.74 2.57 January : 3.02 38.04 10.55 38.23 10.77 2.61 United States : December : 1.32 9.42 0.02 9.03 0.75 0.98 January : 1.32 9.46 0.02 9.03 0.75 1.02 Total foreign : December : 1.72 28.55 10.33 29.02 9.99 1.59 January : 1.70 28.58 10.53 29.20 10.02 1.59 Major exporters 3/ : December : 0.95 15.70 0.92 7.79 8.90 0.89 January : 0.95 15.73 0.92 7.82 8.90 0.89 Argentina Dec : 0.39 7.35 0.00 0.94 6.40 0.40 Jan : 0.39 7.35 0.00 0.94 6.40 0.40 Brazil Dec : 0.36 5.70 0.01 3.50 2.27 0.30 Jan : 0.36 5.70 0.01 3.50 2.27 0.30 EU-27 Dec : 0.20 2.65 0.92 3.35 0.23 0.19 Jan : 0.20 2.68 0.92 3.38 0.23 0.19 Major importers 4/ : December : 0.46 8.20 4.05 12.24 0.05 0.42 January : 0.46 8.20 4.25 12.44 0.06 0.42 China Dec : 0.25 6.80 2.60 9.41 0.04 0.21 Jan : 0.25 6.80 2.80 9.60 0.04 0.21 India Dec : 0.21 1.40 1.40 2.78 0.02 0.21 Jan : 0.21 1.40 1.40 2.78 0.02 0.21 Pakistan Dec : 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.06 0.00 0.00 Jan : 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.06 0.00 0.00 =============================================================================== 1/ Data based on local marketing years except for Argentina and Brazil which are adjusted to an October-September year. 2/ World imports and exports may not balance due to differences in local marketing years and to time lags between reported exports and imports. Therefore, world supply may not equal world use. 3/ Argentina, Brazil and EU. 4/ India, China and Pakistan. WASDE-454-31 U.S. Quarterly Animal Product Production 1/ =============================================================================== Year : : : Red : : : Total: Red : : : and : : : meat : : :poultry: meat & : : : quarter : Beef : Pork : 2/ :Broiler:Turkey: 3/ : poultry: Egg : Milk : =============================================================================== : Million pounds Mil doz Bil lbs 2006 : Annual : 26153 21055 47540 35752 5686 41943 89483 7572 181.8 : 2007 : I : 6235 5396 11720 8574 1410 10099 21819 1861 46.0 II : 6649 5128 11856 9021 1473 10622 22478 1865 47.4 III : 6801 5255 12128 9106 1489 10723 22851 1877 46.1 IV : 6725 6160 12963 9175 1530 10835 23798 1915 46.1 Annual : Dec Proj : 26345 21829 48496 35876 5892 42264 90760 7528 185.4 Jan Est : 26410 21939 48667 35876 5902 42279 90946 7518 185.6 : 2008 : I *: 6200 5605 11891 8875 1430 10425 22316 1880 47.8 II *: 6665 5465 12209 9300 1495 10925 23134 1885 48.8 III *: 6895 5535 12508 9350 1490 10970 23478 1910 46.8 IV *: 6340 6145 12568 9325 1525 10980 23548 1950 46.5 Annual : Dec Proj : 26000 22230 48556 36850 5940 43295 91851 7650 190.5 Jan Proj : 26100 22750 49176 36850 5940 43300 92476 7625 190.0 =============================================================================== * Projection. 1/ Commercial production for red meats; federally inspected for poultry meats. 2/ Beef, pork, veal and lamb & mutton. 3/ Broilers, turkeys and mature chicken. U.S. Quarterly Prices for Animal Products 1/ =============================================================================== Year : Choice : Barrows : : : : : and : steers :and gilts : Broilers : Turkeys : Eggs : Milk : quarter : 2/ : 3/ : 4/ : 5/ : 6/ : 7/ : =============================================================================== : Dol./cwt Dol./cwt Cents/lb. Cents/lb. Cents/doz. Dol./cwt 2006 : Annual : 85.41 47.26 64.4 77.0 71.8 12.90 : 2007 : I : 90.61 46.04 75.0 69.7 105.3 15.00 II : 93.45 52.55 80.3 77.9 92.0 18.27 III : 91.36 50.33 79.2 89.9 119.1 21.67 IV : 91.85 39.43 71.1 90.8 141.0 21.67 Annual : Dec Proj : 91.98 46.86 76.3 82.3 113.0 19.05-19.15 Jan Est : 91.82 47.09 76.4 82.1 114.4 19.15 : 2008 : I *: 90-94 39-41 72-74 73-75 122-128 20.00-20.40 II *: 90-96 43-47 72-78 73-79 101-109 17.75-18.45 III *: 87-95 44-48 73-79 76-82 87-95 16.75-17.75 IV *: 86-94 38-42 69-75 80-86 92-100 17.15-18.15 Annual : Dec Proj : 87-94 44-47 71-76 75-81 95-102 18.00-18.80 Jan Proj : 88-95 41-44 72-76 75-81 101-108 17.90-18.70 =============================================================================== *Projection. 1/ Simple average of months. 2/ Nebraska, Direct, 1100-1300 lbs. 3/ National Base, Live equiv 51-52% lean. 4/ Wholesale, 12-city average. 5/ 8-12 lbs, hens Eastern Region. 6/ Grade A large, New York, volume buyers. 7/ Prices received by farmers for all milk. WASDE-454-32 U.S. Meats Supply and Use ============================================================================ : Supply : Use :--------------------------------------------------------- : : : : : : : Disappearance : : Pro- : : : : :--------------- : Beg- : duc- : : : : End- : : Per Item :inning: tion : Im- :Total : Ex- : ing : :capita :stocks: 1/ :ports :supply: ports:stocks:Total : 2/ 3/ ============================================================================ : Million pounds 4/ BEEF : 2006 : 571 26258 3082 29911 1098 630 28183 65.8 2007 Est. Dec : 630 26450 3178 30258 1436 575 28247 65.3 Jan : 630 26515 3160 30305 1404 600 28302 65.5 2008 Proj. Dec : 575 26105 3380 30060 1710 600 27750 63.6 Jan : 600 26205 3340 30145 1710 600 27835 63.8 : PORK : 2006 : 494 21075 987 22556 2959 514 19084 49.4 2007 Est. Dec : 514 21849 1000 23363 3040 560 19763 50.7 Jan : 514 21959 999 23472 3144 560 19768 50.7 2008 Proj. Dec : 560 22250 1025 23835 3180 565 20090 51.0 Jan : 560 22770 985 24315 3685 565 20065 51.0 : TOTAL RED MEAT 5/ : 2006 : 1080 47679 4259 53018 4075 1166 47777 116.7 2007 Est. Dec : 1166 48634 4372 54172 4486 1152 48534 117.5 Jan : 1166 48805 4356 54327 4559 1178 48590 117.6 2008 Proj. Dec : 1152 48694 4601 54447 4900 1182 48365 116.1 Jan : 1178 49314 4525 55017 5405 1182 48430 116.3 : BROILERS : 2006 : 924 35369 47 36340 5205 745 30389 87.1 2007 Est. Dec : 745 35492 61 36298 5611 675 30012 85.2 Jan : 745 35492 61 36298 5701 675 29921 84.9 2008 Proj. Dec : 675 36456 60 37191 5615 750 30826 86.7 Jan : 675 36456 60 37191 5775 750 30666 86.2 : TURKEYS : 2006 : 206 5612 12 5829 547 218 5065 16.9 2007 Est. Dec : 218 5815 10 6043 562 245 5236 17.3 Jan : 218 5825 10 6053 562 235 5256 17.4 2008 Proj. Dec : 245 5862 12 6119 605 275 5239 17.2 Jan : 235 5862 12 6109 605 275 5229 17.1 : TOTAL POULTRY 6/ : 2006 : 1132 41485 61 42678 5911 969 35799 105.1 2007 Est. Dec : 969 41802 74 42845 6338 928 35579 103.6 Jan : 969 41817 74 42860 6433 914 35513 103.4 2008 Proj. Dec : 928 42822 75 43825 6370 1033 36422 105.0 Jan : 914 42827 75 43816 6530 1031 36255 104.5 : RED MEAT & POULTRY: 2006 : 2212 89164 4320 95697 9986 2135 83576 221.8 2007 Est. Dec : 2135 90436 4446 97017 10824 2080 84113 221.1 Jan : 2135 90622 4430 97187 10992 2092 84103 221.0 2008 Proj. Dec : 2080 91516 4676 98272 11270 2215 84787 221.1 Jan : 2092 92141 4600 98833 11935 2213 84685 220.8 ============================================================================ 1/ Total including farm production for red meats and, for poultry, federally inspected plus non-federally inspected, less condemnations. 2/ Pounds, retail-weight basis. 3/ Population source: Dept. of Commerce, Census Bureau. 4/ Carcass weight for red meats and certified ready-to-cook weight for poultry. 5/ Beef, pork, veal, lamb and mutton. 6/ Broilers, turkeys and mature chicken. WASDE-454-33 U.S. Egg Supply and Use =============================================================================== : : : 2007 Estimated : 2008 Projected : : :-----------------:------------------ Commodity : 2005 : 2006 : Dec : Jan : Dec : Jan =============================================================================== EGGS : Million dozen Supply : Beginning stocks : 14.5 16.0 12.5 12.5 13.0 13.0 Production : 7509.0 7572.0 7528.0 7518.0 7650.0 7625.0 Imports : 12.9 10.8 14.6 14.6 14.0 14.0 Total supply : 7536.4 7598.8 7555.1 7545.1 7677.0 7652.0 : Use : Exports : 203.3 202.1 245.5 245.6 230.0 230.0 Hatching use : 999.8 994.0 1012.1 1012.1 1030.0 1030.0 Ending stocks : 16.0 12.5 13.0 13.0 12.0 12.0 Disappearance : Total : 6317.3 6390.2 6284.5 6274.4 6405.0 6380.0 Per capita (number) : 255.3 255.7 249.2 248.8 251.6 250.6 =============================================================================== U.S. Milk Supply and Use =============================================================================== : : : 2007 Estimated : 2008 Projected Commodity : : :-----------------:------------------ : 2005 : 2006 : Dec : Jan : Dec : Jan =============================================================================== : Billion pounds Milk : Production : 176.9 181.8 185.4 185.6 190.5 190.0 Farm use : 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 : Fat Basis Supply : Beg. commercial stocks : 7.2 8.0 9.5 9.5 9.9 9.9 Marketings : 175.8 180.7 184.3 184.5 189.4 188.8 Imports : 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 Total cml. supply : 187.9 193.6 198.6 198.8 204.0 203.4 : Fat Basis Use : Ending commercial stks : 8.0 9.5 9.9 9.9 9.3 9.3 CCC net removals 1/ : 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Commercial use 2/ : 179.9 184.1 188.7 188.9 194.7 194.1 : Skim-solids Basis Supply : Beg. commercial stocks : 8.2 9.0 9.1 9.1 9.5 9.7 Marketings : 175.8 180.7 184.3 184.5 189.4 188.8 Imports : 4.8 4.8 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 Total cml. supply : 188.8 194.4 197.9 198.1 203.3 203.0 : Skim-solids Basis Use : Ending commercial stks : 9.0 9.1 9.5 9.7 9.3 9.3 CCC net removals 1/ : -1.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Commercial use 2/ : 180.8 184.5 188.4 188.4 194.0 193.7 : : Million pounds CCC product net removals 1: Butter : 0 0 0 0 0 0 Cheese : -2 0 0 0 0 0 Nonfat dry milk : -81 64 0 0 0 0 Dry whole milk : 0 0 0 0 0 0 =============================================================================== Note: Totals may not add due to rounding. 1/ Includes products exported under the Dairy Export Incentive Program. 2/ Includes commercial exports. WASDE-454-34 U.S. Dairy Prices ============================================================================ : : : 2007 Estimated : 2008 Projected : : :-----------------:------------------ Commodity : 2005 : 2006 : Dec : Jan : Dec : Jan ============================================================================ : Dollars per pound : Product Prices 1/ : Cheese : 1.4875 1.2470 1.735- 1.7380 1.640- 1.645- : 1.745 1.720 1.725 : Butter : 1.5405 1.2193 1.330- 1.3441 1.205- 1.195- : 1.360 1.315 1.305 : Nonfat dry milk : 0.9409 0.8928 1.705- 1.7082 1.645- 1.580- : 1.725 1.705 1.640 : Dry whey : 0.2782 0.3285 0.595- 0.6004 0.430- 0.430- : 0.605 0.460 0.460 : : Dollars per cwt Milk Prices 2/ : Class III : 14.05 11.89 18.00- 18.04 16.15- 16.15- : 18.10 16.95 16.95 : Class IV : 12.87 11.06 18.30- 18.36 17.40- 16.80- : 18.50 18.30 17.70 : All milk 3/ : 15.13 12.90 19.05- 19.15 18.00- 17.90- : 19.15 18.80 18.70 : ============================================================================ 1/ Simple average of monthly prices calculated by AMS from NASS weekly average dairy product prices for class price computations. Details may be found at http://www.ams.usda.gov/dyfmos/mib/fedordprc_dscrp.htm. 2/ Annual Class III and Class IV prices are the simple averages of monthly minimum Federal order milk prices paid by regulated plants for milk used in the respective classes. All milk price is the simple average of monthly prices received by farmers for milk at average test. 3/ Does not reflect any deductions from producers as authorized by legislation. WASDE-454-35 Note: Tables on pages 35-37 present a 26-year record of the differences between the January projection and the final estimate. Using world wheat production as an example, changes between the January projection and the final estimate have averaged 3.9 million tons (0.6%) ranging from -8.3 to 6.4 million tons. The January projection has been below the estimate 18 times and above 8 times. Reliability of January Projections =============================================================================== :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2006/07 1/ Commodity and :============================================================= region : Avg. : Avg. : Difference : Below final : Above final =============================================================================== WHEAT :Percent Million metric tons Number of years 2/ Production : World : 0.6 3.1 -8.3 6.4 18 8 U.S. : 0.1 0.1 -0.2 0.1 11 6 Foreign : 0.7 3.1 -8.3 6.4 18 8 Exports : World : 3.3 3.7 -14.0 5.2 18 8 U.S. : 4.1 1.3 -3.9 2.7 14 12 Foreign : 4.3 3.6 -12.6 5.6 20 6 Domestic use : World : 0.9 4.7 -14.3 11.0 16 10 U.S. : 3.8 1.1 -2.6 3.0 9 17 Foreign : 0.9 4.5 -14.8 8.6 17 9 Ending stocks : World : 3.9 4.9 -11.5 8.1 18 8 U.S. : 7.9 1.7 -4.6 3.3 15 11 Foreign : 4.1 4.1 -10.3 9.8 18 8 : COARSE GRAINS 3/ : Production : World : 1.0 8.8 -20.7 8.2 17 9 U.S. : 0.2 0.4 -4.6 1.3 12 6 Foreign : 1.4 8.6 -20.7 8.2 17 9 Exports : World : 4.2 4.4 -10.8 13.3 18 8 U.S. : 9.1 4.7 -11.1 12.4 12 14 Foreign : 8.7 4.6 -14.0 8.0 15 11 Domestic use : World : 1.0 8.2 -16.4 29.0 13 13 U.S. : 2.4 4.5 -18.8 11.5 13 13 Foreign : 1.1 7.1 -12.5 22.8 18 8 Ending stocks : World : 7.8 11.0 -31.8 17.6 20 6 U.S. : 11.1 6.1 -24.3 20.8 15 10 Foreign : 10.3 8.3 -29.6 10.8 21 5 : RICE, milled : Production : World : 1.4 4.8 -13.9 1.9 21 4 U.S. : 1.2 0.1 -0.3 0.2 11 4 Foreign : 1.4 4.7 -13.9 2.0 22 4 Exports : World : 7.1 1.4 -5.4 1.0 20 6 U.S. : 6.4 0.2 -0.6 0.3 14 10 Foreign : 8.1 1.3 -5.2 1.0 19 7 Domestic use : World : 1.0 3.4 -12.3 1.9 20 6 U.S. : 5.7 0.2 -0.4 0.5 12 14 Foreign : 1.0 3.4 -12.4 2.2 21 5 Ending stocks : World : 7.2 3.4 -14.5 3.9 20 6 U.S. : 17.6 0.2 -0.5 0.6 13 12 Foreign : 7.4 3.4 -13.9 3.8 20 6 =============================================================================== 1/ Footnotes at end of table. CONTINUED WASDE-454-36 Reliability of January Projections (Continued) =============================================================================== :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2006/07 1/ Commodity and :============================================================= region : Avg. : Avg. : Difference : Below final : Above final =============================================================================== SOYBEANS :Percent Million metric tons Number of years 2/ Production : World : 2.4 3.7 -8.9 17.4 16 10 U.S. : 1.0 0.6 -1.6 1.8 10 12 Foreign : 4.4 3.6 -8.9 17.0 17 9 Exports : World : 5.2 2.2 -7.9 12.2 16 10 U.S. : 5.8 1.3 -3.1 4.3 14 12 Foreign : 15.0 2.1 -7.2 11.8 13 13 Domestic use : World : 2.3 3.0 -5.7 11.1 16 10 U.S. : 2.5 1.1 -3.6 2.0 18 8 Foreign : 2.9 2.7 -5.3 12.7 16 10 Ending stocks : World : 11.8 3.0 -6.9 18.7 15 11 U.S. : 21.9 1.6 -2.6 4.9 5 21 Foreign : 15.8 2.9 -7.5 13.8 18 8 : COTTON : Million 480-pound bales Production : World : 2.1 1.9 -5.4 3.6 18 7 U.S. : 0.6 0.1 -0.2 0.3 10 15 Foreign : 2.5 1.9 -5.7 3.5 19 6 Exports : World : 4.1 1.1 -3.9 2.7 14 12 U.S. : 8.4 0.7 -1.7 2.7 16 10 Foreign : 4.3 0.8 -3.4 1.0 15 11 Mill use : World : 2.0 1.7 -6.3 1.8 15 11 U.S. : 3.7 0.3 -0.9 0.9 16 9 Foreign : 2.0 1.6 -5.8 2.0 16 10 Ending stocks : World : 8.5 3.1 -8.6 8.1 16 10 U.S. : 17.1 0.8 -2.4 2.2 7 19 Foreign : 9.1 3.0 -6.3 7.6 17 9 =============================================================================== 1/ Final estimate for 1981/82-2006/07 is defined as the first November estimate following the marketing year. 2/ May not total 26 if projection was the same as final estimate. 3/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain. WASDE-454-37 Reliability of United States January Projections 1/ =============================================================================== :Differences between proj. & final estimate,1981/82-2006/07 2/ Commodity and :============================================================= region : Avg. : Avg. : Difference : Below final : Above final =============================================================================== CORN :Percent Million bushels Number of years 3/ Production : 0.2 13 -148 38 4 1 Exports : 9.4 167 -379 384 11 15 Domestic use : 2.5 163 -574 424 13 13 Ending stocks : 13.0 241 -986 838 16 10 : SORGHUM : Production : 0.3 3 -53 14 1 3 Exports : 12.7 30 -90 97 17 8 Domestic use : 9.3 40 -148 127 11 15 Ending stocks : 28.9 28 -78 98 10 16 : BARLEY : Production : 0.3 1 -3 11 11 4 Exports : 16.7 9 -37 23 9 15 Domestic use : 5.0 18 -43 70 11 13 Ending stocks : 8.0 12 -52 18 17 9 : OATS : Production : 0.1 0 -2 1 4 3 Exports : 40.8 1 -1 7 6 7 Domestic use : 3.1 12 -39 36 15 11 Ending stocks : 10.7 12 -47 34 14 12 : : Thousand short tons SOYBEAN MEAL : Production : 2.4 786 -2728 915 18 8 Exports : 8.4 585 -2050 1050 17 9 Domestic use : 2.2 563 -1256 1017 15 11 Ending stocks : 29.4 72 -214 188 11 14 : : Million pounds SOYBEAN OIL : Production : 2.4 371 -1418 575 19 7 Exports : 16.6 253 -800 839 12 12 Domestic use : 2.2 293 -885 400 18 8 Ending stocks : 15.5 244 -583 538 16 10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- : ANIMAL PROD. 4/ : Million pounds Beef : 3.3 814 -1342 2111 17 7 Pork : 2.6 438 -1240 1717 15 9 Broilers : 1.5 356 -937 512 16 8 Turkeys : 2.0 91 -226 181 14 10 : : Million dozen Eggs : 1.3 81 -127 175 14 9 : : Billion pounds Milk : 14.0 2.0 -5.7 5.7 12 12 =============================================================================== 1/ See pages 35 and 36 for record of reliability for U.S. wheat, rice, soybeans, and cotton. 2/ Final estimate for 1981/82-2006/07 is defined as the first November estimate following the marketing year. 3/ May not total 26 for crops and 24 for animal production if projection was the same as the final estimate. 4/ Calendar years 1983 thru 2006 for meats, eggs, and milk. Final for animal products is defined as latest annual production estimate published by NASS. ----------- End of File -------------